Thoughts on both line and O/U for Thursday Night Football: Dolphins panthers!

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  • Brakon00
    Restricted User
    • 10-27-09
    • 1536

    #1
    Thoughts on both line and O/U for Thursday Night Football: Dolphins panthers!
    the line is Panthers -3 and O/U 42.5

    with the way panthers played last sunday I do see them to take this game at home...however...the dolphins are not a bad team. They are 1-3 on the road this season and their losses have been to Chargers, Falcons and Patriots all by an average of 10.7 points. By this stat the obvious pick is panthers -3 without a doubt......

    other factors in this game: Panthers have not really beaten anybody except for the falcons at home and cardinals and both wins were by an average of 11.5 points........by this i think the obvious pick is panthers -3........i dont see how else to not pick panthers-3...especially with reports that brown wont be running as back for the dolphins in the game

    o/u: 42.5 seems a couple points too low for this game...i woulda thought it would be at 46-47 range. from this the books are either wanted a lot of action on the over that way if the game ends up being a blowout by panthers like 3-21 or 7-28 they will win a lot of $......so for this reason...even though its not a great one.....i like the under 42.5


    picks: Panthers -3, Under 42.5 (possibly buy points depending on if the total goes up)
  • tcarn01
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-09
    • 1993

    #2
    just taking the under on this one tonight unless i get persuaded something different. i think w/ ronnie brown out dolphins and rickey will try to make a statement. to many outside factors on the point spread to figure out.
    Comment
    • oiler
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-06-09
      • 6585

      #3
      Originally posted by Brakon00
      the line is Panthers -3 and O/U 42.5

      with the way panthers played last sunday I do see them to take this game at home...however...the dolphins are not a bad team. They are 1-3 on the road this season and their losses have been to Chargers, Falcons and Patriots all by an average of 10.7 points. By this stat the obvious pick is panthers -3 without a doubt......

      other factors in this game: Panthers have not really beaten anybody except for the falcons at home and cardinals and both wins were by an average of 11.5 points........by this i think the obvious pick is panthers -3........i dont see how else to not pick panthers-3...especially with reports that brown wont be running as back for the dolphins in the game

      o/u: 42.5 seems a couple points too low for this game...i woulda thought it would be at 46-47 range. from this the books are either wanted a lot of action on the over that way if the game ends up being a blowout by panthers like 3-21 or 7-28 they will win a lot of $......so for this reason...even though its not a great one.....i like the under 42.5


      picks: Panthers -3, Under 42.5 (possibly buy points depending on if the total goes up)
      i think miami is a worse team now that brown is out for the year,they should have there ass handed to them especially if they get down early
      Comment
      • tomcast
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-19-06
        • 754

        #4
        It's not just the spread, it's the juice. I would rather take miami+3 +115 than Caroline-3 -125.
        Comment
        • blueghost
          SBR MVP
          • 09-11-09
          • 1715

          #5
          tom now thats capping
          Comment
          • BrownTown
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-06-09
            • 624

            #6
            Originally posted by tomcast
            It's not just the spread, it's the juice. I would rather take miami+3 +115 than Caroline-3 -125.
            Why cut your nose off to spite your face? F the juice ... take the win and be done with it.
            Comment
            • keppppp
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-13-09
              • 160

              #7
              As I was doing some research I came across this, which is making me lean towards the "under"... The only thing that scares me is that Miami has been OVER in the last 5 of 6, but with Ronnie Brown out, maybe that will be the difference. Thoughts?

              MIAMI-
              Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
              Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
              Miami is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
              Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
              Miami is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road



              Carolina-
              Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
              Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Carolina's last 20 games at home
              Comment
              • in2thethickofit
                SBR MVP
                • 09-26-09
                • 2622

                #8
                I'm leaning Dolphins...Ricky Williams LOVES these games on the national stage...rolling with the +3!
                Comment
                • shock11
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-16-08
                  • 838

                  #9
                  over panthers can't stop the wildcat
                  Comment
                  • BostonBrowns
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-19-09
                    • 208

                    #10
                    Ronnie Brown IS the wildcat and he will be sitting on the bench. I can't trust Pat White yet
                    Comment
                    • JMF2479
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-29-09
                      • 592

                      #11
                      it's my boy brakon00.... I'm taking miami +3. i don't care for ronnie brown being out. game should be close. and making small play on the over.
                      Comment
                      • Fizz
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 11-06-09
                        • 92

                        #12
                        Brakon,

                        Saw some posts where you did pretty well in the past. You keep track of your record?
                        Comment
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