Tommy Karate NFL 2013/2014

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  • StackinGreen
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-09-10
    • 12140

    #316
    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
    square up....niners look good to me in this one.

    i pm'd you last night about next week...maybe you didnt see yet.
    I guess it got blocked. What's up?

    Yes, we'll let it fly. You think we need to lock the line early? Why ML for you?
    Comment
    • Tommy Karate
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-12-13
      • 13445

      #317
      Originally posted by StackinGreen
      I guess it got blocked. What's up?

      Yes, we'll let it fly. You think we need to lock the line early? Why ML for you?
      i think thats a line that steams up......
      Comment
      • Tommy Karate
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-12-13
        • 13445

        #318
        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
        Sunday 1.12

        (6u) 49ers -125
        (5u) Broncos -9
        (3u) Patriots -6.5/-130
        Comment
        • Tommy Karate
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-12-13
          • 13445

          #319
          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
          Sunday 1.12

          (6u) 49ers -125
          Originally posted by Tommy Karate

          (5u) Broncos -9
          (3u) Patriots -6.5/-130
          (4u) Seahawks -6.5/-140
          (2u) Under Hawks/Saints 45.5
          (2u) Under Patriots/Colts 52 (T3)
          Comment
          • Tommy Karate
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-12-13
            • 13445

            #320
            For fun, some final score predictions this weekend:

            Hawks-24
            Saints-14

            Patriots-33
            Colts-17

            49ers-20
            Panthers-17

            Broncos-31
            Chargers-17

            Comment
            • fly fisher
              SBR MVP
              • 01-25-10
              • 2587

              #321
              Just pulling numbers out of my arss and because I don't think NO gets beat down again no matter how loud the crowd is. Good teams learn a lot from an embarrassing loss. My prediction is Seattle 24 and NO 20 with the ball and driving to score and either win 27-24 or lose 20-24. I think the over under is won/lost in that last minute. You know I am a small bettor and will put a small wager on the NO ML. I will probably tease a NO +14/over 39 with hopes that the total will drop 1 more pt. I like you're other predictions though
              Comment
              • fly fisher
                SBR MVP
                • 01-25-10
                • 2587

                #322
                But my hope is that Seattle wins by 7 so we both win
                Comment
                • fly fisher
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-25-10
                  • 2587

                  #323
                  One final ?. There always seems to be at least one favored team that loses. NE and Indy haven't played this year, Den won by 8 over SD in SD, SF beat Car in SF by 1 but Kap now running and passing they are much better and can win. So leaves only NO who was embarrassed earlier in the year and have the most to prove and will make the necessary coaching adjustments and be ready. So long story short the 2 most likely upsets are SF and Seattle and I pick Seattle
                  Comment
                  • Tommy Karate
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-12-13
                    • 13445

                    #324
                    Originally posted by fly fisher
                    Just pulling numbers out of my arss and because I don't think NO gets beat down again no matter how loud the crowd is. Good teams learn a lot from an embarrassing loss. My prediction is Seattle 24 and NO 20 with the ball and driving to score and either win 27-24 or lose 20-24. I think the over under is won/lost in that last minute. You know I am a small bettor and will put a small wager on the NO ML. I will probably tease a NO +14/over 39 with hopes that the total will drop 1 more pt. I like you're other predictions though
                    i also think it will be a different game this time. should be more competitive for a while..

                    Originally posted by fly fisher
                    But my hope is that Seattle wins by 7 so we both win
                    Originally posted by fly fisher
                    One final ?. There always seems to be at least one favored team that loses. NE and Indy haven't played this year, Den won by 8 over SD in SD, SF beat Car in SF by 1 but Kap now running and passing they are much better and can win. So leaves only NO who was embarrassed earlier in the year and have the most to prove and will make the necessary coaching adjustments and be ready. So long story short the 2 most likely upsets are SF and Seattle and I pick Seattle
                    some might consider carolina being an "upset" win if they beat SF, but in betting circles this game is obviously a coin flip being at a PK.
                    Comment
                    • packerd_00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-22-13
                      • 17823

                      #325
                      Glad your on Denver
                      Comment
                      • StackinGreen
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-09-10
                        • 12140

                        #326
                        Totally on the same page here Tommy, I'm even gonna buy Seahawks to 6.5 but I'm on the over NE. Thinking about playing NE small at -6.5 too ... love Denver as my play of the week.

                        I reversed position on SF and now think Carolina can make it a game, thus, I'm just sitting back and watching. I did add 10 to Carolina for 1 teaser to get +11. For me, Carolina has too go a chance to win to bet the game ML or ATS, but I'm torn cuz my original thought was SF ... more money to be made on the other games, in my opinion.
                        Comment
                        • fly fisher
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-25-10
                          • 2587

                          #327
                          One other thing to think about, trend for Indy for many games is to get behind in the first half then make a come back in the 2nd H, think there is merit in taking NE in 1H at -4?
                          Comment
                          • StackinGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-09-10
                            • 12140

                            #328
                            don't get the lowering total ...

                            do they figure a "running game"

                            NE always tries to blow the shiz out of people. now neither team has a D (16 mph winds/rain? whatever, anyone see Buff/NE?)
                            Comment
                            • fly fisher
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-25-10
                              • 2587

                              #329
                              After watching first half I am not sure NO will even score. Good call on taking Seattle TK and SG. I am on the same page with the both of you on the late game so hopefully that game can help me out.
                              Comment
                              • Tommy Karate
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-12-13
                                • 13445

                                #330
                                Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                don't get the lowering total ...

