-
Comment -
Comment -
Lol. Saddest thing bout cutler is the reason we all give him so much crap is cause he not like the avg run of mill medeocre qbs doing their best. Dude has absolutely elite arm talent and despite the bs soft wrap I think is tough as nails. Dudes attitude sucks tho and the concept of leadership is nonexistent. Think that happens a lot with the guys everyone knew had the goods at a early age. The nice thing tonight is even if he throws a pick or 2 I don't think anyone in the Chargers mash unit secondary can take it to the house without pulling up lame grabbing a hammy or grion! LmaoComment -
Cutler with an under 2% interception rate this year, career best by far and he's also taken the least amount of sacks per drop back by far since coming to Chicago as well. OL is trending up and that Langford kid is fast, had the fastest 40 time at the combine and was solid at MSU. Jeffery is back 100% and dominating, Bennett is a solid threat. Rivers has Gates and nobody else, run game has been less than stellar as Melvin Gordon fumble woes, lack of ability to pass protect and bad vision have him looking like a bust.
Bears ML +200 for me
Comment -
I have a little on 1st half and gm ml but ultimately I decided no sense not taking the points and just adding more. Both teams prone to fukkin up and I'd imagine no matter how the 1st 3 qrtrs play out in the end it gonna come down to the last possession and who knows then. Nothing I hate more than losing a ml when the spread covers just cause I was greedy.. Hopefully it easy but you know with these teams it gonna be close.Cutler with an under 2% interception rate this year, career best by far and he's also taken the least amount of sacks per drop back by far since coming to Chicago as well. OL is trending up and that Langford kid is fast, had the fastest 40 time at the combine and was solid at MSU. Jeffery is back 100% and dominating, Bennett is a solid threat. Rivers has Gates and nobody else, run game has been less than stellar as Melvin Gordon fumble woes, lack of ability to pass protect and bad vision have him looking like a bust.
Bears ML +200 for meComment -
always nice to start the week in the black
Comment -
Nothing better than kicking ass on Sunday then doubling up the profit on Monday night. Certainly makes up for the miserable breaks from last week..
As always I appreciate everyone who contributes to the thread or just stops by with well wishes and support. Ya'll the reason I enjoy doing the thread and are a great help to my a.d.d. In getting me focused on 1 game at a time..
In in other news shitty week for me to use 3 damn NCAA games in btp. Woulda been perfect with all NFL. Lol.. On to next week which I'll prob start wed when I'm off work..Comment -
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.Comment -
Bank dont you think missing Murray will hit them? Carr is solid sure, but it really helps when you can hand it off to a good RB on short downs.
Backups any good?Comment -
Was looking at the ML -150 for raiders but noticed it's not out. Lol
I think Raiders at home is the right side.Comment -
Sorry my explanation of this game wasn't the best, I was pressed for time before work but wanted to get the play in cause think there a chance spread creeps higher. Wasn't really happy with after I read it. Lol. To answer bout Murry sure it a blow but I don't think it the end of the world in this game cause I'd prefer to see oak throw it a bunch. They have Reese who basically a pass catching fullback and can get short yards, jones who fast as all hell, and Roy hulo. None of them Murry but I think between the 3 they will do a fine job filling in and all are very good receivers out of the backfield. They will miss Murry between the tackles ability but that ain't the easiest place to attack minny anyways.Comment -
Bank
. Was lost in the jungle down here for a while and checked in at the right time. Checked your thread after spending a day letting it all hang out, needless to say I was in no shape to make any type of intelligent plays and rolled with your full Monday night action 
. Glad to see you doing your thing brother, always one of my favorite posters who can get a good discussion going. GL going forward my man.
Comment -
How about dem Bills. Rexy knows his former team, the weak link is cromartie and the safeties (as they have many injuries there). So I think Tyrod will expose them with woods and clay, too bad Watkins will be covered by revis. Pray he even gets like 70 yards. Not sure whats wrong with Ivory, he is my RB1/2 and if he doesnt have these goal line TD-s man he would have like 6-7 points.
