Week 15 NFL Picks

StackinGreen · 12-14-13, 10:05 PM

Dallas by far the worst pick.

All favs? Just hope you go .500

Slimpickens · 12-14-13, 10:14 PM

Who cares if there all favorites? They pay the same ATS. Why is Dallas a bad pick Stackinggreen?

SteveRyan · 12-14-13, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Dallas by far the worst pick.

All favs? Just hope you go .500

No...Indy would be the least likely to hit. Do you want to compare offenses? Dallas is superior to Green Bay. Next to Denver, Dallas has the most efficient offence in the league. Are you thinking that Green Bay is a good team right now or something? On the road in Dallas with Matt Flynn?

Big Bear · 12-14-13, 10:33 PM

i like them all except Colts and Bengals

Capper1124 · 12-14-13, 11:24 PM

GL on all your plays this week

SteveKerrsJunk · 12-15-13, 02:19 AM

Get it done

SteveRyan · 12-15-13, 07:47 PM

San Fran -5.5 WON
Indianapolis -5.5 WON
Buffalo -2.5 WON
Carolina -10 PUSH
Kansas City -5 WON
Dallas -6.5 LOSS

Cincinnati -2.5 PENDING

4-1-1 on the day so far. Not bad. Can't believe Dallas shiit the bed like that.

StackinGreen · 12-15-13, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by SteveRyan

No...Indy would be the least likely to hit. Do you want to compare offenses? Dallas is superior to Green Bay. Next to Denver, Dallas has the most efficient offence in the league. Are you thinking that Green Bay is a good team right now or something? On the road in Dallas with Matt Flynn?

First off, I do not claim anything is proved by this ... but

I was right.

And I dominated today and am historically one of the best NFL bettors here.

You did well on the rest. Great job, seriously ... keep it going. Good luck with Cinci tonight. I think the total is where it's at, but I can see Cinci playing for a lot here. Problem is that I don't trust this matchup and division aspect of the game ... so I'm staying away from sides

SteveRyan · 12-15-13, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

First off, I do not claim anything is proved by this ... but

I was right.

And I dominated today and am historically one of the best NFL bettors here.

You did well on the rest. Great job, seriously ... keep it going. Good luck with Cinci tonight. I think the total is where it's at, but I can see Cinci playing for a lot here. Problem is that I don't trust this matchup and division aspect of the game ... so I'm staying away from sides

No...you weren't.

StackinGreen · 12-15-13, 08:59 PM

Dallas -6.5 LOSS

You said it

StackinGreen · 12-15-13, 09:01 PM

It is always amazing that a guy can have a good week and not just move on about 1 pick that doesn't work out ... you act like there wasn't a reason I said Dallas was the weakest play (maybe because they have the weakest D in the league and a below average coach)?

I tried to give you credit but pride got in the way. It's too bad

SteveRyan · 12-15-13, 09:20 PM

Since you seem to be a bit slow, I will break it down for you.

1st, you said that Dallas was the worst pick...which it wasn't. Indy and Carolina were both worse than Dallas. Dallas wins or covers in that spot 7 of 10. You got lucky. Dallas had a 23 point lead at the half. How sharp did you feel then? You probably would have bet 4 units on GB 1st half.

2nd, you said "Just hope you go .500". Well, I posted 7 plays. Wanna explain how to go .500 with 7 plays? Do you think you're really that good to predict a push? Obviously, you're just talkin out your ass....like you did with your Dallas prediction.

StackinGreen · 12-15-13, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by SteveRyan

Since you seem to be a bit slow, I will break it down for you.

1st, you said that Dallas was the worst pick...which it wasn't. Indy and Carolina were both worse than Dallas. Dallas wins or covers in that spot 7 of 10. You got lucky. Dallas had a 23 point lead at the half. How sharp did you feel then? You probably would have bet 4 units on GB 1st half.

2nd, you said "Just hope you go .500". Well, I posted 7 plays. Wanna explain how to go .500 with 7 plays? Do you think you're really that good to predict a push? Obviously, you're just talkin out your ass....like you did with your Dallas prediction.

