survival of the fittest - mikeya2k nfl picks

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  • mikeya2k
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-13
    • 2719

    #1
    survival of the fittest - mikeya2k nfl picks
    2 weeks gone, got a feel for these teams.
    ready to take home the bacon.
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    I've got SEA this week, fairly no-brainer fading JAX until they start getting key players back. Used: NE & OAK.
    Comment
    • mikeya2k
      SBR MVP
      • 09-12-13
      • 2719

      #3
      As youll come to learn. i know my shit, but i can get emotional and indiscipline. lets hope to beat these habits and overall beat these books.

      lets get em

      September 22 week 3

      Dallas Cowboys -3 (3.4 units to win 3)
      Houston Texans -1 (1.1 units to win 1)
      Green Bay Packers ML (1.4 units to win 1)
      Atlanta Falcons +3 (1.2 units to win 1)
      Over 48 Detroit Washington (1.1 units to win 1)
      Tease Saints -.5/over 42 (1.1 units to win 1)
      Tease Minnesota pk/saints.5 (2.2 units to win 2)
      Tease Patriots .5/minnesota pk (1.1 units to win 1)
      Stafford Over 2 passing TDs (2.3 units to win 2)
      Rodgers over 2.5 Passing TDS (1 unit to win 1)


      Partly square plays, but its early in the season and the books dont hold those advantages over us.
      YTD:
      (0-0) up 0 units
      Comment
      • mikeya2k
        SBR MVP
        • 09-12-13
        • 2719

        #4
        Originally posted by slacker00
        I've got SEA this week, fairly no-brainer fading JAX until they start getting key players back. Used: NE & OAK.
        Yes I have 4 survivor picks. All survived, took seattle with all 4 this week.....
        Comment
        • mikeya2k
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-13
          • 2719

          #5
          September 22 week 3
          Adding:
          Over 47 Giants/ Panthers (1.1 to win 1 unit)
          Comment
          • mikeya2k
            SBR MVP
            • 09-12-13
            • 2719

            #6
            Originally posted by mikeya2k
            As youll come to learn. i know my shit, but i can get emotional and indiscipline. lets hope to beat these habits and overall beat these books.

            lets get em

            September 22 week 3

            Dallas Cowboys -3 (3.4 units to win 3)
            Houston Texans -1 (1.1 units to win 1)
            Green Bay Packers ML (1.4 units to win 1)
            Atlanta Falcons +3 (1.2 units to win 1)
            Over 48 Detroit Washington (1.1 units to win 1)
            Tease Saints -.5/over 42 (1.1 units to win 1)
            Tease Minnesota pk/saints.5 (2.2 units to win 2)
            Tease Patriots .5/minnesota pk (1.1 units to win 1)
            Stafford Over 2 passing TDs (2.3 units to win 2)
            Rodgers over 2.5 Passing TDS (1 unit to win 1)


            Partly square plays, but its early in the season and the books dont hold those advantages over us.
            YTD:
            (0-0) up 0 units
            Originally posted by mikeya2k
            September 22 week 3
            Adding:
            Over 47 Giants/ Panthers (1.1 to win 1 unit)

            September 22 week 3
            Adding
            Atlanta Moneyline (1 unit to win 1.35 unit)
            Over 46 San Francisco Indy (1.1 unit to win 1)
            Comment
            • mikeya2k
              SBR MVP
              • 09-12-13
              • 2719

              #7
              Some absolutely ABYSMAL turn of events in the 4th quarter. Looks to go from a promising to a crushing day.
              Comment
              • mikeya2k
                SBR MVP
                • 09-12-13
                • 2719

                #8
                I guess you cannot cap the Minnesota defense giving up 400+ yards of offense to this team that couldn't score a point, and the drama. The packers fumbling while running out the clock and going 6 the other way, RG3 not scoring at the end kicking a FG to put it at 47, giants getting SHUT OUT, just absolute horse shit.

                Made bad plays with Houston. Hopefully the 4:00 plays help us get back to the green.
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  MIN needs to fire their coach or something. They've got all the talent in the world, I'm starting to blame the coaching.
                  Comment
                  • mikeya2k
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-12-13
                    • 2719

                    #10
                    couldnt believe the turn of events. falcons and dolphins.....this game last year would not ended in that manner.
                    The nfl is a little bit of a juggernaut after this week, san fran offense shits the bed....looked like a powerhouse week 1.....

                    gotta ride the wave.
                    Chicago bears -2 (2.2 to win 2 units)
                    Chicago team total over (1.1 to win 1)
                    Chicago is the better team......pittsburgh offense is in the shitter and they are going to leave there defense in tough field position.......just think the books have this one wrong early in the season overvaluing steelers at home in this situation...
                    Comment
                    • mikeya2k
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-12-13
                      • 2719

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                      As youll come to learn. i know my shit, but i can get emotional and indiscipline. lets hope to beat these habits and overall beat these books.