Im thinking Bills ML. I know I know you hate these Thursday night fbs. So whats your opinion?Comment -
Bucs and Boys over?!?
Only set at 43, Bucs 3rd most points given up in the NFL at 29 a game. Sean Lee doubtful for Dallas, the defense looks like a complete mess when he isn't on the field.
24-21 gets it done here, I see a game in the 50s.Comment -
agree with bills, dont think cromartie even plays and agree tyrod should be able to get some things done, really like his scrambling ability in this one, actually think bills rushing attack overall is significantly better than the jets run game at this point in the season. like i said last week when fitzmagic doesnt have a run game pulling the weight to set up the pass and he relied upon to carry the offense he becomes the turnover prone scrub we know him to be. he stayed turnover free last week so the odds are slim to none he doesnt have a few tonight imo. bills outta take away the run game and cause mistakes once they have him in obvious passing situations..
all that said you know i hate this thu night crap with a passion, of all the joke things that been taking place in this league under this prick commissioner this is the worst (on the field anyway, the worst is these greedy scum sucking owners holding cities hostage to get their mf'in stadiums paid for with tax dollars so they can make a little more money while real problems are ignored).
soap box and hatred of this BS cash grab thu night shitfest aside i really wanna play the bills ml but what i think im gonna do is use them as the 1st leg of a 2 team 6 point tease, feel pretty strongly i can take bills+8.5 ignore the game and have one teaser slot down with one to go. lol..Comment -
havnt gotten to this game yet, i will tonight as im finally off that ignorant stretch of night jobs and back to working days for the foreseeable future!! (so happy bout that, lol).. just off top of my head my biggest concern would be i dont trust either offense in the red zone, not much doubt they will both be able to move the ball but will either actually come away with tds or points at all on at least half those trips? that would be what i would look into but again that just my perception, ill try and give a better answer and number i come up with tonight.Comment -
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..Comment -
How about the over in the jags/ravens game? Ravens don't have their typical defense and that jags have the offense to take advantage of that. Jags have given up a minimum of 28 points in the last 4 weeks tooComment -
Nice write up on Viking game. One other thing to watch on Viking side is health of Linebackers Barr and Kendricks both banged up. Kendricks did not play last week and Barr was dinged up. Audie Cole, (Kendricks Replacement) broke his ankle and is out. Therefore the Vikings signed a guy this week that may have to play. Both guys did not practice wednesday.
Wish they had Gerald Hodges back.
Thanks for all you do. looking forward to your college basketball posts that I followed religiously last year.Comment -
well, I put my money on half time-full time for jets for +240.. hope we can benefit on this..
Comment -
Keep up the good work banker.
Best of luck this weekend.
Comment -
There is certainly a possibility I play this over in some fashion, I dunno if it will be simply over for game or possibly jags team total over, I havnt gotten far enough to have made a decision and thus far the number hasn't shown any signs of going up on me, later tonight I should have most the card done and will have a better answer..Comment -
mia/phi un 50 (1x).. initially i was looking at playing the fish here cause lets face it a team being lead by sam bradford really has no business being td favs to anyone imo..that said i hate the spot as there not much worse places to be then playing a 3rd straight road game like the phins are doing here. i do see some value in this under since being bet up from the 47 opener. i dont expect this to be a defensive slugfest, however this a pretty high number in a game i suspect will have a ton of rushing attempts and yards. both teams have been getting gashed on the ground and i think both running games will have their way in this one. lots of attempts and lots of yards that will eat into the clock. another added bonus is neither team has been very efficient once they get into the red zone so i expect plenty of these time consuming drives to end in three rather than 7. i have phi reaching the mid 20s which i think will be more than enough as i suspect the phi d can hold mia to around 20. lets call it 26-20 eagles in a gm with a lot of fg attempts and a clock that should be moving quickly..
