SD Chargers +11

[terrortwylight]

Can somebody smarter than me please explain why the Chargers are double digit underdogs to the Chiefs?

Is it really as simple as it seems? ie 2 teams trending in opposite directions, SD on the road, etc?

Both teams are banged up pretty bad, so I'm not sure either team has the advantage there. I expected a line around 6 or 7. Is home field really factoring in that much here??

[goldust]

SD gets blown out too often. KC is on fire, the computers think they're one of the best teams, etc.

I've had this one circled. It's been hard for SD, but they're generally in games on the road.

[Manny0825]

SD is banged up tremendously. Their entire o line is banged up. Leading wr for last few weeks is out. And rivers has a severe case of the flu. These things are leading to the 11pts. I'm going to fade this game. My lean is taking SD with the points. But there are just too many variables for me.

[goldust]

SD is banged up tremendously. Their entire o line is banged up. Leading wr for last few weeks is out. And rivers has a severe case of the flu. These things are leading to the 11pts. I'm going to fade this game. My lean is taking SD with the points. But there are just too many variables for me.

Didn't know Rivers was sick. That probably matters.

[Manny0825]

Yep. They even activated the practice squad qb Brad sorenson as insurance in case rivers can't play.

[terrortwylight]

Oh wow. That makes way more sense.

[POOLSIDE]

Don't care who the qb is here. I'm on San Diego. It's too many points plus a public darling who everyone forgets was 1-5 PLUS what's the away team's record in the last fifty or so Andy Reid games?

[terrortwylight]

Don't care who the qb is here. I'm on San Diego. It's too many points plus a public darling who everyone forgets was 1-5 PLUS what's the away team's record in the last fifty or so Andy Reid games?

I know right.. I'd be looking hard at any team getting double digits against KC

[JayDr3am]

+11.5 is just too comfy to run away from..

[Manny0825]

Don't care who the qb is here. I'm on San Diego. It's too many points plus a public darling who everyone forgets was 1-5 PLUS what's the away team's record in the last fifty or so Andy Reid games?

The Chiefs beat the chargers 33-3 in November away with rivers completely healthy. Now they're @ home and on a hot streak. 11 points is very tempting, don't get me wrong. But we have to realize that the 1-5 team is a much better team now. Clearly they figured something out. I'd just fade it personally. I like +11, but the numbers don't tell me to take the points.

[POOLSIDE]

The Chiefs beating them 33-3 is part of why I'm betting San Diego. In fact, this line wouldn't be this high if they didn't beat them by thirty. It also wouldn't be as high if the Raiders played four quarters last week.

[Manny0825]

The Chiefs beating them 33-3 is part of why I'm betting San Diego. In fact, this line wouldn't be this high if they didn't beat them by thirty. It also wouldn't be as high if the Raiders played four quarters last week.

Yea that raiders game was a joke...lol. Believe me, I want to take the points. I'm just too gun shy for this game. So much going on.

[goldust]

The Chiefs beating them 33-3 is part of why I'm betting San Diego. In fact, this line wouldn't be this high if they didn't beat them by thirty. It also wouldn't be as high if the Raiders played four quarters last week.

SD is just worse at home. They've been in every road game but one (lost by 17 @ Vikings), and that includes games @ Cincy and GB.

Still, there are plays tomorrow I like better.

[JayDr3am]

I think everyone knows how horrible SD is.. its just smart to take big points.. regardless of the outcome or really what team.. in some spots its a no brainer to take +11.

[goldust]

Plus, KC's on a tremendous run. 6 straight covers. You would expect some regression.

[terrortwylight]

I think I'm gonna take SD. If it loses, I'll double up on Oakland. If they both lose, I'll double up again on NE. That way I'll end up positive on the day (as long as I don't go 0-3 haha).

[goldust]

I think I'm gonna take SD. If it loses, I'll double up on Oakland. If they both lose, I'll double up again on NE. That way I'll end up positive on the day (as long as I don't go 0-3 haha).

Then you could double up on NYG, a play I really like.

[POOLSIDE]

I think I'm gonna take SD. If it loses, I'll double up on Oakland. If they both lose, I'll double up again on NE. That way I'll end up positive on the day (as long as I don't go 0-3 haha).

Sunday night game with the vast majority of the money on the road favorite? Careful there.

[goldust]

Sunday night game with the vast majority of the money on the road favorite? Careful there.

And with extra juice.

[PorkChop]

Double digit dog in a divisional game, everyone picking blowout.

You know what to do.

SD +10.5 (-110). POD

[Barnes & Whine]

+11.5 is just too comfy to run away from..

It never was about being comfy.

[IamsoBurnt]

take the KC chiefs -11 and thank me later

[jtoler]

How about they were 1-5 because four of those losses were to playoff teams with the jury still out on the Bears. Let's not act like all NFL games stay within 10 points. Chiefs can name their score here, itll be up to big Andy on when he wants to call the dogs off. My gut says he keeps the foot to the pedal as the Fire Andy chants are all to memorable. Dont make it harder than it has to be.

[goldust]

Thing with SD is they could be down 24 late and score two garbage touchdowns in the last few minutes.

[House]

Chiefs -6.5 first half

[PorkChop]

Sd+7 (+100) 1h

[Jeep_Life 42]

and Rivers has an illness too

[BORG]

1. Rivers messed up.
2. Stevie Johnson out, Malcolm Floyd banged up
3. Chiefs pass rush will create turnovers..
4. Chiefs secondary gets interceptions
5. Rivers throws interceptions
6. Sd secondary not good
7. Maclin is good
8. Chiefs can run ball well
9. Rainy cold game, weather here in Lawrence miserable right now..
10. This ball game is ripe for heavy turnovers, Alex smith does not turn the ball over, rivers does

[terrortwylight]

I have decided against SD. The line is just too messed up in my eyes so clearly I'm missing something.

I'm going with Jax -1.

[jtoler]

Funny, Rivers supposed to be on his deathbed yet he's out there playing in the rain, doesnt look like somebody who has the death flu, as one writer so eloquently put it.

[Beetlejuice]

yeeeeaah

[PorkChop]

Double digit dog in a divisional game, everyone picking blowout.

You know what to do.

SD +10.5 (-110). POD

[JayDr3am]

1. Rivers messed up.
2. Stevie Johnson out, Malcolm Floyd banged up
3. Chiefs pass rush will create turnovers..
4. Chiefs secondary gets interceptions
5. Rivers throws interceptions
6. Sd secondary not good
7. Maclin is good
8. Chiefs can run ball well
9. Rainy cold game, weather here in Lawrence miserable right now..
10. This ball game is ripe for heavy turnovers, Alex smith does not turn the ball over, rivers does

all the reasons why I took san diego ^