1. #1
    RUG
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    ATS against the spread record

    I think i must be missing something regarding ATS against the spread records for teams.

    Often see tipsters write up for/against a side referring to the frequency of beating the spread.

    I consider the "spread" to be a handicap in positive or negative points applied to the sides of the bet - so in my mind a team's performance against the spread is more an indication of the efficiency of Vegas predicting their performance ?
    (i expect the spread will be somewhat influenced by the money the book expects to take either side too).

  2. #2
    danshan11
    I am good at coin flips, I really am!
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    ATS record is not a very valuable tool

    the only possible advantage might be a team is overperforming of what the market expects and in theory this could imply the current line still has not adjusted enough to account for the current performance ATS. I highly doubt this is worth much value, ADvanced bettors adjust very quickly and compensate very well especially recent results. I think it is the same thing as saying it will be black cause its been 10 blacks in a row or it will be red because it has been too many blacks in a row! its not very valuable. if you want to see the value of a capper, see how that capper has done against the line over his last 10-20 games, that will give you a real easy and quick glance at the possibility of skill.

  3. #3
    RUG
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    Thanks Danshan11, i appreciate the explanation.

  4. #4
    danshan11
    I am good at coin flips, I really am!
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    best of luck

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