survival of the fittest - mikeya2k nfl picks

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  • mikeya2k
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-13
    • 2719

    #71
    Chargers PK / Falcons -4 TEASE (2.2 units to win 2)

    Lets roll
    Comment
    • mikeya2k
      SBR MVP
      • 09-12-13
      • 2719

      #72
      Gonna get buried here if San Diego doesn't wake up
      Comment
      • mikeya2k
        SBR MVP
        • 09-12-13
        • 2719

        #73
        Just gross. Killed myself. Had such a great advantage with ATL -1 . Should have let it play out.

        Really Really Really Really Really Really Really Really sick to my stomach.
        Comment
        • mikeya2k
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-13
          • 2719

          #74
          Should just lick my wounds.
          Gonna add some salt.

          Chargers tt o14 2H (3.3 units to win 3)
          Comment
          • Pickem2win
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-16-11
            • 978

            #75
            Wow...How many units did you drop on the Chargers? 20+?? Sometimes you just gotta know when to fold up the tent and wait for another day.
            Comment
            • mikeya2k
              SBR MVP
              • 09-12-13
              • 2719

              #76
              Rough outing with the Bolts. Made my first impulsive mistake of the year. Not for nothing, I've never seen a team make so many mistakes and have a chance to get the ball back if they stop Pryor on 3rd and 14 to tie it up. Made the guy look like penetrating Tom Brady
              Comment
              • mikeya2k
                SBR MVP
                • 09-12-13
                • 2719

                #77
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Pending:
                Originally posted by mikeya2k

                over 47 dallas denver / over 34 houston san fran / atlanta -1 (4.3 units to win 4)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Teaser 3 team

                over 47 / dallas +16.5 / ATL -1 2.1 units to win 2
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                San fran -.5 1Q (1 unit to win 1)
                San Fran / houston over 7.5 (1 unit to win 1)
                [QUOTE=mikeya2k;19834676]

                San Fran -3 (3.8 units to win 3 units)
                San Fran -4 / over 43 (1 unit to win 2.8 units)
                Over 43 (2.2 units to win 2 units)

                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Adding:

                Parlay (Fran -220/ Diego -260) (1.9 units to win 2 units)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Adding

                San Fran -3 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                San Fran TT o24 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k

                Chargers tt o14 2H (3.3 units to win 3)

                Originally posted by mikeya2k

                San Diego -3 (6.5 units to win 4 units)

                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                P River over 270.5 pass yrds (1.2 units to win 1 )

                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                2H over 20 (2.2 units to win 2)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Chargers -.5 1Q (1 unit to win 1)
                Mathews over 64.5 Rushing yards (1 unit to win 1)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Chargers PK / Falcons -4 TEASE (2.2 units to win 2)

                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                Chargers -3 (3.3 units to win 2 units)
                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                San Diego ML / Atlanta ML (3 units to win 2 units)

                So yeah that happened
                Comment
                • mikeya2k
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-12-13
                  • 2719

                  #78
                  Was +10 units

                  Now -3.3 units


                  (lost 13.3 on the chargers)

                  Going to make some small plays on tonight game, if any at all. Watching that game last night taught me to be more discipline. Was having a great night with the Niners.


                  If ATL wins SU I gain back 6 or 7 units
                  Comment
                  • mikeya2k
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-12-13
                    • 2719

                    #79
                    Adding:

                    Falcons -4 / Bears -1.5 Tease (2.2 units to win 1)
                    Green Bay -3 (2 units to win 2)
                    Bears -7 (1.2 units to win 1)
                    Comment
                    • mikeya2k
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-12-13
                      • 2719

                      #80
                      Falcons -4 / BearsGMEN over 40 (2.2 units to win 2)
                      Comment
                      • mikeya2k
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-12-13
                        • 2719

                        #81
                        Falcons 1Q -3 (1.3 unit to win 1)
                        1H -7 (1.1 units to win 1)
                        Atlanta -9.5 (1.2 unit to win 1)
                        Comment
                        • mikeya2k
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-12-13
                          • 2719

                          #82
                          Tease ATL -1 / o 38.5 GMEN BEARS / Over 39 PACKERS RAVENS (1.1 unit to win 1)
                          Comment
                          • mikeya2k
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-12-13
                            • 2719

