CK & Sexymit's NFL Pre-Season Woodshed Jobs Week 3 8/24 through 8/30/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    CK & Sexymit's NFL Pre-Season Woodshed Jobs Week 3 8/24 through 8/30/09
    Woodshed job is when you get whopped somethin fierce. The old thread had gotten packed with shit to the rafters so we had to start up some new-new thang right? Right. Well anyway I see some goodies for the week and here is where I'd like to go with my plays from what I have seen so far.

    Thursday 8/27/09

    The size of the line says it all for me. The Dolphins are the real deal and a force to be wreckoned with in the NFL. With this being the third week most of the regulars will play extended minutes. The Bucs are not in their league at this time as they are in full rebuild mode. This is the classic tale of two ships headed in opposite directions. The line indicates that the linemaker thinks that the Bucs aren't really a prohibitive favorite, and the truth is they really shouldn't be favored at all.

    Dolphins+2.5


    Friday 8/28/09

    The Packers look to be able to both defend well and also score well when necessary. Aaron Rodgers is proving the naysayers wrong and excelling on the gridiron. The Cardinals are no slouch, but I do think that with Lienert seeing more time in this game the Packers will get a few picks or a few advantages in field position. Gotta roll with the sharp money on this game.

    Green Bay+3


    In what may turn into a laugher because of the coaching advantages the Patriots have, I suggest that this game be played early so as to get under the number. I don't anticipate Tom Terrific playing in the 2nd half, but it should be well over by then. I actually feel that the Redskins backup quarterback situation is better than the Patriots. So for this pick I am going with the Pats early. With there being a home dog in this game the rule of thumb is to roll with the under.

    New England-2.5 1st half (Projected)
    New England/Washington under 38


    Saturday 8/29/09

    The Panthers have no business being favored in this game. The Ravens defense is just as fast as their offense and more talented too. Any points given to the Ravens in this game are too many.

    Ravens+3.5 -120 (Hook buy)

    The Niners are getting a touchdown? No problem. I know what to do.

    Niners+7

    The Colts are going to play Peyton for the whole first half. A peek back at their previous results reflects that the Colts play their starters more in game 3, and as a result have a sterling 6-1 ats record.

    Colts-2.5 1st half


    Sunday 8/30/09

    Broncos turn the tables on the Bears. End of story. I can't play against a winless team at home

    Broncos-1
  • Marvinj
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-15-09
    • 121

    #2
    I like it. Hopefully these teams will play for real and not like baltimore.
    Comment
    • Abrcrom12
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-14-09
      • 345

      #3
      Logging on and watchin you guys as always

      I like both the Pats and Colts 1H picks and the Ravens pick
      If you don't hang your balls out there and just do it, you'll never know what might have happened...
      -- Valentino Rossi
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #4
        I like Denver the most!
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • cocknocker
          Restricted User
          • 11-06-08
          • 8001

          #5
          Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
          Comment
          • showtime2000
            SBR MVP
            • 11-09-08
            • 1054

            #6
            The Under in NE/WAS is golden.
            Athough it's only preseason, Carolina has lost both games so far in preseason and their might be a sense of urgency for a coach on the hot seat in Fox plus two road games for them with this being their first home game. Baltimore is coming in on a short week.
            Denver fits this scenario and they look good too.
            Comment
            • showtime2000
              SBR MVP
              • 11-09-08
              • 1054

              #7
              CK, no love for the Rams tomorrow night. With the public all over the Bengals and the line staying stiff at -2.5. The Bengals have put up a measly 2 touchdown's in 2 games.
              Comment
              • masr
                SBR MVP
                • 10-20-07
                • 4773

                #8
                GOOD LUCK tonight gentlemen...!
                Also like Mia +3 (bought the hook) & CINN -ML 1H

                Comment
                • xyzky
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-23-07
                  • 1577

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                  Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #10
                    ADDED PLAY FOR SATURDAY

