Romney +300 to win

[Frisco]

Seems pretty high to me for an election that seems to be a coin flip. Think Romney to win NC -500 is free $$

[Parligod]

Not sure where your seeing the +300 line but as far as presidency goes what matters is the electoral votes not the national polls that the media likes to talk up. You can lose the popular vote and win the election (its better to edge out your opponent in many states while taking a dive on others). So basically the line is probably made with the understanding that Obama is leading in the swing states to pick up key electoral votes. That's ultimately what matters.

[Frisco]

Bovada has Repubs winning the presidential election at +300. I know how the electoral college works and most of these swing states are complete toss ups

[khaden]

If you listen to credible polls and B hussains bull shit liveral oress Rombey wins in a landslide most polls are are extremly swayed in B Hyssains favir Im puttin $500 on romney

[A4K]

Bovada has Repubs winning the presidential election at +300. I know how the electoral college works and most of these swing states are complete toss ups

I don't know where you are getting your data, but Obama appears to be leading in early voting. That may have something to do with a line shift.

LINK

[A4K]

If you listen to credible polls and B hussains bull shit liveral oress Rombey wins in a landslide most polls are are extremly swayed in B Hyssains favir Im puttin $500 on romney

Please post a screenshot of that ticket, when you place the wager.

[agendaman]

most polls are bs. 270 electoral votes to win obama takes ohio/wisconsin game over forget all nfl/nba bets bet obama 295 electoral votes you want 4 yrs. of george bush shit again vote romney

[agendaman]

stat. fact only 45% of public votes anyway 1st. ones to complain the55% who didnt vote

[khaden]

Why do yo need a screen shot im just voicing an opinion i follow politucs and i hope and pray idiot obama us destroyed tuesday i might be wrobg- but ill gladly take +300 and take a shot at winning $1500

[Frisco]

I don't know where you are getting your data, but Obama appears to be leading in early voting. That may have something to do with a line shift.

LINK

He does appear to be leading in early voting but from what i've seen most of the early voters have been college students and blacks in urban areas. 2 voting blocks that he already had locked up.

[slacker00]

SBR Sportsbook has it +310.

[A4K]

He does appear to be leading in early voting but from what i've seen most of the early voters have been college students and blacks in urban areas. 2 voting blocks that he already had locked up.

I haven't seen that assertion. Historically speaking, I was always told that most early voters are elderly.

Either way, I wouldn't bet against Nate Silver's models. I believe he currently has President Obama at an 86.3% chance of victory. Extrapolating out those percentages to odds, I'd need to get Romney at over +600 to make a wager.

[Frisco]

I haven't seen that assertion. Historically speaking, I was always told that most early voters are elderly.

Either way, I wouldn't bet against Nate Silver's models. I believe he currently has President Obama at an 86.3% chance of victory. Extrapolating out those percentages to odds, I'd need to get Romney at over +600 to make a wager.

Think 86.3% is a tad high but I plan on putting a few bets on the swing states. Florida, Virginia, and NC in particular. Think Romney takes all 3. Might parlay them too

[NittanyLionsFan]

"An election that seems like a coin flip"

Uhh. You don't know what you're talking about. At all.

[Frisco]

"An election that seems like a coin flip"

Uhh. You don't know what you're talking about. At all.

If it is so obvious post your ticket of the winning bet. Otherwise leave your snarky remarks off the thread

[p19101]

Seems pretty high to me for an election that seems to be a coin flip. Think Romney to win NC -500 is free $$

Might be a good bet, I have no idea. I find it extremely bizarre that anyone in this supposedly free world we live in would consider voting for someone who is against the free choice of abortion. The idea is sickening to say the least.

[Frisco]

Might be a good bet, I have no idea. I find it extremely bizarre that anyone in this supposedly free world we live in would consider voting for someone who is against the free choice of abortion. The idea is sickening to say the least.

And some people find it sickening to support a candidate who protects doctors performing partial birth abortions. We all have different set of morals

[terpkeg]

I took a bath on McCain to win North Carolina 4 years ago at much shorter odds.

