we are up 17.1 units on the week including vig. another solid week
on the season now we're up 34.25 units.
I will come out with tonights play after i get my key number
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#38
Originally posted by kevindakota00
so to recap, wagers placed for week 2 so far
-Pit -2.5 5U LOSER
-Ravens +3.5 10U WINNER
Giants +3 9U WINNER
If anybody was wondering, I determine my unit amount anywhere between 1 - 10 units. I very rarely will ever bet on totals. I pay little attention to trends, each game is a new game. Studys for the following weekend's games starts 2 weeks ahead of time.
a
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#39
Saints +1 2U WINNER
Browns +3.5 3U LOSER
Texans +7 4U WINNER
Falcons -6.5 1U WINNER
Pats -3.5 1U LOSER
Vikes -9.5 1U WINNER
Bucs +5 2U LOSER
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#40
texans -3.5 10U
saints -5.5 6U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#41
Dolphins tonight +3 2U even money
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#42
ok lost on the dolphins....so what still up 32.25 units on the season......
On to week 3 so far we got the texans and the saints. yeah, i jumped on the saints and the line moved to -5. whatever, worthless 1/2 point shouldn't matter. i got some good plays this week we will sit on till we get our key number. 1st off i got another 10 unit selection for you guys when the pub buys this line down. second, were taking the giants now because the pub is so heavy on them
giants -7 4U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#43
packers -6.5 3U
Pats -4 3U
Ravens -13 2U
Lions +6.5 1U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#44
buying 4 more units on the giants at -6.5 pts. for a total of 8U
Im also upping my packers play to 5U
Cahrgers -5.5 6U
Buying 3 more units on the ravens -13 for a total of 5 U
Bears -2 2U
Bengals +4 2U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#45
So, Im hoping for another solid week here. So a recap on plays thus far...
texans -3.5 10U
saints -5.5 6U
giants -7 4U
giants -6.5 4U
packers -6.5 5U
Pats -4 3U
Ravens -13 5U
Lions +6.5 1U
Chargers -5.5 6U
Bears -2 2U
Bengals +4 2U
Comment
Smogs
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4173
#46
looking forward to this week's picks
Comment
bypp
SBR Wise Guy
11-05-08
664
#47
looks like a good card. best of luck to ya
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#48
there are a lot of shady lines out there this week (giants, packers, saints, texans. the books got creamed the last 2 weeks so don't go crazy with your wager amounts. remember, money management is more important then win %. I would not be suprised to see some point shaving going on in the national fixed league.
Comment
dodger33
SBR MVP
08-14-09
3962
#49
kevin what do you think about the titans game? I see you are staying away from it for now, just wanted to hear your opinion. thanks
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#50
in the public's eyes the titans have the premier defense. IMO the Jets are one of the better teams in the NFL defensively. I don't trust sanchez yet but he is lighting up his opponents. This doesn't look good for the titans who have been awful against the pass. Easy jets win right? wrong, The jets have played a soft N.E. pass defense and a softer texans secondary, the titans have shown spurts of last years ground D. Thomas Jones may have trouble, this will force sanchez to convert third downs on his own. The titans are gonna bring the intensityto this must win matchup being 0-2 and all. titans cover? wrong the Ravens beat the titans from an underdog role last year (titans were 13-3 ats). "O.K. Kevin, What do the ravens have to do with anything? Well rex Ryan (ravne's defensive coordinator) is now the jets head coach and he has his team prepared and he knows what it takes to beat the WAY overated titans.
Jets -2.5 2U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#51
dodger33
It is not that i was avoiding this game. There is basically equal action on both sides. This means to me that the line prob. is not gonna change. This gives me time to evaluate the game more in depth, watch injury reports, line movement (rlm), most of all-study the games that have a higher % on a certain side i lean on earlier so i can get my bet in prior to the line moving against me. When the pub. is on the team opposite of my lean i wait as long as i can to get the most favorable line.
FYI I have been hitting around 75-80% ratio. This will not last!!! nobody can pick that well, 60% is target goal.
Comment
rezkoness69
SBR High Roller
02-16-09
249
#52
Rex Ryan and the Ravens D did beat the titans in the playoffs, but the Titans beat the ravens in the regular season. Both victories were by 3 points, so I wouldn't look too much into that angle of the matchup. good luck anyway
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#53
Rez
there is more than 1 point in my argument. Chris johnson will NOT run all over the jets and Jenkins like he did the texans. also the jets are at home, so oddsmakers are saying that the titans are .5 pts better team? no way. Darrelle Revis will put the locks on justin gage giving overated collins nobody to throw to. The titans have no pass rush, no pressure on big ben or schuab. The jets just seem like they have more motivation and chemistry together. At the same time i am only confident enough to lay 2 units on a 10 unit scale.
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#54
now that the line came out i am laying 7U on the eagles -8.5
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#55
all opinions are appreciated....thank you rezkonnes69
Comment
PedroNorth
SBR Hustler
09-18-09
56
#56
You are on fire
Hey Kev, you are demolishing the books right now, just curious how many units up were u after last season?
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#57
well. I followed the cards through the playoffs and ran astray from unit sizes, like 25+units per game on the cards and 70 units on the superbowl. So not counting playoffs i was up like 85 units on the season, over 200 on the year. I was up like 150 units and then week 16 killed me!!! went like 2-10 week 16. this year is going great but this pace won't keep up. manage your money accordingly.
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#58
we got our key number
Colts +3 3U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#59
now that the noon games are over were up 20 units even after losing that 10 unit pick
Comment
PedroNorth
SBR Hustler
09-18-09
56
#60
7-1 in the morning games, awesome. The noon games are looking iffy but its only halftime for most of them. Up 200 units last regular season is pretty damn good bro
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#61
wow.......thats all i can say
were up 37 units so far today 11- 1
maybe colts can make it 12-1
Comment
sibelius
SBR Rookie
09-21-09
9
#62
Jeezuz.
Kevin D, we need to talk.
Comment
PedroNorth
SBR Hustler
09-18-09
56
#63
Wow, 11-1, you are a beast, much respect Kev... and even after u warned that u couldn't keep the winning % going from week 1-2, it got even better
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#64
2 more units on the colts to make it a 5 unit selection...
here you go guys. The pub didn't buy it down for us, infatc it moved the other way
panthers +8.5 10U
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#65
12- 1 after today up 42 units.....
time to drink to that!
doesn't mean anything if next week isn;t a winning week....on to studying
Comment
kevindakota00
Restricted User
03-16-09
721
#66
so with vig. we are up 71.05 units or $7100.00, however you look at it. cross your fingers for carolina and lets keep it up
Comment
L2Gunz
SBR MVP
09-23-08
2199
#67
Nice Work
Comment
PedroNorth
SBR Hustler
09-18-09
56
#68
12-1 and up 42 units, this is one of those weeks I'll be remembering for the next few decades and I'll be telling the grandkids about
Comment
JIMBOK
SBR Rookie
09-13-09
48
#69
Lovin the panthers in MNF Line is moving amazing for that pick also
Comment
Danskeren
SBR Sharp
05-27-09
498
#70
Congrats - Great week.
I like the Panthers too. The whole world will be ready for som MNF.
- This is their chance to get some of their proud back.
Good luck