Tell me why I shouldn't play this teaser

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  • double
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-09-12
    • 279

    #1
    Tell me why I shouldn't play this teaser
    Is this bet too easy?

    Ravens +23
    Falcons +18
    BAL vs. NE Over 38.5
    SF vs. ATL Over 36

    Risk $1200 to win $1000.
  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #2
    You're probably better taking SF and NE, purely from a numbers standpoint, despite crossing the zero.
    Comment
    • double
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-09-12
      • 279

      #3
      Other side would be NE +3 and SF +8. I don't know, +23 and +18 are big numbers to cover.

      SF seems pretty safe and I like the Patriots to win but anything than happen, Ravens by a FG would kill it. If I got Patriots +4 it would be a much better number.
      Comment
      • double
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-09-12
        • 279

        #4
        C'mon no opinions here?
        Comment
        • Father
          SBR Hustler
          • 01-17-13
          • 55

          #5
          Play SF instead of ATL, very real possibility SF blows them out of the water. Otherwise, gold.

          Very unreal possibility Atl wins at all and if so wins by more than a td... SF only struggles this year were against very solid D's .. they are not playing any D at all.
          Comment
          • double
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-09-12
            • 279

            #6
            Kaepernick on the road in a hostile environment for the biggest game of his life doesn't worry you any?
            Comment
            • pologq
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-07-12
              • 19899

              #7
              falcons will lose by at least 10, ravens keep it close, i like your teaser except i would take the 49ers side
              Comment
              • vaas187
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-12
                • 2280

                #8
                I think it's just a ridiculous parlay....super teaser buying 10 points....give me a break...Atlanta will make you loose. Take SF, their. -3.5 is already a cover. I would also tease up and take the under in ATL AND SF. Atlanta won't score 14 points.
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #9
                  Originally posted by double
                  Other side would be NE +3 and SF +8. I don't know, +23 and +18 are big numbers to cover.

                  SF seems pretty safe and I like the Patriots to win but anything than happen, Ravens by a FG would kill it. If I got Patriots +4 it would be a much better number.
                  Ah, it looked like a 14 pt teaser to me. Your book has the line at NE -10 and SF -5? Most have it NE -8 and SF -4.
                  Comment
                  • nvrlose37
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-01-12
                    • 2730

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pologq
                    falcons will lose by at least 10, ravens keep it close, i like your teaser except i would take the 49ers side
                    Wrong and wrong. Ravens keep it close if they get calls and Joe Flacco makes absolutely no mistakes...again. No way lightning strikes twice in 8 days. They could get blown out by 24. And why would a Ravens FG win kill it? Don't you play ties win?
                    Comment
                    • bchampa0
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-06-12
                      • 29

                      #11
                      I often bet teasers and have posted some solid winners here. All year in NFL, IMO< they have been the way to go. My four team teasers have
                      me up several units. For what it is worth I have: (13 pt teaser)

                      SF Plus 9.5 (I think they could win by three scores so ATL not safe to me)
                      Sf/ATL: Over 34, easy
                      New Eng: Plus 3.5 I can imagine a scenario of NE losing. If they did would be on late FG. However, I could imagine NE destroying them if they force a few TO's
                      NE/Balt: Under 64.5. It will be colder this week. Baltimore will run the ball more and NE will not score as much on Ravens D. I envision 34-17 but 30-13 barely goes over if teased the other way etc. This is the weakest link of the tease.
                      Comment
                      • double
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-09-12
                        • 279

                        #12
                        Remember it was freezing cold in Denver and that game had 70 points scored in regulation, 73 with the OT FG. I just can't imagine less than 40 points being scored in this game.

                        31-30 and 23-20 in their last two meetings.
                        Comment
                        • double
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-09-12
                          • 279

                          #13
                          Originally posted by slacker00
                          Ah, it looked like a 14 pt teaser to me. Your book has the line at NE -10 and SF -5? Most have it NE -8 and SF -4.
                          Yes, Bovada.
                          Comment
                          • double
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-09-12
                            • 279

                            #14
                            I'm going with my original bet. +18 and +23 is just too much in a playoff game. I think both games are close.
                            Comment
                            • double
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-09-12
                              • 279

                              #15
                              Well 1/2 my teaser is locked. Need the Ravens to make it a game and score 20.
                              Comment
                              • Jbmtisestru
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 01-20-13
                                • 75

                                #16
                                Big ups for sticking with your gut feeling. Hope you win
                                Comment
                                • double
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-09-12
                                  • 279

                                  #17
                                  Cash it!
                                  Comment
                                  • double
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-09-12
                                    • 279

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Jbmtisestru
                                    Big ups for sticking with your gut feeling. Hope you win
                                    Thanks!
                                    Comment
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