7 Team Parlay

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  • stocker08
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-25-09
    • 910

    #1
    7 Team Parlay
    Houston Texans (-425) vs. Oakland Raiders
    Tenn Titans (-2.5) (-125) vs. Jacksonville Jags
    Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) (-225) vs. Cleveland Browns Bought 3 points
    NY Giants (-9) (+105) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
    Chicago Bears (-475) vs. Detroit Lions
    San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) (-220) vs. St. Louis Rams Bought 4 points
    Dallas Cowboys (-150) vs. Denver Broncos

    Bet 1 unit. Pays a little over 18 units.

    What do you think? A winner???
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #2
    i like it!

    as of right now, ten and cincy make me nervous.. but I haven't finished capping the game.. I can see the oddsmakers ****in with us with the line and they lose badly.. lol

    more nervous about ten than cincy as of right now.. (i keep flip flopping.. lol)

    good luck!

    Robust
    Comment
    • stocker08
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-25-09
      • 910

      #3
      Cincy should be able to handle the browns. Tennessee is better than they have been playing and I really think that they can get the win. If those two go the way I want them to, my chances are looking pretty good.
      Comment
      • BGboothA
        SBR MVP
        • 08-07-08
        • 4202

        #4
        I don't know about a 7 team parlay that pays 18-1. So much in the NFL can change in a second. I like each individual play as an individual. But this is a big parlay to hit without getting the right odds, IMO. Good Luck. I am on a number of those games as well.
        Comment
        • Limey
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-18-09
          • 382

          #5
          Sadly, I think the chances are that at least one of those 7 will fail.
          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            Originally posted by Limey
            Sadly, I think the chances are that at least one of those 7 will fail.
            This is deep, what do you think the chances are that one does fail.....maybe 18-1.
            Comment
            • stocker08
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-25-09
              • 910

              #7
              Most likely one does fail. I just took a collection of picks I thought I would win. I was going to do like a 4 team parlay, but I kept seeing more and more matchups that were favorable.

              Tennesse and Cincinnati are the only games there that I am kind of worried about. The rest should fall into place if these teams play the way they have.
              Comment
              • Limey
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-18-09
                • 382

                #8
                Originally posted by BGboothA
                This is deep, what do you think the chances are that one does fail.....maybe 18-1.
                I guess you're being sarcastic. If it was only 17-1 that only one team lost then the parlay wouldn't be a half-bad bet, but seven-selection parlays are a bloody miracle to pull off.

                I reckon it's about 28 to 1 that all seven selections win, which would mean at least one will lose 28 times out of 29.....

                I'd be most worried about Tenessee, NYG, 49ers and Dallas I think.
                Comment
                • Robust
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-13-08
                  • 3254

                  #9
                  you know what.. lol

                  i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

                  but I am excluding chicago.. they fvck me all the time.. with or against, they fvck me.. lol

                  but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

                  good luck!

                  Robust
                  Comment
                  • Robust
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-13-08
                    • 3254

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Robust
                    you know what.. lol

                    i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

                    but I am excluding chicago.. they fvck me all the time.. with or against, they fvck me.. lol

                    but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

                    good luck!

                    Robust
                    wow! just did some math and came up with OVER 53-1 payout.. lol

                    all favorites.. I just hated the shit out of this parlay.. but I am doing it anyway.. lol

                    $5 to win ~$268

                    gotta fund the account.. went crazy with 2-teamers.. will place it tommorrow..

                    Robust
                    Comment
                    • stocker08
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-25-09
                      • 910

                      #11
                      Yeah, if these pan out, big payoffs. Not Likely, but shit, it could happen. With the points I bought on games i was questioning, I really think it has a 23% chance (pulled that number outta my ass).
                      Comment
                      • Robust
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-13-08
                        • 3254

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stocker08
                        Yeah, if these pan out, big payoffs. Not Likely, but shit, it could happen. With the points I bought on games i was questioning, I really think it has a 23% chance (pulled that number outta my ass).
                        HAHAHAHA

                        at LEAST have the skills to KNOW what the odds are bro.. COME ON!!