                    Chargers/Falcons over 42
                    Comment
                    • aznjeff07
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-22-09
                      • 1295

                      #11
                      mia is now at +1
                      Comment
                      • chaseman
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-06-09
                        • 1195

                        #12
                        MIAMI PK on bodog. Great call CK
                        Comment
                        • Pin Fish
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-28-08
                          • 1295

                          #13
                          I am on the fish thanks ck/sm also jags and both overs
                          Comment
                          • SexyMit
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-12-06
                            • 6139

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                            Woodshed job is when you get whopped somethin fierce. The old thread had gotten packed with shit to the rafters so we had to start up some new-new thang right? Right. Well anyway I see some goodies for the week and here is where I'd like to go with my plays from what I have seen so far.

                            Thursday 8/27/09

                            The size of the line says it all for me. The Dolphins are the real deal and a force to be wreckoned with in the NFL. With this being the third week most of the regulars will play extended minutes. The Bucs are not in their league at this time as they are in full rebuild mode. This is the classic tale of two ships headed in opposite directions. The line indicates that the linemaker thinks that the Bucs aren't really a prohibitive favorite, and the truth is they really shouldn't be favored at all.

                            Dolphins+2.5


                            Friday 8/28/09

                            The Packers look to be able to both defend well and also score well when necessary. Aaron Rodgers is proving the naysayers wrong and excelling on the gridiron. The Cardinals are no slouch, but I do think that with Lienert seeing more time in this game the Packers will get a few picks or a few advantages in field position. Gotta roll with the sharp money on this game.

                            Green Bay+3


                            In what may turn into a laugher because of the coaching advantages the Patriots have, I suggest that this game be played early so as to get under the number. I don't anticipate Tom Terrific playing in the 2nd half, but it should be well over by then. I actually feel that the Redskins backup quarterback situation is better than the Patriots. So for this pick I am going with the Pats early. With there being a home dog in this game the rule of thumb is to roll with the under.

                            New England-2.5 1st half (Projected)
                            New England/Washington under 38


                            Saturday 8/29/09

                            The Panthers have no business being favored in this game. The Ravens defense is just as fast as their offense and more talented too. Any points given to the Ravens in this game are too many.

                            Ravens+3.5 -120 (Hook buy)

                            The Niners are getting a touchdown? No problem. I know what to do.

                            Niners+7

                            The Colts are going to play Peyton for the whole first half. A peek back at their previous results reflects that the Colts play their starters more in game 3, and as a result have a sterling 6-1 ats record.

                            Colts-2.5 1st half


                            Sunday 8/30/09

                            Broncos turn the tables on the Bears. End of story. I can't play against a winless team at home

                            Broncos-1
                            Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK
                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                            Comment
                            • BigMoneyMan
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-14-08
                              • 925

                              #15
                              Originally posted by SexyMit
                              Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK

                              Does Ck think bad of me?
                              Comment
                              • BigMoneyMan
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-14-08
                                • 925

                                #16
                                i asked you what http//sexymit.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/ this and how you got it?
                                Comment
                                • BigMoneyMan
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-14-08
                                  • 925

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SexyMit
                                  Also want to add for Saturday Cleveland PK
                                  Originally posted by chaseman
                                  MIAMI PK on bodog. Great call CK
                                  Whers that counter yoiu alway asking me about G LOL
                                  Comment
                                  • BigMoneyMan
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-14-08
                                    • 925

                                    #18
                                    Call me Ill give you some winners. LOLLL
                                    Comment
                                    • cocknocker
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-06-08
                                      • 8001

                                      #19
                                      We've already got winners. But I will give you a call in a little while homie. It's harvest time right now and yu already know what that entails
                                      Comment
                                      • aznjeff07
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-22-09
                                        • 1295

                                        #20
                                        on the ne 1st half. I think brady will want to get his rhythm going against a horrible team just for kicks
                                        Comment
                                        • chaseman
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-06-09
                                          • 1195