                            #83
                            Falcons -4 / Houston -1 (2.2 units to win 1 unit)
                            Comment
                            • mikeya2k
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-13
                              • 2719

                              #84
                              Lets get this back.
                              Comment
                              • mikeya2k
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-12-13
                                • 2719

                                #85
                                Falcons -1 / 49ers -2.5 / Texans +2 ( 3.3 units to win 3)
                                Comment
                                • mikeya2k
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-13
                                  • 2719

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                  Falcons -1 / 49ers -2.5 / Texans +2 ( 3.3 units to win 3)
                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                  Adding:

                                  Falcons -4 / Bears -1.5 Tease (2.2 units to win 1)
                                  Green Bay -3 (2 units to win 2)
                                  Bears -7 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                  Falcons -4 / BearsGMEN over 40 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                  Falcons 1Q -3 (1.3 unit to win 1)
                                  1H -7 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                  Atlanta -9.5 (1.2 unit to win 1)
                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                  Tease ATL -1 / o 38.5 GMEN BEARS / Over 39 PACKERS RAVENS (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                  -8.1 units .

                                  Big swing from Atlanta and San diego.

                                  Gonna have to grind it out.

                                  Still shocked.

                                  Must be discipline now and not get sucked up by chasing and tilt....which is a common tendency of mine (as you can tell by SDiego and ATL)
                                  Comment
                                  • mikeya2k
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-12-13
                                    • 2719

                                    #87
                                    -11.1 units on the year

                                    Going to take a lot of digging for me....but grinding and discipline and get me back in the
                                    green

                                    I will be tracking my plays more organized, trying to see what I am hitting at a good rate. (props, moneyline, parlay, teasers, etc.)
                                    Comment
                                    • mikeya2k
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-12-13
                                      • 2719

                                      #88
                                      The grind begins.

                                      Here is what I have so far

                                      Packers -3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                      Lions -2.5 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                      panthers +3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                      hous 1h tt o 13 (1.6 units to win 1.5)
                                      pitt -1 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                      denver 1q -7 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                      houston over 26 (1.1 untis to win 1)
                                      det -7.5 (1 unit to win 2.2 units)
                                      cincy/hous/seattle ml parlay (2 units to win 2)
                                      sfran 1q -.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                      over 43 houston (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                      Comment
                                      • mikeya2k
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-12-13
                                        • 2719

                                        #89
                                        hous 2h -8 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                        Comment
                                        • mikeya2k
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-13
                                          • 2719

                                          #90
                                          carolina tt o9.5 (1.1 unit to win1 )
                                          Comment
                                          • mikeya2k
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-12-13
                                            • 2719

                                            #91
                                            2h pitt tt o10 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                            Comment
                                            • mikeya2k
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-12-13
                                              • 2719

                                              #92
                                              gbay 2h tt o10.5 (1.2 units to win1)
                                              Comment
                                              • mikeya2k
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-12-13
                                                • 2719

                                                #93
                                                det o12 second half tt (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                Comment
                                                • mikeya2k
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-12-13
                                                  • 2719

                                                  #94
                                                  san fran -1 / seattle -2.5 / over 41.5 pats saints (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mikeya2k
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-12-13
                                                    • 2719

                                                    #95
                                                    san fran -1 / seattle -2.5 / o41 san diego (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mikeya2k
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-13
                                                      • 2719

                                                      #96
                                                      how the packers didnt cover was beyond me.
                                                      They could have won by 10+ easily

                                                      adding:

                                                      1q san fran (1.3 unit to win1)
                                                      Jack 1h TT o6 (1 unit to win 1)
                                                      seattle -12 (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                      Arizona TT under 15 (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                      Pats o10 1q (1 unit to win 1)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mikeya2k
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-12-13
                                                        • 2719

                                                        #97
                                                        pats -2.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                        over 51 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mikeya2k
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-12-13
                                                          • 2719

                                                          #98
                                                          2h -14 denver (1 unit ot win 1)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mikeya2k
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-12-13
                                                            • 2719

                                                            #99
                                                            o43 dallas / +8 indy / over 41 san diego indy (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                            dez over 90.5 ( 1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                            o10 1Q dallas wash (1.2 units to win1)
                                                            o52 dallas wash (2.2 units to win 1)
                                                            Washington 1st half o 11.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                            Washington TT over 23 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                            Washington ML Parlay Over 52 (1 unit to win 5.5 units)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mikeya2k
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-12-13
                                                              • 2719