                                do they figure a "running game"

                                NE always tries to blow the shiz out of people. now neither team has a D (16 mph winds/rain? whatever, anyone see Buff/NE?)
                                CLOUDY, 90% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 12-22, GUSTY.KICKOFF TEMP 51 RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY

                                Originally posted by fly fisher
                                After watching first half I am not sure NO will even score. Good call on taking Seattle TK and SG. I am on the same page with the both of you on the late game so hopefully that game can help me out.
                                too bad i still play college hoops...completely ruining the enjoyment of watching the NFL playoffs.
                                Comment
                                • StackinGreen
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-09-10
                                  • 12140

                                  #331
                                  Carroll not challenging a clear fumble, wtf, that ends up being a huge play here
                                  Comment
                                  • fly fisher
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-25-10
                                    • 2587

                                    #332
                                    [QUOTE=Tommy Karate;20841730]CLOUDY, 90% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 12-22, GUSTY.KICKOFF TEMP 51 RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY



                                    too bad i still play college hoops...completely ruining the enjoyment of watching the NFL playoffs.[/QUOTE

                                    i did that waiting for this game and lost 5 units so decided to quit that for the day
                                    Comment
                                    • Tommy Karate
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-12-13
                                      • 13445

                                      #333
                                      hahahaha.................wow, what a fukking day this has been.

                                      INT by the best db in the game - nope....auburn miracle.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                        hahahaha.................wow, what a fukking day this has been.

                                        INT by the best db in the game - nope....auburn miracle.
                                        Only way Brees can complete a pass.
                                        Comment
                                        • Tommy Karate
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-12-13
                                          • 13445

                                          #335
                                          wow, ty payton. right move if no wind, but you might as well throw it in the endzone and hope for a penalty.

                                          cmon, 1 1st down and end this..
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy Karate
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-12-13
                                            • 13445

                                            #336
                                            haha.....passing on 1st down with lynch. wow...
                                            Comment
                                            • Tommy Karate
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-12-13
                                              • 13445

                                              #337
                                              @Fly

                                              you had arkansas?

                                              college hoops is an evil evil sport to me.....
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #338
                                                Unreal.
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                  • 13445

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Unreal.
                                                  i booked when 7.5 and bought a point....sorry bro. that was ridic...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • fly fisher
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-25-10
                                                    • 2587

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                    @Fly

                                                    you had arkansas?

                                                    college hoops is an evil evil sport to me.....
                                                    Ya I did thought we had that one
                                                    Comment
                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                      • 12140

                                                      #341
                                                      A lot of Saints backers appealing to yardage and stats in that game to "prove" they were on the right side. With the backdoor I think they should just shut up and be thankful they didn't lose by 30, which could have easily happened.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                        • 13445

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                        A lot of Saints backers appealing to yardage and stats in that game to "prove" they were on the right side. With the backdoor I think they should just shut up and be thankful they didn't lose by 30, which could have easily happened.
                                                        i dont care....my initial lean was NO, but then i thought about how id feel watching sea's defense dominating a dome team in the pouring wind/rain. the game kind of went like i envisoned for once - NO played hard and showed up this time. we were very smart, although reg season thats a loss for me as i wouldnt buy pts.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fly fisher
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-25-10
                                                          • 2587

                                                          #343
                                                          Let's go miners!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • juanitodelfuego
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-12-09
                                                            • 514

                                                            #344
                                                            Jumping on Denver with you. It's down to 8.5. Lucky I am doing well in big ten bball, it supports my NFL habit.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tommy Karate
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-12-13
                                                              • 13445

                                                              #345
                                                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                              Sunday 1.12

                                                              (6u) 49ers -125
                                                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                              (5u) Broncos -9
                                                              (3u) Patriots -6.5/-130
                                                              Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                              (4u) Seahawks -6.5/-140
                                                              (2u) Under Hawks/Saints 45.5
                                                              (2u) Under Patriots/Colts 52 (T3)
                                                              (2u) Under Broncos/Chargers 55 (T3)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy Karate
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-12-13
                                                                • 13445

                                                                #346
                                                                Originally posted by juanitodelfuego
                                                                Jumping on Denver with you. It's down to 8.5. Lucky I am doing well in big ten bball, it supports my NFL habit.
                                                                feel free to inform me on any good leans in college hoops. im lost in that sport right now.....actually always.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • juanitodelfuego
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-12-09
                                                                  • 514

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Tonight I am running a 4.5 pt teaser on the IL @ NW game.

                                                                  I have IL -1 / over 121.5 for 3x.


                                                                  I aggregated all my posts into a season Thread in the NCAA bball section. You can see what I have been up to over there. 7 yrs of math/court/travel might be starting to work.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tommy Karate
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-12-13
                                                                    • 13445

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Sunday 1.19

                                                                    (6u) 49ers +3.5
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 12140

                                                                      #349
                                                                      See my post on yours? Let's get it. By the way, yes, I should have stuck with my gut on SF ... Carolina scoreless last ~35 minutes, unreal. Kaep clearly better, went against that angle and got (sorta) burned.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                                        • 13445

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                                        SuperBowl Futures:

                                                                        (2u) Bengals +1300
                                                                        (2u) Chiefs +2000

                                                                        (2u) 49ers +1000
                                                                        2 down, 1 left..
                                                                        Comment
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