                        Robust
                        Comment
                        • Limey
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-18-09
                          • 382

                          #13
                          Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.
                          Comment
                          • JGILL50
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-31-08
                            • 836

                            #14
                            add the night game for some hedging opportunity
                            Comment
                            • Timmay
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-09-08
                              • 1301

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Robust
                              you know what.. lol

                              i like it so much, I am playing it on the spreads.. no buying points or using MLs.. woot!

                              but I am excluding chicago.. they fvck me all the time.. with or against, they fvck me.. lol

                              but not jinxing ya.. not playing, so you got your original shot

                              good luck!

                              Robust


                              Lol what happens with you and Chicago that happens with me with NYG
                              Comment
                              • stocker08
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-25-09
                                • 910

                                #16
                                ? Giants have been solid all year. Chicago should also get the win at home.... bet straight money line just in case.
                                Comment
                                • skydivr
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 09-29-09
                                  • 26

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Limey
                                  Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.
                                  Yep, I checked and got just under 35-1 WITHOUT buying the points down.

                                  I like the picks though.
                                  Comment
                                  • Robust
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-13-08
                                    • 3254

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Limey
                                    Unless I'm missing something, there's no way this 7-team parlay pays 53-1. Absolutely no way - most of the selections are heavy favourites.
                                    if you mean my parlay, yes it does.. but mine is a 6-picker ALL on the spreads.. no ML's or buying points..

                                    Robust
                                    Comment
                                    • Robust
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-13-08
                                      • 3254

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by skydivr
                                      Yep, I checked and got just under 35-1 WITHOUT buying the points down.

                                      I like the picks though.
                                      check mine.. all spreads..

                                      Robust
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr. Sanders
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 10-01-09
                                        • 43

                                        #20
                                        Lousy chance

                                        A 7 teamer has a 1 of 128 odds or .781% chance of winning and so mathematically speaking you don't have a good chance of winning but GL to ya!
                                        Comment
                                        • stocker08
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-25-09
                                          • 910

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Mr. Sanders
                                          A 7 teamer has a 1 of 128 odds or .781% chance of winning and so mathematically speaking you don't have a good chance of winning but GL to ya!
                                          Those odds are probably calculated for coin flips. I bought points on games I thought were questionable. What do you think the odds are that my 3 money line bets win??? 2:1, if not higher. I think that 1:128 odds are off.
                                          Comment
                                          • Parligod
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-28-09
                                            • 403

                                            #22
                                            I like Chicago wining straight up but I don't like the spread of +10 over the Lions. I think the Lions are a less-then-average team but there's like 4-5 I can think of that are worse. They'll lose but not badly.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr. Sanders
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 10-01-09
                                              • 43

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stocker08
                                              Those odds are probably calculated for coin flips. I bought points on games I thought were questionable. What do you think the odds are that my 3 money line bets win??? 2:1, if not higher. I think that 1:128 odds are off.
                                              No those odds are not off they are true mathematical odds, there exist a 128 different combinations and you have to find the right one or 1 of 128. You are looking at it in your perspective but in a mathematical perspective the odds are 1 of 128 for a 7 teamer. Nothing is a sure thing, heavy favs do lose straight up from time to time and so you can't take it for granted that your fav ML picks will win for sure.

                                              Comment
                                              • dbniner
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-24-09
                                                • 5

                                                #24
                                                7 game parley to risky

                                                I think 3 or 4 parley is less risk and payoff is high. Last week I did 3 parley and won over $300 and I was very confident of the games I picked.
                                                I am thinking of 2 game parley NYG, and Dallas
                                                or a 3 gamer with Cin over Clev

                                                Any thoughts
                                                Comment
                                                • BGboothA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-07-08
                                                  • 4202

                                                  #25
                                                  Yeah I don't mind the 2 to 3 game parlays, but 7? Woo
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stocker08
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-25-09
                                                    • 910

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Mr. Sanders
                                                    No those odds are not off they are true mathematical odds, there exist a 128 different combinations and you have to find the right one or 1 of 128. You are looking at it in your perspective but in a mathematical perspective the odds are 1 of 128 for a 7 teamer. Nothing is a sure thing, heavy favs do lose straight up from time to time and so you can't take it for granted that your fav ML picks will win for sure.

                                                    Yeah, there are 128 different possibilities, but some combinations have a much higher chance than others. I took the money line on several favorites. A .781% chance. Thats not right.
                                                    Comment
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