Tommy Karate NFL 2013/2014

Tommy Karate · 11-28-13, 11:42 PM

the moneyline pays off tonight...these teams play nothing but close games.

i dont even want to know what happened at end of the dallas game...i should have swept the board today.

StackinGreen · 11-29-13, 05:12 PM

We got'em again!

StackinGreen · 11-30-13, 09:48 AM

Is the streak going to continue?

Tommy Karate · 11-30-13, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Is the streak going to continue?

which streak is this?

Tommy Karate · 12-01-13, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Sunday 12.1

(5u) Chiefs +3.5 (T1)

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

(5u) Vikings -115 (T1)
(2u) Eagles -3 (T8)
(2u) Jets -1.5
(2u) Bills -3 (T8)
(1u) Rams +9
(4u) Texans +9 (T6/T9)

(1u) Titans +4
(1u) Jags +7
(2u) Bucs +7.5
(2u) Bengals +1 (T8)

Tommy Karate · 12-01-13, 08:20 PM

(2u) Giants +1

Tommy Karate · 12-02-13, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Monday 12/2:

(10u) Seahawks -5.5 (T8)

(2u) Under Seahawks 49

fly fisher · 12-02-13, 09:25 PM

with you on the seahawks but damn on the over again. But the one that matters is the game not the total, go seahawks.

StackinGreen · 12-02-13, 10:21 PM

streak continues

Tommy Karate · 12-02-13, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by fly fisher

with you on the seahawks but damn on the over again. But the one that matters is the game not the total, go seahawks.

Originally posted by StackinGreen

streak continues

far from over, but i need this to help offeset hoops. would love to be up around 50u heading into the playoffs for once.

Tommy Karate · 12-02-13, 11:55 PM

oh boy....sea now travels to SF Sunday after beating the niners at home.

Tommy Karate · 12-03-13, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Week 12: 14-5 (+35.3u)
T1: 1-1
T2: 1-0
T3: 1-1
T8: 1-0
T10: 4-2
T12: 1-0
===============================
YTD: 111-126 (-4.4u)
T1: 6-2
T2: 3-2
T3: 4-4
T4: 0-1
T5: 2-1
T6: 6-2
T7: 11-17
T8: 9-6
T10: 4-2
T12: 5-6

Week 13: 11-7 (+31.4u)
T1: 3-1
T3: Push
T6: 1-0
T8: 2-1-1
T9: 1-0
T10: 1-0
T12: 2-1
========================
YTD: 122-133 (+27u)
T1: 9-3
T2: 3-2
T3: 4-4
T4: 0-1
T5: 2-1
T6: 7-2
T7: 11-17
T8: 11-7
T9: 1-0
T10: 5-2
T12: 7-7

Tommy Karate · 12-03-13, 12:21 AM

Sunday 12.8

(3u) Over Eagles 54
(2u) Bucs -2.5
(10u) 49ers -2.5/-125 (T1)

fly fisher · 12-03-13, 12:27 AM

congrats on that big win. you deserved it.

Tommy Karate · 12-05-13, 10:50 AM

Thur 12.5

(3u) Jaguars +3.5 (T12)

Tommy Karate · 12-05-13, 10:45 PM

(1u) Chiefs -3
(1u) Vikings +7
(1u) Bengals -6.5
(2u) Over Broncos 48.5 (T10)
(2u) Under Chargers 47.5
(1u) Giants +3.5

Tommy Karate · 12-05-13, 11:41 PM

Thats 6-1 in the last 7 T12's Expresso...

Prepare for lots of T10's this week...

Exxpresso · 12-06-13, 07:00 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Thats 6-1 in the last 7 T12's Expresso...

Prepare for lots of T10's this week...

