After UNLV Screwed my 7 team parlay...laying it all on the line tomorrow....

[turtlejc]

first I need some opinions

DUKE
KANSAS
FLORIDA ST.
MICHIGAN

parlay those four and I plugged 500 and got me around 650

does anyone think this is a good bet?

[lite1up]

I'm considering something similar but I think Michigan has potential to fukk you there.

Might have to sweat Florida State and Kansas too although I do think they prevail.

Duke should have no problem with Lehigh.

[turtlejc]

that unlv was brutal

[lite1up]

one of the worst beats ever....considering I thought they were going to win when they pulled within 2. Need to win a chunk back tomorrow. Considering your parlay, replacing Michigan with Georgetown

[lite1up]

3/16/2012 7:15 PM College Basketball 824 Duke* -950 vs Lehigh 3/16/2012 4:10 PM College Basketball 828 North Carolina* -2300 vs Vermont 3/16/2012 9:20 PM College Basketball 832 Michigan State* -7000 vs Long Island 3/16/2012 3:10 PM College Basketball 836 Georgetown* -185 vs Belmont 3/16/2012 2:45 PM College Basketball 840 Florida State* -290 vs St. Bonaventure 3/16/2012 4:40 PM College Basketball 848 Missouri* -8500 vs Norfolk State

Risking $1,000.00 To Win $1,452.05

Going to sleep on this but strongly considering it. would boost me back into the black real quick here and I can take it easy the rest of the tourney.


Don't see any conceivable way Missouri, Michigan State, North Carolina or Duke lose tomorrow. Really don't see Florida State having too many problems. Georgetown is the one that scares me....although I need their -185 ML to make the payout worthwhile.

[turtlejc]

bookmaker doesnt have the ML on the 1 vs 16 games...sucks would plug em in just for the hell of it

[Frisco]

Florida State and Michigan worry me, especially Michigan. If you are laying it all on the line just make sure you do it on a team(s) that you really like.

[Frisco]

bookmaker doesnt have the ML on the 1 vs 16 games...sucks would plug em in just for the hell of it

They are all really high. Like -8500 high. I added them to a USF parlay and they only added like 27 cents to each dollar bet.

[YouHave2outs]

first I need some opinions

DUKE
KANSAS
FLORIDA ST.
MICHIGAN

parlay those four and I plugged 500 and got me around 650

does anyone think this is a good bet?

if you are coming to a degenerate gambling forum at 11 at night after a losing day hoping for winning advice, then you have lost.

will someone push you in the right direction? good call switching that michigan to georgetown. get real dude, and make a fkng bet.

please switch your michigan pick to georgetown, as i am on michigan

[CWD]

never good to chase with huge ML parlays. tomorrow doesn't look as good for favorites today was EZ until the late game. outside of the 1 and 2 seeds i think tomorrow is a crapshoot

[lite1up]

Thinking about hammering the Creighton ML at +110. Really think they win fairly easily.

Last two times I've been on tilt this season, I've bet Creighton and lost....so they're due to come through for me

[Frisco]

never good to chase with huge ML parlays. tomorrow doesn't look as good for favorites today was EZ until the late game. outside of the 1 and 2 seeds i think tomorrow is a crapshoot

Completely agree. Went large today and will def scale it back from here on out

[GoBlue77]

big michigan fan and i think they could lose tomorrow

[SASH]

that sux. i had a 6 team paray risking $100 to pay $1,324.....kstate ml (-255), marquette -5, vandy ml (-255), baylor ml (-385), vcu +7, and loyal maryland +19.......loyola pushed the 19 so it only paid $754. Amazing day $6300 winner

[lite1up]

that sux. i had a 6 team paray risking $100 to pay $1,324.....kstate ml (-255), marquette -5, vandy ml (-255), baylor ml (-385), vcu +7, and loyal maryland +19.......loyola pushed the 19 so it only paid $754. Amazing day $6300 winner

Nice hit. UNLV absolutely buried me. Lost 1/3 of my roll on the UNLV ML SASH. Would like to get most of it back Friday. Looking to go heavy on either Georgetown or Creighton. Not thinking too clearly at the moment.

[SASH]

^^curious why you would bet against a team as hot as colorado? What was your thought process? Or you didnt follow any of the pac 12 tournament altogether? I mean they were going up against UNLV from the oh so formidable mountain west conference (lol worse than the pac12). Maybe you bought into all the hype that the so- called experts were force feeding you. Most all of em had unlv. When a team is this hot, please never bet against them. Throw out all the numbers and mismatches and the stats when a team is on fire like colorado is. Sometimes its about the intangibles and things you cant find on the stat sheet in college basketball, thats the beauty of college hoops

[SASH]

^^im not trying to come in and talk sh*t and slam you after the fact with what i said above lite1up, please dont take it the wrong way. Im just trying to simplify things for you and clear your head and get you going in the right direction. Because like you have self admitted your shit is smelly right now. College hoops is really easy when youve got a team playing like this, you can see it with your own two eyes. So dont get caught up in all the side bullsh*t and rhetoric thats either self imposed or brought on by the so called experts

[lite1up]

SASH, my thought process was - fade the Pac 12. Thought the deeper, more athletic team would get it done. Plain & simple.

No offense taken. Was a stupid tilt chase bet........i stay disciplined for weeks, have a shitty day and then pull this B.S. Extremely frustrating.

I probably won't be able to hold back from going big on Georgetown. Parlay them with some heavy chalk and get just about even odds....try to make this right and get back to square one.

Hard to manage my bankroll with 2% (occasionally 5%) plays when I just lost 1/3 of my roll in one fell swoop. Would take me several weeks of grinding like that to get it back. Need one big hitter....I'm now 0-4 on tilt/chase bets in the past 6 months so I've flat out gotta be due to hit one of these, or I'm just cursed. Will never chase again if I can bail myself out of this mess today.

[SpreadSniper]

so you lost a parlay by one game last night so now its time to go huge on another parlay?

angry money is like scared money

[BookiesBernanke]

be careful with all of the favorites
usually day 2 is very different from day 1

[lite1up]

so you lost a parlay by one game last night so now its time to go huge on another parlay?

angry money is like scared money

You're confusing me with the OP. I lost big on UNLV ML last night. Now considering a parlay today. I know it's -EV, whatever.....I only need it to cash one time to bail me out of this hole.

[lite1up]

nevermind, i confused you with the other guy above.

[PR9]

so you lost a parlay by one game last night so now its time to go huge on another parlay?

angry money is like scared money

[lite1up]

Well, I'm angry but I ain't scared. Bankroll is a small enough portion of my net worth that I'm willing to risk ruin to recover my roll.

[turtlejc]

so what did you decide?

[lite1up]

so what did you decide?

nothing yet. Probably a gametime call on Georgetown although I'm 75-80% sure I'm going to be unloading them....probably won't include Florida State in my parlay, just add some heavy chalk in Missouri, North Carolina and Michigan State. No way those 3 lose. Duke and Florida State make me nervous. So does Georgetown, but getting -175 odds on a 3/14 matchup is almost unheard of

[eastern2]

Michigan won't lose - Trey Burke will OWN Dj Cooper - Michigan struggles against teams with size - Ohio doesn't have size - GL either way

[turtlejc]

Decided against the parlays except for small...

2/2 so far on Cincy and ncst -2.5 each

Taking gtown -3.5