This coming week the Public will Cash and cash big
ML parlays, Teasers, ATS Parlays they all hit this weekend.
Look at all these soft lines.
Don't be a FAUX SHARP
Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#2
Eagles -4.5 over Viqueens
Seahawks- 7 over Mr. pick 6 (eli manning)
49ers- 4.5 over Buccaneers
Saints -5.5 over Rams
Patriots -1 over Dolphins
any reason why all these shouldnt cash?
all these teams need wins and all the home dogs aint got shit to play for
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inTomWeTrust
SBR MVP
10-20-13
1763
#3
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Twiz
SBR Sharp
10-22-13
442
#4
Dolphins playing for a playoff spot. Still like Pats although MIA matches up well and no Gronk isn't gonna help...that'd be a no play.
Saints look almost too easy but coming off a big win...rams d line is tough we saw what seattles did...not sure here.
Niners certainly won't lose to Bucs so I'd say strong ML play...prolly cover the spread too...
Seattle easy on the ML...7 a lot of points for giants at home...I'd say under would be the easiest play...but 41 sucks maybe tease seattle and under.
Eagles and Minny a no play its gonna be like 90% money on eagles in a look ahead game coming off an odd win streak...just not the right circumstances.
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Joey Blaze
SBR Sharp
10-01-13
267
#5
This certainly appears to be one of the easier weeks to make picks on games.. Ive already grabbed what I consider to be early value in a few of the games you mentioned.. The books cant be happy with these matchups as they stand right now so ill be curious to see how the lines move as money is bet throughout the week
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#6
Originally posted by Twiz
Dolphins playing for a playoff spot. Still like Pats although MIA matches up well and no Gronk isn't gonna help...that'd be a no play.
Saints look almost too easy but coming off a big win...rams d line is tough we saw what seattles did...not sure here.
Niners certainly won't lose to Bucs so I'd say strong ML play...prolly cover the spread too...
Seattle easy on the ML...7 a lot of points for giants at home...I'd say under would be the easiest play...but 41 sucks maybe tease seattle and under.
Eagles and Minny a no play its gonna be like 90% money on eagles in a look ahead game coming off an odd win streak...just not the right circumstances.
very good write ups.
Maybe this week is a good week for a ML parlay.
whats your favorite leans so far?
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#7
my thing with the Eagles is that turf should help a team like the Eagles that have a ton of team speed
also the Vikings have a bad pass defense if i'm not mistaken.
only question is can eagles defense get off the field. I know Vikings will use a heavy dose of AP.
i would be shocked if minnesota dome is rocking
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strictlypaypal
SBR Sharp
12-05-12
471
#8
saints 5.5 is nice, still not posted on my book.
KC / 49er ML Parlay lets gooooo
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Twiz
SBR Sharp
10-22-13
442
#9
Originally posted by Big Bear
my thing with the Eagles is that turf should help a team like the Eagles that have a ton of team speed
also the Vikings have a bad pass defense if i'm not mistaken.
only question is can eagles defense get off the field. I know Vikings will use a heavy dose of AP.
i would be shocked if minnesota dome is rocking
Minny D played tough till the last few minutes against Baltimore. Only 7 points before that. Granted Balty offense as fraudulent as they come. Played tough the week before at home against Bears too...game shouldn't have even really been that close minny had a TO on the 1...Minny been running well but they can't stop the run either...both teams gonna run here hard to say whether they gash them for TDs or pound and chew clock...I'd lean the latter so lean under but no play for me.
As far as a ML parlay as I do play these occasionally...
No value in Denver but it's automatic...
Colts..HOU in position for the #1 pick...colts need to get back on track
Zona...necessity to keep their slim (or not so slim) playoff hopes alive
Niners and Saints both look good but if I had to choose 1 I'd say Niners even though TB hotter than Rams...
Detroit should be automatic.
Maybe DET, SF, Indy, Denver...not sure what that would pay.
I'd make a point to stay away from KC ML, Philly ML, and Cincy ML...hell even seattle ML more I think about it the value isn't worth the chance that they forget to show up on offense...
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loodachris99
SBR Sharp
11-04-11
414
#10
Yea I faired pretty well with some square plays this Sunday on Chiefs, sd, and saints... Seemed too easy this weekend, only Loss was niners, n by a hook too ugh
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#11
Originally posted by Twiz
Minny D played tough till the last few minutes against Baltimore. Only 7 points before that. Granted Balty offense as fraudulent as they come. Played tough the week before at home against Bears too...game shouldn't have even really been that close minny had a TO on the 1...Minny been running well but they can't stop the run either...both teams gonna run here hard to say whether they gash them for TDs or pound and chew clock...I'd lean the latter so lean under but no play for me.
As far as a ML parlay as I do play these occasionally...