Let me get this straight:

Out of 7 plays, I call one of them the "weakest." This is the one play that doesn't hit. Yet you say I'm wrong. Huh?

If you can prove to me that you have a better record wagering or ATS (or whatever) on SBR that I do, then, and only then will I say that you could be right in your assertions such as "Dallas covers that 7 out of 10" etc etc

But you can't because your record is nowhere near mine. I'm not saying that because I'm a jerk or proud. I'm saying that because it is a fact.

And by the way, if you expect to hit that many picking all favorites in a given week in the NFL, you are as dull as your points.

Can you pick 3 good favs? Sure. If you keep hitting 7, though, you're asking for either a losing week, from the picks themselves or juice.

I hope you can make something productive of these comments, but it seems you can't even take a compliment, so I doubt it ... but I hope I'm wrong.

SteveRyan · 12-15-13, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Let me get this straight:

Out of 7 plays, I call one of them the "weakest." This is the one play that doesn't hit. Yet you say I'm wrong. Huh?

See...I knew you didn't know shitt.

Take Indy in a spot like that 10 times and you will not make money.
Take Carolina in a spot like that 10 times and you will not make money.
Take Dallas in a spot like that 10 times and you WILL make money.

Your thinking is too narrow minded and short term. You think that because a pick loses that it's a bad pick.

Originally posted by StackinGreen

And by the way, if you expect to hit that many picking all favorites in a given week in the NFL, you are as dull as your points.

I dont. That's why I mentioned it in my original post.

SteveRyan · 12-15-13, 11:46 PM

Bengals barely showed up for that game! Was a decent Sunday for me regardless.

4-2-1 66%

YTD: 32-29 52%

I screwed myself on week 6. Never should have posted those plays.

StackinGreen · 12-16-13, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by SteveRyan

See...I knew you didn't know shitt.

Take Indy in a spot like that 10 times and you will not make money.
Take Carolina in a spot like that 10 times and you will not make money.
Take Dallas in a spot like that 10 times and you WILL make money.

Your thinking is too narrow minded and short term. You think that because a pick loses that it's a bad pick.

Your comprehension is lacking. I wouldn't be a good handicapper if I "thought that because a pick loses it is a bad pick." Far from it.

Steve, you have to make the case that a losing pick was a good pick. And you have NOT done that. Your saying blah blah blah out of 10 Indy Carolina Dallas, blah blah blah without giving reasons (especially when the pick you are arguing was good lost) means absolutely NOTHING. As I stated before, for you to have any substantive ground IN and OF yourself, you either would have to be God telling me that the pick would make money in the long run, or at the very least, you'd have to be a better NFL bettor than I. Well, you aren't God, you aren't as good as I am, and as far as I can tell you are a 50/50 capper. So I'm supposed to listen to your analysis? C'mon man.

You act like I know little to nothing about the NFL, but I'm the one that needs to tell you why Dallas was not an optimal pick (hint hint they have the worst defense in NFL history and they don't even have their best D player, Lee).

Please cease telling me what I think when it's not at all what I have said or thought (losing pick necessarily a bad one, which is never what I said and don't believe).

If you had some maturity about the issue, I wouldn't be laying into you here --- if you recall I did give you credit for having a good week otherwise. But the reality is that you can't even learn from people who are objectively more successful than yourself.

That's a bigger problem than the Dallas defense.

SteveRyan · 12-16-13, 07:21 PM

Go shitt in someone elses thread dickhead. You can take your ".500" claim and shove it up you a$$. And I shouldn't need to explain to you why taking a team with a double-digit spread is a losing proposition long term over taking the home fav vs one of the worst offenses in the league.

StackinGreen · 12-16-13, 09:49 PM

If you don't get emotional and mad you might learn something. Just a thought

The worst offense in the league that put up 5 TDs in the 2nd half on every possession they had? Oh yeah, that's right, one of the "worst offenses in the league" was going against the ALL TIME worst defense yardage wise.

Seriously man, this is embarrassing.

Still, I continue to wish you well. Good luck the rest of the way.

Ok, I'll go elsewhere.