Tommy Karate NFL 2013/2014

[StackinGreen]

square up....niners look good to me in this one.

i pm'd you last night about next week...maybe you didnt see yet.

I guess it got blocked. What's up?

Yes, we'll let it fly. You think we need to lock the line early? Why ML for you?

[Tommy Karate]

I guess it got blocked. What's up?

Yes, we'll let it fly. You think we need to lock the line early? Why ML for you?

i think thats a line that steams up......

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.12

(6u) 49ers -125

(5u) Broncos -9
(3u) Patriots -6.5/-130

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.12

(6u) 49ers -125

(5u) Broncos -9
(3u) Patriots -6.5/-130

(4u) Seahawks -6.5/-140
(2u) Under Hawks/Saints 45.5
(2u) Under Patriots/Colts 52 (T3)

[Tommy Karate]

For fun, some final score predictions this weekend:

Hawks-24
Saints-14

Patriots-33
Colts-17

49ers-20
Panthers-17

Broncos-31
Chargers-17

[fly fisher]

Just pulling numbers out of my arss and because I don't think NO gets beat down again no matter how loud the crowd is. Good teams learn a lot from an embarrassing loss. My prediction is Seattle 24 and NO 20 with the ball and driving to score and either win 27-24 or lose 20-24. I think the over under is won/lost in that last minute. You know I am a small bettor and will put a small wager on the NO ML. I will probably tease a NO +14/over 39 with hopes that the total will drop 1 more pt. I like you're other predictions though

[fly fisher]

But my hope is that Seattle wins by 7 so we both win

[fly fisher]

One final ?. There always seems to be at least one favored team that loses. NE and Indy haven't played this year, Den won by 8 over SD in SD, SF beat Car in SF by 1 but Kap now running and passing they are much better and can win. So leaves only NO who was embarrassed earlier in the year and have the most to prove and will make the necessary coaching adjustments and be ready. So long story short the 2 most likely upsets are SF and Seattle and I pick Seattle

[Tommy Karate]

Just pulling numbers out of my arss and because I don't think NO gets beat down again no matter how loud the crowd is. Good teams learn a lot from an embarrassing loss. My prediction is Seattle 24 and NO 20 with the ball and driving to score and either win 27-24 or lose 20-24. I think the over under is won/lost in that last minute. You know I am a small bettor and will put a small wager on the NO ML. I will probably tease a NO +14/over 39 with hopes that the total will drop 1 more pt. I like you're other predictions though

i also think it will be a different game this time. should be more competitive for a while..

But my hope is that Seattle wins by 7 so we both win

One final ?. There always seems to be at least one favored team that loses. NE and Indy haven't played this year, Den won by 8 over SD in SD, SF beat Car in SF by 1 but Kap now running and passing they are much better and can win. So leaves only NO who was embarrassed earlier in the year and have the most to prove and will make the necessary coaching adjustments and be ready. So long story short the 2 most likely upsets are SF and Seattle and I pick Seattle

some might consider carolina being an "upset" win if they beat SF, but in betting circles this game is obviously a coin flip being at a PK.

[packerd_00]

Glad your on Denver

[StackinGreen]

Totally on the same page here Tommy, I'm even gonna buy Seahawks to 6.5 but I'm on the over NE. Thinking about playing NE small at -6.5 too ... love Denver as my play of the week.

I reversed position on SF and now think Carolina can make it a game, thus, I'm just sitting back and watching. I did add 10 to Carolina for 1 teaser to get +11. For me, Carolina has too go a chance to win to bet the game ML or ATS, but I'm torn cuz my original thought was SF ... more money to be made on the other games, in my opinion.

[fly fisher]

One other thing to think about, trend for Indy for many games is to get behind in the first half then make a come back in the 2nd H, think there is merit in taking NE in 1H at -4?

[StackinGreen]

don't get the lowering total ...

do they figure a "running game"

NE always tries to blow the shiz out of people. now neither team has a D (16 mph winds/rain? whatever, anyone see Buff/NE?)

[fly fisher]

After watching first half I am not sure NO will even score. Good call on taking Seattle TK and SG. I am on the same page with the both of you on the late game so hopefully that game can help me out.

