Arizona ML +450 looks very good to me.

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  • pdubb86
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-16-12
    • 387

    #1
    Arizona ML +450 looks very good to me.
    Greenbay loves losing to "bad" teams this year.
  • lunchbawks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-10
    • 12873

    #2
    just take the 10.5
    Comment
    • haserfauld
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-12-08
      • 957

      #3
      It's definitely the best value play. But the fact the line is so high despite GB missing Jennings, Nelson, Woodson, and Shields makes me think Vegas still sees a GB win. The play should be Ari + the points, I'd say. +450 on the ML is just too juicy for it to hit. They should have adjusted the line to -7 / +280 or something along that nature.

      I foolishly have GB ML locked in as the last leg of a parlay, and I'm strongly considering hedging.
      Comment
      • slacker00
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-06-05
        • 12262

        #4
        Cards did it to Brady at home, they can do it to Rodgers.
        Comment
        • pdubb86
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-16-12
          • 387

          #5
          Very true,
          it does seem too Juicy, but the same line was there against Brady at home. Great point,
          the play is +10 yes, thats for sure.. but just saying, sometimes a ML is put there to LOOK too good to be true.
          Comment
          • El Nino
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-03-12
            • 18426

            #6
            Originally posted by slacker00
            Cards did it to Brady at home, they can do it to Rodgers.
            This is a radically different Cards team. Since that game, they are down to their 3rd string RB, Skelton is playing QB, the O-line has been exposed, they cannot run the ball. The defense is still solid, but Peterson is getting slowly beat up. He looked awful in the San Fran game, beat on simply plays, lazy arm tackling. Cardinals are bleeding bad and could literally go the rest of the season without another win. They have probably two legitimate shot at wins, at home against the Rams and on the road against the Jets.
            Comment
            • tatddy
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-02-10
              • 10779

              #7
              ARI is gonna get run. GB covers.
              Comment
              • Grits n' Gravy
                Restricted User
                • 06-10-10
                • 13024

                #8
                Jon Skelton is awful. Unless Lang and Brock both slam Pack ml you are pissing money away.
                Comment
                • pdubb86
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-16-12
                  • 387

                  #9
                  Defense wins the game.
                  Comment
                  • A4K
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-08-12
                    • 5243

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pdubb86
                    Greenbay loves losing to "bad" teams this year.
                    Is Skelton still their QB? Pass.
                    Comment
                    • slacker00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-05
                      • 12262

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                      Jon Skelton is awful. Unless Lang and Brock both slam Pack ml you are pissing money away.
                      If Gabbert can throw for 300+ yards in GB, Skelton can throw 400+. This Pack defense is depleted, big time.
                      Comment
                      • House
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-04-11
                        • 7088

                        #12
                        Packers 1st half ml -350 ...I like that
                        Comment
                        • TeamDetroit
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-12-12
                          • 486

                          #13
                          Sorry but Arizona stands no chance at beating Green Bay. If you think its even gona be close just roll with Arizona and the points.
                          Comment
                          • slacker00
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-06-05
                            • 12262

                            #14
                            Originally posted by El Nino
                            This is a radically different Cards team. Since that game, they are down to their 3rd string RB, Skelton is playing QB, the O-line has been exposed, they cannot run the ball. The defense is still solid, but Peterson is getting slowly beat up. He looked awful in the San Fran game, beat on simply plays, lazy arm tackling. Cardinals are bleeding bad and could literally go the rest of the season without another win. They have probably two legitimate shot at wins, at home against the Rams and on the road against the Jets.
                            I disagree.

                            Skelton>Kolb

                            Howling is just as good or better than Beanie and that other guy. AZ ran for 300 yards in the two games before SF.

                            Peterson is not listed on the injury report at all. SF is a tough team, don't take too much from that one game.
                            Comment
                            • House
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-04-11
                              • 7088

                              #15
                              Originally posted by slacker00
                              I disagree.

                              Skelton>Kolb

                              Howling is just as good or better than Beanie and that other guy. AZ ran for 300 yards in the two games before SF.

                              Peterson is not listed on the injury report at all. SF is a tough team, don't take too much from that one game.
                              they only averaged 9 points the last 4 games ....no thanks , I say Packers rip em today
                              Comment
                              • swordsandtequila
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-23-12
                                • 9760

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pdubb86
                                Defense wins the game.
                                If it's the same defense that allowed Alex Smith 3 tds and a 95% completion rate (at home), I'll pass. Just my opinion, but Rogers @ home > Smith on the road. Randall Cobb just may go crazy today.
                                Comment
                                • detroitlionsfan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-30-12
                                  • 1895

                                  #17
                                  packers will win
                                  Comment
                                  • El Nino
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-03-12
                                    • 18426

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by slacker00
                                    I disagree.

                                    Skelton>Kolb

                                    Howling is just as good or better than Beanie and that other guy. AZ ran for 300 yards in the two games before SF.

                                    Peterson is not listed on the injury report at all. SF is a tough team, don't take too much from that one game.
                                    Kolb can make plays with his feet, Skelton cannot. He is slow and hangs on to the ball too long. Guy is a statue. Kolb is 10x's better than Skelton. He makes the errant play and bad decision, but he's more mobile and a better pocket passer. Hyphen and Beanie run two different styles. Hyphen thinks he's Barry Sanders and tries to make 10 fukkin' cuts before running north south. Neither guys are an upgrade at their respective positions. This team cannot win with their O-line. When you're showing interest in Bryant "Strip Club" McKinney, you're fukked. Skelton isn't winning on his own.
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Cash pack and over. Huge easy plays
                                      Comment
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