Originally Posted by 2daBank 
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..Comment -
jags ml +190 (.6 to 1.14)... already have them +11.5 to finish off the teaser carried over from thu night but i just cant pass this price in a game i feel the line is way off. i make jags-3 on a neutral and granted they have been bad on the road but there just no way i see balt being deserving of laying this kind of number and think pk is far closer to right. there is no facet of the game i feel ravens have a edge here. skill positions it not even close, jags young wrs and rbs are far more talented, bortles makes some mistakes but ravens havnt forced a turnover in 5 freaking games! jags defense is better and they very strong against the rush, ravens dont have the wrs to really take adv of their pass d now that smith is out for the year. sure ravens are coming off a bye but so what, a week off doesnt change the fact this team isnt all that good. 13 game road losing streak and all this a game with one team on the rise and the other falling hard. not often in the nfl do you get the better team and damn near 2 to 1 on your money. i dont care wtf happens to me it a play worth making... Originally Posted by 2daBank
Originally Posted by 2daBank
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..
mia/phi un 50 (1x).. initially i was looking at playing the fish here cause lets face it a team being lead by sam bradford really has no business being td favs to anyone imo..that said i hate the spot as there not much worse places to be then playing a 3rd straight road game like the phins are doing here. i do see some value in this under since being bet up from the 47 opener. i dont expect this to be a defensive slugfest, however this a pretty high number in a game i suspect will have a ton of rushing attempts and yards. both teams have been getting gashed on the ground and i think both running games will have their way in this one. lots of attempts and lots of yards that will eat into the clock. another added bonus is neither team has been very efficient once they get into the red zone so i expect plenty of these time consuming drives to end in three rather than 7. i have phi reaching the mid 20s which i think will be more than enough as i suspect the phi d can hold mia to around 20. lets call it 26-20 eagles in a gm with a lot of fg attempts and a clock that should be moving quickly..Comment -
RED!Bank. Was lost in the jungle down here for a while and checked in at the right time. Checked your thread after spending a day letting it all hang out, needless to say I was in no shape to make any type of intelligent plays and rolled with your full Monday night action . Glad to see you doing your thing brother, always one of my favorite posters who can get a good discussion going. GL going forward my man.
Good to see you, my man.Comment -
chiefs+4.5 (1.5x).. kc run defense been pretty strong, i dont think noodle arm peyton has the arm to beat the secondary deep which their biggest weakness. kc had this team dead to rights before bunch of bone head mistakes the 1st meeting and coming off a bye where reid has been one of the best over his career i think they will at least be in this in the end and actually think donks drop their second in a row.Originally Posted by 2daBank
Originally Posted by 2daBank
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..
mia/phi un 50 (1x).. initially i was looking at playing the fish here cause lets face it a team being lead by sam bradford really has no business being td favs to anyone imo..that said i hate the spot as there not much worse places to be then playing a 3rd straight road game like the phins are doing here. i do see some value in this under since being bet up from the 47 opener. i dont expect this to be a defensive slugfest, however this a pretty high number in a game i suspect will have a ton of rushing attempts and yards. both teams have been getting gashed on the ground and i think both running games will have their way in this one. lots of attempts and lots of yards that will eat into the clock. another added bonus is neither team has been very efficient once they get into the red zone so i expect plenty of these time consuming drives to end in three rather than 7. i have phi reaching the mid 20s which i think will be more than enough as i suspect the phi d can hold mia to around 20. lets call it 26-20 eagles in a gm with a lot of fg attempts and a clock that should be moving quickly..
jags ml +190 (.6 to 1.14)... already have them +11.5 to finish off the teaser carried over from thu night but i just cant pass this price in a game i feel the line is way off. i make jags-3 on a neutral and granted they have been bad on the road but there just no way i see balt being deserving of laying this kind of number and think pk is far closer to right. there is no facet of the game i feel ravens have a edge here. skill positions it not even close, jags young wrs and rbs are far more talented, bortles makes some mistakes but ravens havnt forced a turnover in 5 freaking games! jags defense is better and they very strong against the rush, ravens dont have the wrs to really take adv of their pass d now that smith is out for the year. sure ravens are coming off a bye but so what, a week off doesnt change the fact this team isnt all that good. 13 game road losing streak and all this a game with one team on the rise and the other falling hard. not often in the nfl do you get the better team and damn near 2 to 1 on your money. i dont care wtf happens to me it a play worth making...Comment -
jags tt ov 20.5 -125 (1x).. not much more to say that i havnt said about this game. no problem with the game over 47.5 but i just dont trust ravens to hold up their end of the deal and eclipse their tt of 26.5 so i choose this route..Originally Posted by 2daBank
Originally Posted by 2daBank
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..
