SEATTLE +320 and Over 38.5 Are the PLAYS tonight.

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  • i_pick_winners1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-08
    • 624

    #1
    SEATTLE +320 and Over 38.5 Are the PLAYS tonight.
    Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

    1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
    2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
    3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
    4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
    5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
    6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

    24-21 SEATTLE
  • i_pick_winners1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-08
    • 624

    #2
    Proud to be the first one to post this play, also. Coming off the Manning magic of MNF, this'll be a start of a nice run for me.
    Comment
    • PromiseLand
      SBR MVP
      • 08-30-12
      • 2464

      #3
      Jim Harbaugh OWNS Pete Carroll. We saw it with Stanford and SC (when they pulled one of the biggest upsets of all time), and we've seen it with Seattle and SF (Don't think Pete Carroll has beaten him once- I may be wrong on this as I'm too lazy to look up the stats).
      Comment
      • hurricane1091
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-01-12
        • 713

        #4
        I'm thinking tease SF. Seattle won't win this game but it might be a 3 point win for SF. On the other hand teasing Seattle to +13 seems good too.
        Comment
        • gh0zt
          SBR Rookie
          • 10-08-12
          • 21

          #5
          Originally posted by PromiseLand
          Jim Harbaugh OWNS Pete Carroll. We saw it with Stanford and SC (when they pulled one of the biggest upsets of all time), and we've seen it with Seattle and SF (Don't think Pete Carroll has beaten him once- I may be wrong on this as I'm too lazy to look up the stats).
          I believe its 4-1. Carroll's 1 win being a USC/Stanford game.
          Comment
          • ermzzy
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-22-12
            • 863

            #6
            lol at seahawks beating 49ers SU.
            Comment
            • PromiseLand
              SBR MVP
              • 08-30-12
              • 2464

              #7
              Originally posted by gh0zt
              I believe its 4-1. Carroll's 1 win being a USC/Stanford game.
              Thanks ghozt...I meant to say that I don't think Carroll's beaten him once yet in the NFL. If he didn't have a winning record against Harbaugh in college ball with that stacked team of is in SC, then that's just sad. Carroll has yet to give the Seahawks a winning record in a division where he gets to play the rams and cards twice a year. Without the 12th man, Seahawks got nothin.
              Comment
              • PromiseLand
                SBR MVP
                • 08-30-12
                • 2464

                #8
                Haha...nice editing job there ipickerwinners. After the arguments posted about Harbaugh being a better coach and kicking Carroll's ass throughout his career, suddenly this appears: "6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta." That's just funny.
                Comment
                • bleedtoledo
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-29-10
                  • 513

                  #9
                  It's true though, harbaugh HATES carrol & he'll wanna whoop eem good
                  Comment
                  • bleedtoledo
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-29-10
                    • 513

                    #10
                    The underdog hasn't just covered in every seagull game this season..the dawg has won straight up. Every seagull game. This season.

                    Via @RJinVegas twitter
                    Comment
                    • A4K
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-08-12
                      • 5243

                      #11
                      Originally posted by i_pick_winners1
                      Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

                      1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
                      2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
                      3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
                      4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
                      5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
                      6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

                      24-21 SEATTLE
                      I think your reasoning is flawed, but I agree that there is way too much value on the Seahawk's moneyline to pass up. At +320 the oddsmakers are giving Seattle a ≈ 24% chance to win. I think if these two teams squared off under these variables that Seattle could win 1 in 4. BOL on your play.

                      I have a feeling this line will climb, so I will wait her out.
                      Comment
                      • A4K
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-08-12
                        • 5243

                        #12
                        Line up to +340 under reduced section @ 5Dimes. Still holding out.
                        Comment
                        • cgiordani85
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-16-12
                          • 12

                          #13
                          It moved down to +310 on Sportsbook.ag, and that's what I took it at. I like the road dogs in this one, especially with the Niners now looking vulnerable.
                          Comment
                          • A4K
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-08-12
                            • 5243

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cgiordani85
                            It moved down to +310 on Sportsbook.ag, and that's what I took it at. I like the road dogs in this one, especially with the Niners now looking vulnerable.
                            Back up to +335 at 5Dimes reduced section.
                            Comment
                            • bleek88
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-12-11
                              • 6385

                              #15
                              I am confident that the 49ers are going to kick the shitt out of the seacawks tonight.
                              Comment
                              • cotes17
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-24-09
                                • 5228

                                #16
                                on Seahawks +9. think the defense can hold SF pretty good and with all the running, dont see sf getting that far ahead
                                Comment
                                • theyknowthescore
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-03-12
                                  • 233

                                  #17
                                  haha...bookies fell for my bait....49'ers will murder seahawks

                                  my real play is san fran
                                  they will win this by a minimum of 14 pts
                                  Comment
                                  • cotes17
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-24-09
                                    • 5228

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by theyknowthescore
                                    my real play is san fran
                                    they will win this by a minimum of 14 pts
                                    cause the bookies were all sitting there waiting for you to post so they knew what to do...
                                    Comment
                                    • matt1216
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 14683

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by i_pick_winners1
                                      Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

                                      1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
                                      2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
                                      3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
                                      4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
                                      5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
                                      6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

                                      24-21 SEATTLE
                                      come on man, lets get serious. Im a huge Seahawks fan. I see SF sending SEA a message here. The Seahawks have been very lucky. Seattle was lucky to beat GB. Needed last min heroics to beat NE. SF coming off a huge loss, I see a big effort from SF tonight. Also Sea has been less that impressive on the road.

                                      Sea loses by 7+
                                      Comment
                                      • theyknowthescore
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-03-12
                                        • 233

                                        #20
                                        matt is right except they really put a hurting on seattle and win by 14 plus
                                        Comment
                                        • matt1216
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-27-11
                                          • 14683

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by theyknowthescore
                                          matt is right except they really put a hurting on seattle and win by 14 plus
                                          ya, it sucks cause im a big Hawks fan.... I see SF taking the Seahawks to the woodshed.

                                          Im sorry, this thread is rediculous
                                          Comment
                                          • i_pick_winners1
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-26-08
                                            • 624

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by matt1216
                                            come on man, lets get serious. Im a huge Seahawks fan. I see SF sending SEA a message here. The Seahawks have been very lucky. Seattle was lucky to beat GB. Needed last min heroics to beat NE. SF coming off a huge loss, I see a big effort from SF tonight. Also Sea has been less that impressive on the road.

                                            Sea loses by 7+
                                            Still feel the same way at the half?
                                            Comment
                                            • i_pick_winners1
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-26-08
                                              • 624

                                              #23
                                              Oregon on pace to score 172 this game. No big deal.
                                              Comment
                                              • matt1216
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-27-11
                                                • 14683

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by i_pick_winners1
                                                Still feel the same way at the half?

                                                No need for me to say anything here....... I was an idiot and took SF ALt -14.5

                                                Im a true seahawks fan, with that being said I bet is sunk now. Hope Sea ties it up!


                                                Bol!
                                                Comment
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