How to cap football?

kroyrunner89 · 06-02-09, 01:38 AM

in my opinion nfl is one of the best sports to look at stats to predict winners. i've built a powerful system that runs along passing yards, rushing yards, and return yards. more importantly, it focuses on how these numbers compare to what their opponents have allowed through the year so far, and how well they convert their yards into points (scoring efficiency). hope this helps a bit

The General · 06-02-09, 01:47 AM

Pick the game winner with good money management and you'll make money ATS

slacker00 · 06-02-09, 02:19 AM

1. Injuries is the first priority when capping NFL. That's probably true of any sport, but the NFL is a brutal sport defined by injury. It's the one sport where it's basically legal to go out and try to knock a guy's head off. This takes a toll on some teams throughout the course of a season, not to mention an individual player's career.

2. The NFL is all about matchups, more than other sports, IMHO. Certain teams play better under certain circumstances, some play worse. This is where stats can play a big role. For example, if I've got a hunch that a certain coach is great ATS on the road, it isn't too hard to build up a data set to examine in this modern information age.

3. Follow the leaders, experts whose insight you trust. I've got a few sources which I use to keep myself grounded. I do try to remain objective and avoid too many outside influences seeping into my handicapping, but it's tough to operate in a complete void. So inevitably, I do read and listen to a lot of opinions on how much to weight this injury to a player or that weather condition, etc. There's a lot of variables to consider when capping in the NFL, it's a fine art to know how to manage the importance and priority of each one from week to week. I always do my handicapping first, then see what other have to say, just to see if my conclusions pass the sniff test or maybe there's something I totally forgot to consider about the game.

ebbearsfb1 · 06-02-09, 03:03 PM

i personally feel football is probable one of the easiest sports to bet... but thats just me.... nba is fixed... and mlb is rough

AMBlai01 · 06-02-09, 03:09 PM

Flip a coin....

pavyracer · 06-02-09, 03:12 PM

Take the points on +10.5 or more dogs.

jjgold · 06-02-09, 03:41 PM

Do not need to know anything but QB's, the NFL always comes down to the QB.

Teasers are better than straight bets only in NFL (13 Points)