mia/phi un 50 (1x).. initially i was looking at playing the fish here cause lets face it a team being lead by sam bradford really has no business being td favs to anyone imo..that said i hate the spot as there not much worse places to be then playing a 3rd straight road game like the phins are doing here. i do see some value in this under since being bet up from the 47 opener. i dont expect this to be a defensive slugfest, however this a pretty high number in a game i suspect will have a ton of rushing attempts and yards. both teams have been getting gashed on the ground and i think both running games will have their way in this one. lots of attempts and lots of yards that will eat into the clock. another added bonus is neither team has been very efficient once they get into the red zone so i expect plenty of these time consuming drives to end in three rather than 7. i have phi reaching the mid 20s which i think will be more than enough as i suspect the phi d can hold mia to around 20. lets call it 26-20 eagles in a gm with a lot of fg attempts and a clock that should be moving quickly..
jags ml +190 (.6 to 1.14)... already have them +11.5 to finish off the teaser carried over from thu night but i just cant pass this price in a game i feel the line is way off. i make jags-3 on a neutral and granted they have been bad on the road but there just no way i see balt being deserving of laying this kind of number and think pk is far closer to right. there is no facet of the game i feel ravens have a edge here. skill positions it not even close, jags young wrs and rbs are far more talented, bortles makes some mistakes but ravens havnt forced a turnover in 5 freaking games! jags defense is better and they very strong against the rush, ravens dont have the wrs to really take adv of their pass d now that smith is out for the year. sure ravens are coming off a bye but so what, a week off doesnt change the fact this team isnt all that good. 13 game road losing streak and all this a game with one team on the rise and the other falling hard. not often in the nfl do you get the better team and damn near 2 to 1 on your money. i dont care wtf happens to me it a play worth making...
chiefs+4.5 (1.5x).. kc run defense been pretty strong, i dont think noodle arm peyton has the arm to beat the secondary deep which their biggest weakness. kc had this team dead to rights before bunch of bone head mistakes the 1st meeting and coming off a bye where reid has been one of the best over his career i think they will at least be in this in the end and actually think donks drop their second in a row.Comment -
car/ten 1st half un 21 (1x).. 2 solid defenses, 2 run oriented teams. lots of punts some fgs and a fast moving clock should get us to halftime under this number..Originally Posted by 2daBank
Originally Posted by 2daBank
week 10
raiders-3 -115 (2x)... let me start this by saying ya'll know how much i like this minny team. i think i have made a play on every one of their games as i feel i have a pretty good feel for this team. granted i have been against them their last 2 road games which the only 2 losses i have betting their games this season, i dont regret either of those losses particularly the game in chi as i feel the bears were the right play and lead damn near the entire game before handing it away.
this play has nothing to do with the status of teddy b, i dont think the outcome will be any different here regardless of if he playing. i dont really think the line is wrong in the sense that my power rankings have these teams virtually identical so the -3 for home field is basically right. while i think they incredibly equal in that sense they are obviously entirely different kind of teams and i feel the matchup here favors the raiders a great deal.