                      lets get em

                      September 22 week 3

                      Dallas Cowboys -3 (3.4 units to win 3)
                      Houston Texans -1 (1.1 units to win 1)
                      Green Bay Packers ML (1.4 units to win 1)
                      Atlanta Falcons +3 (1.2 units to win 1)
                      Over 48 Detroit Washington (1.1 units to win 1)

                      Tease Saints -.5/over 42 (1.1 units to win 1)
                      Tease Minnesota pk/saints.5 (2.2 units to win 2)
                      Tease Patriots .5/minnesota pk (1.1 units to win 1)
                      Stafford Over 2 passing TDs (2.3 units to win 2)
                      Rodgers over 2.5 Passing TDS (1 unit to win 1)
                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                      Over 47 Giants/ Panthers (1.1 to win 1 unit)
                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                      Atlanta Moneyline (1 unit to win 1.35 unit)
                      Over 46 San Francisco Indy (1.1 unit to win 1)
                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                      Chicago bears -2 (2.2 to win 2 units)
                      Chicago team total over (1.1 to win 1)

                      Tough week. Shouldn't have jumped all over Minnesota, but still, getting them as a PK em at home seemed to be easy...once again, NOTHING IS EASY! Giants and Carolina, I feel as though the over was the right play and I would make it again. How that offense got SHUTOUT is beyond me........Green Bay once again was the right play, totally choked that game away....one inch away from locking the game, and he fumbles AND they go for 6 the other way. RG3 and Detroit seemed to be a lock after the quick 14-14 start (along with the Stafford TD over) Unfortunately, RG3 got that long touchdown called back, which was a KILLER, however the play was still in great shape as they were on the 1 yard line and had 1st and goal....they settled for a field goal to make it a one possession game. Absurd. Atlanta was all over Miami, but they hung tough at home and proved a lot to me. Still thought the value was with Atlanta. Sometimes the good, or in this case, bad breaks, dont always help your bankroll.......



                      YTD -7.4 units

                      Comment
                      • mikeya2k
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-12-13
                        • 2719

                        #12
                        September 23
                        Over 10 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)
                        Denver -3.5 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)

                        I like Denver, they are potent. Way to potent for Oakland. I believe they come out to play back at home on a Monday Night and keep rolling. I think Manning and company stress a quick start offensively and defensively, not allowing Raiders to control T.O.P out of the gate. They are well aware that if they get a 2 score lead early it will be smooth sailing. I like the value in the 3.5 and the over 10. If its a 7-3 1q we are in the green. I could very well see this one getting ugly from out of the gate. Im afraid of a backdoor cover in this game, so i think these will be my only plays.
                        Comment
                        • mikeya2k
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-12-13
                          • 2719

                          #13
                          Adding:
                          Over 4.5 sacks (1 unit to win 1.1)
                          Over 46.5 longest FG made (1 unit to win 1 unit)

                          Not a big props guy but I see lots of value in this. Two very good legs, denver is a great place to kick, winds only up to a few mph, and also I could see a lot of sacks in this game especially late garbage time when oakland is throwing almost every down to get back in the game...
                          Comment
                          • mikeya2k
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-12-13
                            • 2719

                            #14
                            Game went exactly as I had thought it would. Hopefully we can get some garbage time sacks here......
                            Comment
                            • mikeya2k
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-13
                              • 2719

                              #15
                              nice.....only need one more
                              Comment
                              • mikeya2k
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-12-13
                                • 2719

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                September 23
                                Over 10 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)
                                Denver -3.5 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)
                                Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                Adding:
                                Over 4.5 sacks (1 unit to win 1.1)
                                Over 46.5 longest FG made (1 unit to win 1 unit)
                                YTD: -6.4 units
                                Comment
                                • mikeya2k
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-13
                                  • 2719

                                  #17
                                  september 26 thursday week4

                                  Niners -1 (Risking 12 units to win 8 units)

                                  They are superior. Take a big hit if they lose. I dont see it happening.
                                  Comment
                                  • mikeya2k
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-12-13
                                    • 2719

                                    #18
                                    I actually added a few units to this play right before the game, but didn't have time to get to a laptop.
                                    Comment
                                    • mikeya2k
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-12-13
                                      • 2719

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                      september 26 thursday week4

                                      Niners -1 (Risking 12 units to win 8 units)

                                      They are superior. Take a big hit if they lose. I dont see it happening.
                                      Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                      YTD: -6.4 units
                                      YTD= +1.6 units

                                      Back in green.
                                      Comment
                                      • mikeya2k
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-12-13
                                        • 2719

                                        #20
                                        YTD= +1.6 UNITS

                                        Sunday September 29

                                        Bengals -3 (1.3 units to win 1)
                                        Seahawks (1.1 units to win 1)
                                        Titans -3 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                        Cowboys -2 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                        Redskins -3 (1.2 to win 1)

                                        HAVE A GREAT FEELING I LIKE THIS WEEK
                                        Comment
                                        • mikeya2k
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-13
                                          • 2719

                                          #21
                                          Sunday Sepember 29

                                          Adding:

                                          Tampa Bay -2.5 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                          Baltimore -3 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                          Detroit Moneyline (1.4 units to win 1 units)
                                          Comment
                                          • mikeya2k
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-12-13
                                            • 2719

                                            #22
                                            Forgot to add

                                            Steelers -3 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                            Comment
                                            • mikeya2k
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-12-13
                                              • 2719

                                              #23
                                              Really like some of the 4 o clocks.........going to try and see how my 1 o clocks go
                                              Comment
                                              • mikeya2k
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-12-13
                                                • 2719

                                                #24
                                                goin in on some of these games. going to see how it goes
                                                Comment
                                                • mikeya2k
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-12-13
                                                  • 2719

                                                  #25
                                                  big ben sucks.