[Tommy Karate]

don't get the lowering total ...

do they figure a "running game"

NE always tries to blow the shiz out of people. now neither team has a D (16 mph winds/rain? whatever, anyone see Buff/NE?)

CLOUDY, 90% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 12-22, GUSTY.KICKOFF TEMP 51 RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY

After watching first half I am not sure NO will even score. Good call on taking Seattle TK and SG. I am on the same page with the both of you on the late game so hopefully that game can help me out.

too bad i still play college hoops...completely ruining the enjoyment of watching the NFL playoffs.

[StackinGreen]

Carroll not challenging a clear fumble, wtf, that ends up being a huge play here

[fly fisher]

[QUOTE=Tommy Karate;20841730]CLOUDY, 90% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 12-22, GUSTY.KICKOFF TEMP 51 RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY



too bad i still play college hoops...completely ruining the enjoyment of watching the NFL playoffs.[/QUOTE

i did that waiting for this game and lost 5 units so decided to quit that for the day

[Tommy Karate]

hahahaha.................wow, what a fukking day this has been.

INT by the best db in the game - nope....auburn miracle.

[No coincidences]

hahahaha.................wow, what a fukking day this has been.

INT by the best db in the game - nope....auburn miracle.

Only way Brees can complete a pass.

[Tommy Karate]

wow, ty payton. right move if no wind, but you might as well throw it in the endzone and hope for a penalty.

cmon, 1 1st down and end this..

[Tommy Karate]

haha.....passing on 1st down with lynch. wow...

[Tommy Karate]

@Fly

you had arkansas?

college hoops is an evil evil sport to me.....

[No coincidences]

Unreal.

[Tommy Karate]

Unreal.

i booked when 7.5 and bought a point....sorry bro. that was ridic...

[fly fisher]

@Fly

you had arkansas?

college hoops is an evil evil sport to me.....

Ya I did thought we had that one

[StackinGreen]

A lot of Saints backers appealing to yardage and stats in that game to "prove" they were on the right side. With the backdoor I think they should just shut up and be thankful they didn't lose by 30, which could have easily happened.

[Tommy Karate]

A lot of Saints backers appealing to yardage and stats in that game to "prove" they were on the right side. With the backdoor I think they should just shut up and be thankful they didn't lose by 30, which could have easily happened.

i dont care....my initial lean was NO, but then i thought about how id feel watching sea's defense dominating a dome team in the pouring wind/rain. the game kind of went like i envisoned for once - NO played hard and showed up this time. we were very smart, although reg season thats a loss for me as i wouldnt buy pts.

[fly fisher]

Let's go miners!!

[juanitodelfuego]

Jumping on Denver with you. It's down to 8.5. Lucky I am doing well in big ten bball, it supports my NFL habit.

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.12

(6u) 49ers -125

(5u) Broncos -9
(3u) Patriots -6.5/-130

(4u) Seahawks -6.5/-140
(2u) Under Hawks/Saints 45.5
(2u) Under Patriots/Colts 52 (T3)

(2u) Under Broncos/Chargers 55 (T3)

[Tommy Karate]

Jumping on Denver with you. It's down to 8.5. Lucky I am doing well in big ten bball, it supports my NFL habit.

feel free to inform me on any good leans in college hoops. im lost in that sport right now.....actually always.

[juanitodelfuego]

Tonight I am running a 4.5 pt teaser on the IL @ NW game.

I have IL -1 / over 121.5 for 3x.


I aggregated all my posts into a season Thread in the NCAA bball section. You can see what I have been up to over there. 7 yrs of math/court/travel might be starting to work.

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.19

(6u) 49ers +3.5

[StackinGreen]

See my post on yours? Let's get it. By the way, yes, I should have stuck with my gut on SF ... Carolina scoreless last ~35 minutes, unreal. Kaep clearly better, went against that angle and got (sorta) burned.

[Tommy Karate]

SuperBowl Futures:

(2u) Bengals +1300
(2u) Chiefs +2000
(2u) 49ers +1000

2 down, 1 left..