No value in Denver but it's automatic...
Colts..HOU in position for the #1 pick...colts need to get back on track
Zona...necessity to keep their slim (or not so slim) playoff hopes alive
Niners and Saints both look good but if I had to choose 1 I'd say Niners even though TB hotter than Rams...
Detroit should be automatic.
Maybe DET, SF, Indy, Denver...not sure what that would pay.
I'd make a point to stay away from KC ML, Philly ML, and Cincy ML...hell even seattle ML more I think about it the value isn't worth the chance that they forget to show up on offense...
for some reason i'm not that confident in the Colts this week. Often times a team will come out fired up after their coach gets fired.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#12
Originally posted by Big Bear
my thing with the Eagles is that turf should help a team like the Eagles that have a ton of team speed
also the Vikings have a bad pass defense if i'm not mistaken.
only question is can eagles defense get off the field. I know Vikings will use a heavy dose of AP.
i would be shocked if minnesota dome is rocking
eagles and the over are money in that gm...on that turf they will carve up minny secondary.. minny prob score some points as well but dont think they winning a shootout..
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Down_Goes Bookie
SBR Sharp
06-18-13
422
#13
Originally posted by Big Bear
only question is can eagles defense get off the field. I know Vikings will use a heavy dose of AP.
i would be shocked if minnesota dome is rocking
wouldn't be surprised if Peterson is listed as active so the Vikes get fannies in the seats and plays a bit before being pulled for the afternoon.
Adrian Peterson's latest scans confirmed no fractures or structural damage, but he'll remain in a walking boot and is very questionable for Week 15.
Peterson has been diagnosed with a sprained right foot. While it's good news that he isn't dealing with a more serious injury, ESPN previously reported that Peterson isn't expected to play against the Eagles and coach Leslie Frazier said the team's 3-9-1 record will be a factor in how they proceed with him over the rest of the season. AP will be reevaluated once he's out of the boot, but no one knows when that will be. Toby Gerhart (hamstring) would handle lead-back duties if he's able and needs to be owned in all formats. Matt Asiata is the Vikings' third-string back. Source: St. Paul Pioneer Press Dec 10 - 11:33 AM
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SharkAA
SBR MVP
11-10-13
2005
#14
Originally posted by Big Bear
Eagles -4.5 over Viqueens
Seahawks- 7 over Mr. pick 6 (eli manning)
49ers- 4.5 over Buccaneers
Saints -5.5 over Rams
Patriots -1 over Dolphins
any reason why all these shouldnt cash?
all these teams need wins and all the home dogs aint got shit to play for
Nice picks. I'd go w/ Dolphins ML, because this could be the game, where Pats can lose. Gronk is out and that's good news for Miami.
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bez
SBR Rookie
12-09-12
45
#15
Ya i like all those as well but i'm on phins ml. They are playing good football and the pats always seem to need ref calls go their way. On the road and after gronk going down i just don't see them winning. You do remember what the pats offense looked like this season without him right, not nearly as effective.
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Bagman5
SBR Sharp
08-28-13
302
#16
Originally posted by 2daBank
eagles and the over are money in that gm...on that turf they will carve up minny secondary.. minny prob score some points as well but dont think they winning a shootout..
Love the over and philly in that one. Will probably tease Seattle and Philly as well. Can't see either losing SU. Minnesota sucks and the Giants season is over.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#17
Originally posted by Bagman5
Love the over and philly in that one. Will probably tease Seattle and Philly as well. Can't see either losing SU. Minnesota sucks and the Giants season is over.
i ml parlayed phi with the over when i was putting in my mon night bet and saw the line i didnt see it getting any better.maybe total falls if ap out but i doubt it and dont think it matters, but if he is out id assume the ml will be far more than where i got it so was willing to trade..
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#18
there a reason a lot of those might not cash... agree with philly, sf will win but think better off ml them cause bucs are capable of making it a bit of a slugfest, they have a habit of playing some good teams tough... no way would i be on seachickens, nyg or nothing imo.. saints i dunno, i doubt i can play lambs but that _5.5 line for favs always shady..
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Matt1144
SBR Wise Guy
07-25-11
813
#19
I was looking to make a thread about all the good looking ML's this week so I'll just post up here instead.
I like the ML parlay of KC/SF/SEA/DEN
Eli is garbage and won't do shit against that secondary.
KC need a win to stay in the wild card hunt. They're not about to squander an impressive season and they are still one of the most balanced teams IMO. Plus Oakland is not good.
TB is hot but SF is riding hotter beating a great Seattle team. They are in the hunt as well and know they need every win they can get this close to the end.
Denver seems automatic. All I can think of here is Rivers tossing away a 4 td lead last year to Peyton. Man it was great being on Denver that game.