1st and foremost the way to attack this oak defense is thru the air and that is just not what minny does well, with teddy they can move the chains enough to keep the run game on track but this week whoever playing qb will be asked to do more than that if they are to have success. i think the kc game is a incredibly good reference here as they another team that better defending the run and have issues defending the pass, in that game in min the vikings 16 points and struggled all day moving the rock. i believe this will look very similar to that game for them on the offensive side of the ball, most likely a few more points but you get the picture ..
i just dont think that kind of output will be enough no matter how much i like and respect the vikings defense, they are a very solid unit but not elite imo. obviously i dont expect oak to light up the scoreboard however with the way carr playing and the weapons he has on the outside i think it be next to impossible for vikings to keep them out of the low to mid 20s the way they did the crap chiefs offense while playing on the road in the black hole where good teams have been losing well before raiders became relevant again. Carr and co will throw it a ton without murry and they manage to put up 23-24 in a game they win something like 23-17 /24-20 range.
2 team 6 point teaser (1.5x)
bills+8.5
jags+11.5
talked a little bout bills game in post #508, not much more to say. only thing i dont like bout it is fact it the thu night BS of the week. cant resist tho as bills fit my teaser criteria to a tee, low total with a strong dog i think wins outright getting pushed over a td..
jags side pretty simple, i dont usually tease to this kind of number but im getting what i feel is the better team and crossing 7,8,10. i suspect this line drops further by sunday cause honestly how can anyone like the ravens here? line seems way wrong to me. i really dont see why my bortles, robinson, hurns crew wont carve up ravens secondary, jags run defense solid and flucco doesnt have anyone to throw the freaking ball to. very good chance i play jags ml as well and possible over or jags team total over. ill get more into this game later but they just looked really sexy as a partner to bills in this tease..
mia/phi un 50 (1x).. initially i was looking at playing the fish here cause lets face it a team being lead by sam bradford really has no business being td favs to anyone imo..that said i hate the spot as there not much worse places to be then playing a 3rd straight road game like the phins are doing here. i do see some value in this under since being bet up from the 47 opener. i dont expect this to be a defensive slugfest, however this a pretty high number in a game i suspect will have a ton of rushing attempts and yards. both teams have been getting gashed on the ground and i think both running games will have their way in this one. lots of attempts and lots of yards that will eat into the clock. another added bonus is neither team has been very efficient once they get into the red zone so i expect plenty of these time consuming drives to end in three rather than 7. i have phi reaching the mid 20s which i think will be more than enough as i suspect the phi d can hold mia to around 20. lets call it 26-20 eagles in a gm with a lot of fg attempts and a clock that should be moving quickly..
jags ml +190 (.6 to 1.14)... already have them +11.5 to finish off the teaser carried over from thu night but i just cant pass this price in a game i feel the line is way off. i make jags-3 on a neutral and granted they have been bad on the road but there just no way i see balt being deserving of laying this kind of number and think pk is far closer to right. there is no facet of the game i feel ravens have a edge here. skill positions it not even close, jags young wrs and rbs are far more talented, bortles makes some mistakes but ravens havnt forced a turnover in 5 freaking games! jags defense is better and they very strong against the rush, ravens dont have the wrs to really take adv of their pass d now that smith is out for the year. sure ravens are coming off a bye but so what, a week off doesnt change the fact this team isnt all that good. 13 game road losing streak and all this a game with one team on the rise and the other falling hard. not often in the nfl do you get the better team and damn near 2 to 1 on your money. i dont care wtf happens to me it a play worth making...
chiefs+4.5 (1.5x).. kc run defense been pretty strong, i dont think noodle arm peyton has the arm to beat the secondary deep which their biggest weakness. kc had this team dead to rights before bunch of bone head mistakes the 1st meeting and coming off a bye where reid has been one of the best over his career i think they will at least be in this in the end and actually think donks drop their second in a row.
jags tt ov 20.5 -125 (1x).. not much more to say that i havnt said about this game. no problem with the game over 47.5 but i just dont trust ravens to hold up their end of the deal and eclipse their tt of 26.5 so i choose this route..Comment -
Good luck today banker
Question
The under over on the Rams chicago game is 42 im debating on taking the over on this one what's your thoughts?Comment -
Tailing you on jax TT over 20.5Comment -
GL. But you really think TEN has a solid defense?Comment