                                                              #100
                                                              funny impulse here. just think the skins play great after the bye, and dallas comes out playing a little lackadaisical

                                                              1st half skins +3.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mikeya2k
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-12-13
                                                                • 2719

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                funny impulse here. just think the skins play great after the bye, and dallas comes out playing a little lackadaisical

                                                                1st half skins +3.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                o43 dallas / +8 indy / over 41 san diego indy (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                                dez over 90.5 ( 1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                o10 1Q dallas wash (1.2 units to win1)
                                                                o52 dallas wash (2.2 units to win 1)
                                                                Washington 1st half o 11.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Washington TT over 23 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Washington ML Parlay Over 52 (1 unit to win 5.5 units)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                2h -14 denver (1 unit ot win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                pats -2.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                over 51 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                how the packers didnt cover was beyond me.
                                                                They could have won by 10+ easily

                                                                adding:

                                                                1q san fran (1.3 unit to win1)
                                                                Jack 1h TT o6 (1 unit to win 1)
                                                                seattle -12 (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                                Arizona TT under 15 (1.1 unit to win1)

                                                                Pats o10 1q (1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                san fran -1 / seattle -2.5 / o41 san diego (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                san fran -1 / seattle -2.5 / over 41.5 pats saints (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                det o12 second half tt (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                gbay 2h tt o10.5 (1.2 units to win1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                2h pitt tt o10 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                carolina tt o9.5 (1.1 unit to win1 )
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                hous 2h -8 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                The grind begins.

                                                                Here is what I have so far

                                                                Packers -3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                Lions -2.5 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                panthers +3 (2.2 units to win 2)

                                                                hous 1h tt o 13 (1.6 units to win 1.5)
                                                                pitt -1 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                                denver 1q -7 (1.1 units to win 1)

                                                                houston over 26 (1.1 untis to win 1)
                                                                det -7.5 (1 unit to win 2.2 units)
                                                                cincy/hous/seattle ml parlay (2 units to win 2)
                                                                sfran 1q -.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                over 43 houston (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                Also played Dallas TT over 13 in the second half for a unit. Wish I made a bigger wager. I typically dont go to much more than a unit on 2H plays especially when it looks like I'll be losing a lot in the game anyways. But That was like stealing.

                                                                I couldnt believe that game didnt go over.

                                                                Really needed a TD by RG3 in the 4th quarter. They had so many opportunity's....Would have hit there TT and the over in the game and basically broke even. Couldnt believe it.

                                                                Unfortunately another losing day. I think I need to stop with volume plays and be discipline. I had a lot of success last year and banged them out really good...but just doesnt seem to be happening and im really burying myself here.

                                                                RG3 really looks terrible. He looked a little more mobile, but they do not seem to have the same team. Shanahan seems to have even lost them after the late season RG3 debacle. They cant run the ball, teams are not threatened by RG3 mobility. Just a bad situation for the Skins right now.

                                                                Also, was shocked by the Texans. If they dont can Kubiak then IDK what these teams are thinking.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikeya2k
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-13
                                                                  • 2719

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Colts tt over 26. 1.1 to win 1

                                                                  over 41 tonight / over 31 houston kcity / gbay -1.5 1.1 to win 1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mikeya2k
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-12-13
                                                                    • 2719

                                                                    #103
                                                                    over 45 / +6 indy 1.1 unit to win 1
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mikeya2k
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-13
                                                                      • 2719

                                                                      #104
                                                                      YTD- -17.7

                                                                      These teasers are not hitting. Realizing they are mostly sucker bets

                                                                      For week 7:

                                                                      Giants -3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                      Falcons -7 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mikeya2k
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-12-13
                                                                        • 2719

                                                                        #105
                                                                        -17.7 ytd

                                                                        falcons -7 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                        pitt -2 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                        carolina gbay ml parlay (3.3 units to win 2)
                                                                        pats -3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                                        lions -2.3 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                        philly over 55 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                        dolphins PK / over 42 chicago wash (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                        carolina -7 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                        san diego over 44.5 (1.1 unit to win 1)
                                                                        over 48 chicago (1.1 unit to win1)
                                                                        dallas -3.5 alt line ( 1 unit to win 2.4 units)
                                                                        Comment
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