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigMoneyMan


                                          Whers that counter yoiu alway asking me about G LOL
                                          Lay off the sauce, man.
                                          Comment
                                          • frostno98
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-07
                                            • 9769

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                                            Chicago will run into a booby trap in Mile High this weekend!
                                            I also think Coach McNutt might play his starter a little longer to get the W, and not let Cutler get the best of him. And Cutler will be sitting by half time, with nothing to play for!
                                            Comment
                                            • JIMMYG13
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 05-04-09
                                              • 110

                                              #23
                                              god dam new england!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
                                              Comment
                                              • cocknocker
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-06-08
                                                • 8001

                                                #24
                                                Packers are pouring gasoline all over the Cardinals' backs as prescribed!
                                                Comment
                                                • JimmyJet
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 06-27-09
                                                  • 126

                                                  #25
                                                  Is the Denver game reverse line movement? Opened at -1 now -3 and 55% consensus on the Bears. Do you still like the Broncos at -3?
                                                  Thanks for your insight and sharing...JJ
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hockeytown71
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 02-21-09
                                                    • 95

                                                    #26
                                                    I have my Lions +10 on a teaser already but, I do like that Indy 1st half play. I see Indy getting a few scores against the DAUNTING LION D, however, I also see the Lions competing and moving the ball as well. In short:

                                                    1st half plays: Indy -3 -125
                                                    Over 21 even
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vreston
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-12-09
                                                      • 1428

                                                      #27
                                                      CK I haven't been reading this thread lately mostly so as to keep away from the temptation of betting preseason.
                                                      I was wondering what you suggest for each play in units.


                                                      Also I see that bet365 isn't letting me buy points in the preseason. I don't know if they won't let me in the regular season either. I hope they do. I wasn't using them last year. If anyone knows I would appreciate it if they told me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SexyMit
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                        • 6139

                                                        #28
                                                        1 unit at the most unless we specify otherwise. But since its preseason and you have to have action, then maybe just a half a unit would be fine as well. But once the regular season starts we will start with a bankroll and keep running record.
                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • showtime2000
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-09-08
                                                          • 1054

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice night boys. Good call on Baltimore. I had Carolina thinking they would play stronger. Looks like Baltimore is the real deal this year!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cocknocker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-06-08
                                                            • 8001

                                                            #30
                                                            Niners poured the gas on the Cowboys' backs and are throwing matches at them. Ravens got it done, and the Falcons and Chargers went over as prescribed. Now time for next weeks action. Couple a juicers on the schedule. Most teams won't be playing the starters too long. So the teams where ain't shit decided yet are where the money is. I like

                                                            Bengals
                                                            Jags
                                                            Bears
                                                            Rams
                                                            Pitt/Carolina under anything
                                                            Seahawks

                                                            And Friday I like

                                                            Tampa Bay
                                                            Comment
                                                            • showtime2000
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-09-08
                                                              • 1054

                                                              #31
                                                              Rolling with Denver 2.5 tonight too!


                                                              GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kmarinouofm
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 8437

                                                                #32
                                                                loving denver tonight guys...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mcbaseball10
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-11-09
                                                                  • 2866

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Jumped on the Broncos bandwagon at -2 on Bodog
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 4TH AND STUPID
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-08-09
                                                                    • 2349

                                                                    #34
                                                                    no chris simms = disaster brewing for you guys in the second half. no brandon marshall= 1 less escape goat for kyle orton

                                                                    jay cutler is going to shit on denver

                                                                    the play is bears first half.

                                                                    generally find that i usually agree with many of your picks though prior to this one cockknocker. good luck though none the less
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • chaseman
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-06-09
                                                                      • 1195

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Escape Goat: A slang used by idiots who do not [realize] [the term] is scapegoat Somehow, this slang is becoming popular and I'm hearing it more and more....
                                                                      Comment
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