                                                  Adding:

                                                  Dallas Team total over 24 (1.1 to win 1)
                                                  Washington Team Total over 24 (2.2 to win 2)
                                                  Eagles Team Total over 24 (2.2 to win 2)
                                                  Washington moneyline (1.7 to win 1 units)
                                                  washington -3 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                  titans ml (2.5 units to win 1.5 units)
                                                  titans -3 (1.1 to win 1)
                                                  Dallas -1 (1.8 to win 1.5 units)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mikeya2k
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-12-13
                                                    • 2719

                                                    #26
                                                    Pats Falcons

                                                    Longest FG over 44.5 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                    Patriots score first (1 unit to win 1.1)
                                                    Longest TD in game over 48 yards (1 unit to win 1)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mikeya2k
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-13
                                                      • 2719

                                                      #27
                                                      Adding:

                                                      Teaser Pats +9 o43 (4.4 units to win 4)
                                                      Pats +3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                      over 49 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                      Pats TT over 24 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                      Pats ML (1 unit to win 1.3 units)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mikeya2k
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-12-13
                                                        • 2719

                                                        #28
                                                        Missed this*
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mikeya2k
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-12-13
                                                          • 2719

                                                          #29
                                                          2H Over 24 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mikeya2k
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-12-13
                                                            • 2719

                                                            #30
                                                            jeeeeeeezzzz 48 yard TD

                                                            wow, dont see that too often. fitting....lol
                                                            atleast it helps the rest of my plays.
                                                            heres to a fireworks filled 4th Q.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mikeya2k
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-12-13
                                                              • 2719

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              YTD= +1.6 UNITS

                                                              Sunday September 29

                                                              Bengals -3 (1.3 units to win 1)
                                                              Seahawks (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Titans -3 (1.2 units to win 1)

                                                              Cowboys -2 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Redskins -3 (1.2 to win 1)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              Sunday Sepember 29
                                                              Tampa Bay -2.5 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Baltimore -3 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Detroit Moneyline (1.4 units to win 1 units)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              Steelers -3 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              Dallas Team total over 24 (1.1 to win 1)
                                                              Washington Team Total over 24 (2.2 to win 2)
                                                              Eagles Team Total over 24 (2.2 to win 2)
                                                              Washington moneyline (1.7 to win 1 units)
                                                              washington -3 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                              titans ml (2.5 units to win 1.5 units)
                                                              titans -3 (1.1 to win 1)

                                                              Dallas -1 (1.8 to win 1.5 units)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              Longest FG over 44.5 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Patriots score first (1 unit to win 1.1)
                                                              Longest TD in game over 48 yards (1 unit to win 1)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              Teaser Pats +9 o43 (4.4 units to win 4)
                                                              Pats +3 (2.2 units to win 2)
                                                              over 49 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                              Pats TT over 24 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                              Pats ML (1 unit to win 1.3 units)
                                                              Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                              2H Over 24 (1.2 units to win 1)
                                                              So, Succesful day came into it +1.6 units
                                                              escaped:

                                                              YTD = +11.1 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mikeya2k
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-12-13
                                                                • 2719

                                                                #32
                                                                Monday September 30th

                                                                Saints Tease with Over (42/.5) (3.3 units to win 3 units)
                                                                Longest FG made over 45.5 (1.1 units to win 1.)
                                                                Longest TD over 48.5 (1.1 units to win 1)
                                                                Over 10 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)

                                                                Disagree with a lot of the insights on the game tonight.............
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikeya2k
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-13
                                                                  • 2719

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by mikeya2k
                                                                  Monday September 30th

                                                                  Saints Tease with Over (42/.5) (3.3 units to win 3 units)
                                                                  Longest FG made over 45.5 (1.1 units to win 1.)
                                                                  Longest TD over 48.5 (1.1 units to win 1)

                                                                  Over 10 1Q (1.1 units to win 1)

                                                                  Disagree with a lot of the insights on the game tonight.............
                                                                  Kicking myself here. Really liked the tease and didnt go big, and lost with prop bets.

                                                                  YTD= +11.9 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mikeya2k
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-12-13
                                                                    • 2719

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Talking to myself here. That's fine I don't expect attention until I win.

                                                                    Tease browns and western Kentucky (+3.5/.5) 2.2 units to win 2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mikeya2k
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-13
                                                                      • 2719

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Adding a unit to that tease
                                                                      Comment
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