Atl@no

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  • MiAMiEDDY
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-14-11
    • 277

    #1
    Atl@no
    can anyone shed some light on this game for me?

    To me it all comes down to, can N.O defense keep up with ATL offense.? Philly did these guys a huge favor and made saints D look rejuvenated but Im not buying it. Ppl on the board saying public is pounding ATL but i dont see that at all. My source shows me pretty even action on this game.. Honestly, only thing keeping me from taking ATL here is the simple fact that it's feels weird betting against brees at home. that n D.sproles absence is obviously hurting them..


    What to do what to do..
  • shocka1212
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-12
    • 16788

    #2
    Originally posted by MiAMiEDDY
    can anyone shed some light on this game for me?

    To me it all comes down to, can N.O defense keep up with ATL offense.? Philly did these guys a huge favor and made saints D look rejuvenated but Im not buying it. Ppl on the board saying public is pounding ATL but i dont see that at all. My source shows me pretty even action on this game.. Honestly, only thing keeping me from taking ATL here is the simple fact that it's feels weird betting against brees at home. that n D.sproles absence is obviously hurting them..


    What to do what to do..
    ive been fading Atl for quite a number of weeks.. i feel like this is the perfect spot for it all to pay off.. NO is desperate.. they did give up a ton of yards but did force some good TO's against the eagles. the running back by commitee should work well against the falcons as the cowboys were able to run the ball last week against ATL.. if you ask me, Jason Garrett and Scandrick are the only reason ATL is still unbeaten... look for a good one, i like the over also
    Comment
    • ColdBeerHere
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-11
      • 3626

      #3
      I've been betting atlanta for weeks now and making money on them....not this week though....no play for me....wouldn't surprise me at all the see NO win this one.
      Comment
      • face
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-31-11
        • 14740

        #4
        anyone else just think the saints bring it this time? i just think saints will play a great game this for some reason. falcons better at most categories though.
        Comment
        • DroppinDimes
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-19-10
          • 157

          #5
          First off, Ryan is not Vick so that should limit the TOs right there. Philly gift wrapped that game to NO last week. Secondly, how in the hell is NO going to stop Roddy, Julio and Gonzo??? NO has been better as of late and Brees is always tough at home, but Atlanta is 8-0 for a reason. Should be a close game.
          Comment
          • face
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-31-11
            • 14740

            #6
            just posting this write up by walter football (website) just because he brings up some points

            ATLANTA OFFENSE: Do I really need to talk about this? The Saints have one of the worst defenses in NFL history. Yeah, they just limited the Eagles to 13 points, but that was just Philadelphia being sloppy in the red zone, which has been a common occurrence all season. That has to change in this contest, right?

            Well, maybe it won't. The Falcons actually haven't been as sharp as you'd think deep in opposing territory. They're only 11th in the NFL in red-zone touchdowns, and they've converted only 40 percent of their red-zone trips into touchdowns in the past three games, which puts them in the bottom 10.

            Having said that, Atlanta could easily remedy this issue Sunday afternoon because New Orleans' defense is so bad. The Saints can't stop the run, contain the pass or get to the other quarterback, so the Falcons should be able to do whatever they want, no matter where they are on the field.

            NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: Atlanta has its own issues on defense. The team has struggled versus aerial attacks in recent weeks, surrendering an 8.4 YPA in their previous four games. Tony Romo just went up and down the field on the Falcons, so why can't Drew Brees? The difference will be that Brees and his weapons won't screw up by shooting themselves in the foot like the Cowboys did.

            Unlike the Falcons, New Orleans won't have issues in the red zone. The Saints are No. 1 in that territory, scoring touchdowns 72 percent of the time. The Falcons can sometimes get decent pressure on the quarterback, but their pass rush is not strong enough to disrupt Brees from lighting up the scoreboard.

            The Saints' rushing attack will make Brees even more potent. The three running backs rush the ball extremely well Monday night and should be able to pick up where they left off; Atlanta is just 29th versus the run (4.7 YPC).

            RECAP: I'm taking the Saints for three units. They're the better team in the red zone, which is important in a potential shootout like this. They're also great at home, and I love getting Drew Brees as an underdog. Seriously, how many times are we going to get Brees as a home underdog, especially in a divisional affair?

            Speaking of home underdogs, they're a great betting proposition if they play as a road favorite the following week. That dynamic covers more than 70 percent of the time in a large sample size.

            FINAL THOUGHTS: I love how most media members aren't giving the Saints a chance, yet they're just 2.5-point underdogs. I still like them for three units.
            Comment
            • amarius87
              SBR MVP
              • 11-07-12
              • 1117

              #7
              last post well said
              Comment
              • face
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-31-11
                • 14740

                #8
                Originally posted by face
                just posting this write up by walter football (website) just because he brings up some points

                ATLANTA OFFENSE: Do I really need to talk about this? The Saints have one of the worst defenses in NFL history. Yeah, they just limited the Eagles to 13 points, but that was just Philadelphia being sloppy in the red zone, which has been a common occurrence all season. That has to change in this contest, right?

                Well, maybe it won't. The Falcons actually haven't been as sharp as you'd think deep in opposing territory. They're only 11th in the NFL in red-zone touchdowns, and they've converted only 40 percent of their red-zone trips into touchdowns in the past three games, which puts them in the bottom 10.

                Having said that, Atlanta could easily remedy this issue Sunday afternoon because New Orleans' defense is so bad. The Saints can't stop the run, contain the pass or get to the other quarterback, so the Falcons should be able to do whatever they want, no matter where they are on the field.

                NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: Atlanta has its own issues on defense. The team has struggled versus aerial attacks in recent weeks, surrendering an 8.4 YPA in their previous four games. Tony Romo just went up and down the field on the Falcons, so why can't Drew Brees? The difference will be that Brees and his weapons won't screw up by shooting themselves in the foot like the Cowboys did.

                Unlike the Falcons, New Orleans won't have issues in the red zone. The Saints are No. 1 in that territory, scoring touchdowns 72 percent of the time. The Falcons can sometimes get decent pressure on the quarterback, but their pass rush is not strong enough to disrupt Brees from lighting up the scoreboard.

                The Saints' rushing attack will make Brees even more potent. The three running backs rush the ball extremely well Monday night and should be able to pick up where they left off; Atlanta is just 29th versus the run (4.7 YPC).

                RECAP: I'm taking the Saints for three units. They're the better team in the red zone, which is important in a potential shootout like this. They're also great at home, and I love getting Drew Brees as an underdog. Seriously, how many times are we going to get Brees as a home underdog, especially in a divisional affair?

                Speaking of home underdogs, they're a great betting proposition if they play as a road favorite the following week. That dynamic covers more than 70 percent of the time in a large sample size.

                FINAL THOUGHTS: I love how most media members aren't giving the Saints a chance, yet they're just 2.5-point underdogs. I still like them for three units.
                so far walter right about brees everything , hope the saints somehow win this shootout with the advantage in the run game
                Comment
                • face
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-31-11
                  • 14740

                  #9
                  ryan picked off
                  Comment
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