Nice run with the T12

Maybe there is a lot of T10 plays, we will see on sunday

StackinGreen · 12-07-13, 05:51 PM

I like SD NYG under, too

Tommy Karate · 12-07-13, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Sunday 12.8

(3u) Over Eagles 54 (T10)
(2u) Bucs -2.5
(10u) 49ers -2.5/-125 (T1)

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

(1u) Chiefs -3
(1u) Vikings +7
(1u) Bengals -6.5
(2u) Over Broncos 48.5 (T10)
(2u) Under Chargers 47.5
(1u) Giants +3.5

(5u) Cardinals -5.5 (T1)
(2u) Over KC 44 (T10)
(2u) Over Vikings 41.5 (T10)
(4u) Over Pats 47.5 (T10)
(2u) Over Bengals 43 (T10)
(2u) Over Steelers 40 (T10)
(2u) Over Packers 47 (T10)

Tommy Karate · 12-07-13, 08:16 PM

I had a feeling this would be the case. Teams that play the Seahawks (most physical team in the NFL) have the following results in the next week:

L1, L20, L30, L31, L10, L14, W14, L7, W3, L13, Tie

Gonna wait to see how i do tomorrow, but will definitely be on the panthers for at least 3u

StackinGreen · 12-07-13, 08:53 PM

Can you explain why KC is -3?

Tommy Karate · 12-07-13, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Can you explain why KC is -3?

not sure if you're saying it should be higher or lower....i think RG3 is a joke and hes lost this year without his legs. KC should get back on track this week..

StackinGreen · 12-08-13, 11:04 AM

As you may have seen on other posts of mine (but probably not) KC is -9 after taklng into consideration home field on most points predictors. I've noticed that the books typically use things like PURE POINTS with very few exceptions to set lines. One of these exceptions is this week's CAR@NO.

Someone said there is a huge trend for .250 winning % teams late in the year to cover ... what I've seen from Washington though, especially with a game that KC seems to need ... I can't believe the line isn't at least -5.5 or -6. Obviously, public all over KC.

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 01:02 PM

a bunch of T10 overs added above....GL today to everyone..

StackinGreen · 12-08-13, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

As you may have seen on other posts of mine (but probably not) KC is -9 after taklng into consideration home field on most points predictors. I've noticed that the books typically use things like PURE POINTS with very few exceptions to set lines. One of these exceptions is this week's CAR@NO.

Someone said there is a huge trend for .250 winning % teams late in the year to cover ... what I've seen from Washington though, especially with a game that KC seems to need ... I can't believe the line isn't at least -5.5 or -6. Obviously, public all over KC.

More proof that the "sharps" aren't always sharp. The public dominating here. Like with SF at Washington ...

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 03:47 PM

if Philly/Det gets over my horrible # of 54, i will attempt a cartwheel through my living room...

StackinGreen · 12-08-13, 03:49 PM

I was just about to say, unreal that that game might go over ...

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 04:00 PM

(1u) Broncos -12.5
(2u) Under Cards 41.5

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 04:30 PM

(3u) Panthers +3.5
(1u) Under Panthers 48

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 05:24 PM

if i have one more guy cross the endzone and fumble, im gonna lose it (arizona)

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 07:40 PM

up 20u for the week even with that brutal loss. could be up 40 right now if i played the ML, which i typically do for huge plays. im so pissed right now. 130-140 i could have gotten on a 10u play

SNF plays posted above..

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

I had a feeling this would be the case. Teams that play the Seahawks (most physical team in the NFL) have the following results in the next week:

L1, L20, L30, L31, L10, L14, W14, L7, W3, L13, Tie

Gonna wait to see how i do tomorrow, but will definitely be on the panthers for at least 3u

excellent writeup...

fukin jackass betting against brees at home....this bet was too easy and i over thought the play.

StackinGreen · 12-08-13, 10:13 PM

Similarly, I got snake-bit today and lost my 2 plays ... forcing me to forego this game, and I liked New Orleans.

Do you think the Florida State / Auburn opening line is off? I was surprised when I saw it (obviously because I like Auburn) but not due to who was favored but by how much.

Tommy Karate · 12-08-13, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Similarly, I got snake-bit today and lost my 2 plays ... forcing me to forego this game, and I liked New Orleans.

Do you think the Florida State / Auburn opening line is off? I was surprised when I saw it (obviously because I like Auburn) but not due to who was favored but by how much.

i am likely going auburn as well....i guess they arent getting the respect of the traditional sec teams in this game b/c their defense isnt great.