[khaden]

Ive seen alot if projections that
Say romney will be getting between 310-325 electoral votes

Who knows

I personally hope and praythat is the case - so as a gambler ill take the +$300 odds

[Pivotpoint]

OP , thanks for the post. Triggered me to check and was surprised to see the odds for what I still see as close to a pick'em.

Just tossed a Franklin on Romney +335 to win.

Let's get this.

11/5/2012 12:58PM

100.00

335.00

Political Futures - Presidential Election - Winning Party - Republican +335

[A4K]

Ive seen alot if projections that
Say romney will be getting between 310-325 electoral votes

Who knows

I personally hope and praythat is the case - so as a gambler ill take the +$300 odds

Do you have links to these projections?

[khaden]

5Dimes has it at $280 just dropped 380 to win 1086 on Mitt. Other than crazy left wing libs B Hussain has little support

[Frisco]

5dimes has it at $280 just dropped 380 to win 1086 on Mitt. Other than crazy left wing libs B Hussain has little support

And minorities.

[A4K]

5dimes has it at $280 just dropped 380 to win 1086 on Mitt. Other than crazy left wing libs B Hussain has little support

Who is this according to?

If he has such little support outside of liberals, why is this race so close? Surely you don't believe that half of the voting population is left wing.

[khaden]

Do you have links to these projections?

No links pollsters on tv shows --not mainstream media types. Even some liberal dems have said if polls are showing a tie at this point is not good for HussAin


Like i said who knows thats what i personally want to believe abd i put a small chunk on Mitt

[Frisco]

Is it bad that i'm willing to put money on this but not willing to go to the booth to help the cause?!?

[craigpb]

Colley Matrix has had Obama winning for awhile, but Romney will win some of the swing states. Just not enough to get to 270.

[A4K]

Is it bad that i'm willing to put money on this but not willing to go to the booth to help the cause?!?

Lol, that's a little silly, but I'm a firm supporter for people having the right to do what they want as long as it doesn't violate the rights of others.

[Pivotpoint]

Is it bad that i'm willing to put money on this but not willing to go to the booth to help the cause?!?

Well, that depends.

If you like Romney, you need to get your ass to the polls.

If you like Oblahblah, stay home.

[Frisco]

Lol, that's a little silly, but I'm a firm supporter for people having the right to do what they want as long as it doesn't violate the rights of others.

Amen to that.

And to craig it looks like the Colley Matrix is going off of 2008 results and national polls which have been over sampling Democrats. A lot of 'experts' believe the turnout will be different like in 2010. We'll see tho

[donkbetter]

in sumer i bet 270 to win400 on obama 3 weeks ago i bet 145 to win 400 for romney out of fear then the storm came and its over the storm put soetero over i bet 50to win 14 i wished i had waited all along but soetero was such a shoe in last summer a piece of shit but a shoe in

[Frisco]

Well, that depends.

If you like Romney, you need to get your ass to the polls.

If you like Oblahblah, stay home.

You left off the option where i like neither.

[Scorpion]

Seems pretty high to me for an election that seems to be a coin flip. Think Romney to win NC -500 is free $$

its not a coin flip

[khaden]

Who is this according to?
The s
If he has such little support outside of liberals, why is this race so close? Surely you don't believe that half of the voting population is left wing.

No i dont think that- accirding to the "experts" the polls that are showing him even are using inflated democrats and minority groups. That favors obama. Obama will not carry independants like he did in 08. Also the poll data used info from 08 models where
He had extrodinally high turn out with minority groups and younger voters. They dont expect thise groups to hit that level again.

Again im not saying they are right i hope they are. I might look stupid tomorrow come midnight but i think romney wins

[khaden]

lets go Mitt

11/6/12 4:51pm	$250.00	$737.50	Pending	11/6/12 10:00am Politics Other Sports 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election +295* vs Barack Obama wins 2012 election
	11/5/12 4:12pm	$370.00	$1,036.00	Pending	11/6/12 6:00am Politics Other Sports 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election +280* vs Barack Obama wins 2012 election