I think these have the best shots of winning on the ML. Spreads are gonna be a bit tougher obviously but this one pays a bit over 2:1
Thoughts?
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#20
I do like that parlay alot.
The Chiefs game concerns me the most. Only b/c of all the bad teams
playing home games i think Oakland has the best chance of getting a bunch of fans
to show up and create a strong home field advantage.
Those Raider fans are crazy and just love dressing up in those halloween type costumes i think.
That may sound silly to some but ive heard several NFL players say Oakland is one of the most hostile enviorments to play in.
That and Raiders / Chiefs is a big rivalry and Chiefs coming off such a blowout. Not a good buy low spot for the Chiefs.
As far as the actual matchups..Chiefs are better in every aspect of the game.
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#21
I feel like we may see a few underdogs win straight up though
I could def see Titans beating Arizona at home.
and
Steelers have a decent chance at home against Bengals too. As long as they arent eliminated from the playoffs by the time the game starts.
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Twiz
SBR Sharp
10-22-13
442
#22
Avoid KC like the plague. Spread, ML, everything. Not a good spot.
Might look like an idiot come sunday but I'd also stay away from the seahawks, even the ML as dumb as that sounds...That line is baiting teasers. Giants played tough D their last few games at home...sure against shitty or 1 dimensional offenses but I'd argue seahawks fit that category too. I'd cite that sloppy ass game seattle played against titans earlier this year coming off their other loss...squeaked out a game AT HOME...now they lose a close one and travel cross country to an underachieving giants team? Total a lil low...AVOID. Especially in a ML parlay where that's the steepest ML...
I been high on Arizona all year so take this with a grain of salt but they're not losing to Tennessee. Funky fieldgoals might let titans cover a 3 still...i'd prolly stay away. Maybe under...Steelers a very live dog but I'm a homer and have lost more money than I can count on them...
Love 9ers, Denver automatic on ML, think detroit automatic on ML and would easily replace seahawks in that parlay for better payout less risk, also like colts but understand why most people don't...I'd say they're a slightly better bet on ML than KC but obv understand why people would disagree.
As far as underdogs straight up I'd consider something small on washington. Lines been skewed in their favor last few weeks and they've underperformed EVERY time. Now they playing an equally shitty team in a game with shady line movement and most money on ATL...QB/Coach controversy and coming off a disgusting performance...6 point line drawing ATL teasers...almost too perfect.
/novel
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ChrisInTheMist
SBR Wise Guy
10-03-13
537
#23
Originally posted by Twiz
Avoid KC like the plague. Spread, ML, everything. Not a good spot.
Might look like an idiot come sunday but I'd also stay away from the seahawks, even the ML as dumb as that sounds...That line is baiting teasers. Giants played tough D their last few games at home...sure against shitty or 1 dimensional offenses but I'd argue seahawks fit that category too. I'd cite that sloppy ass game seattle played against titans earlier this year coming off their other loss...squeaked out a game AT HOME...now they lose a close one and travel cross country to an underachieving giants team? Total a lil low...AVOID. Especially in a ML parlay where that's the steepest ML...
I been high on Arizona all year so take this with a grain of salt but they're not losing to Tennessee. Funky fieldgoals might let titans cover a 3 still...i'd prolly stay away. Maybe under...Steelers a very live dog but I'm a homer and have lost more money than I can count on them...
Love 9ers, Denver automatic on ML, think detroit automatic on ML and would easily replace seahawks in that parlay for better payout less risk, also like colts but understand why most people don't...I'd say they're a slightly better bet on ML than KC but obv understand why people would disagree.
As far as underdogs straight up I'd consider something small on washington. Lines been skewed in their favor last few weeks and they've underperformed EVERY time. Now they playing an equally shitty team in a game with shady line movement and most money on ATL...QB/Coach controversy and coming off a disgusting performance...6 point line drawing ATL teasers...almost too perfect.
/novel
LOL
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Tkost051
SBR High Roller
11-09-13
153
#24
Originally posted by Big Bear
my thing with the Eagles is that turf should help a team like the Eagles that have a ton of team speed
also the Vikings have a bad pass defense if i'm not mistaken.
only question is can eagles defense get off the field. I know Vikings will use a heavy dose of AP.
i would be shocked if minnesota dome is rocking
If I'm not mistaken im pretty sure ap is out he says he will play but the team has other thoughts
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Twiz
SBR Sharp
10-22-13
442
#25
Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist
LOL
You're a clown. Bet all the favs and parlay their MLs if that's how you feel. If only it were that easy. If you think Seattle ML safer than Lions ML...nuff said. Same with the spread. You wasting space for a post where someone could give some insight or an angle. Whatchu on this site for...
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#26
Redskins will win this week and maybe San Diego outright on Thursday night