Tuesday's leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Tuesday's leans
    DePaul +9 vs. UConn
    Duquesne +5.5
    at UMass
    Detroit +2.5
    at Valpo
    Western Kentucky +3 (projected) vs. North Texas
    Western Illinois +9.5 (projected) vs. SDSU
  • CollegeOverUnder
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-20-10
    • 5520

    #2
    I agree with depaul I agree with Detroit and I agree with western Illinois winning the summit
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      No play on DePaul.

      Adding as leans:

      Hampton +2.5
      Rutgers +2


      Locked in Duquesne at +5 for 2U. Only play so far.
      Comment
      • dredmahawkus
        SBR MVP
        • 12-26-09
        • 1803

        #4
        just wondering you ever mark down how many public bet games win/lose and how many line move games win/lose....how many line move with the public and against the public win lose?
        Comment
        • thebestthereis
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-01-09
          • 11459

          #5
          I like Dooquayne
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Good luck reis.

            Hampton just got hammered.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by dredmahawkus
              just wondering you ever mark down how many public bet games win/lose and how many line move games win/lose....how many line move with the public and against the public win lose?
              Not really. Not all line moves are created equal.
              Comment
              • rjp322
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-22-11
                • 309

                #8
                Valpo is unstoppable at home
                Comment
                • blackeyeshamus
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-19-11
                  • 6632

                  #9
                  playing your depaul lean +10 @ -101.
                  apparently, I may be the only one...
                  wouldn't surprise me if the game is
                  uncharacteristically low scoring, and the demons keep it close.
                  Comment
                  • blackeyeshamus
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-19-11
                    • 6632

                    #10
                    just too many points for a motivated underdog against a uconn team that has been less than impressive ats this season. good luck today, sir. let's stack 'em and cash 'em.
                    Comment
                    • hydrosmak
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-13-11
                      • 1908

                      #11
                      Originally posted by blackeyeshamus
                      playing your depaul lean +10 @ -101.
                      apparently, I may be the only one...
                      wouldn't surprise me if the game is
                      uncharacteristically low scoring, and the demons keep it close.
                      I am as well
                      Comment
                      • dredmahawkus
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-26-09
                        • 1803

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Not really. Not all line moves are created equal.
                        try tracking that info for a while....it will change your perspective on only playing totally against the public. dont get me wrong I love playing against the public when the line moves against them.....but when you track everything it always comes out 50/50....almost no matter what angle you look at.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by dredmahawkus
                          try tracking that info for a while....it will change your perspective on only playing totally against the public. dont get me wrong I love playing against the public when the line moves against them.....but when you track everything it always comes out 50/50....almost no matter what angle you look at.
                          I don't.

                          Public wins close 50% of the time. I post these leans before public betting % are even available.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Duquesne +5 (2U)
                            Detroit +2.5 (1U)
                            Western Kentucky +3.5 (1U)
                            Rutgers +2 (1U)
                            Comment
                            • Dexter
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-24-08
                              • 25829

                              #15
                              any idea how betting all dogs in the ncaa tourney did ATS last year?
                              Comment
                              • dredmahawkus
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-26-09
                                • 1803

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                any idea how betting all dogs in the ncaa tourney did ATS last year?
                                I am pretty sure a ton of dogs won last year. every game that was on TV was like a last second shot or a miraculous comeback or something dramatic happend and every game was close. I thought the tourney was rigged last year. every game couldnt have a game winning shot at the buzzer like that last year and not been rigged.
                                I was counting on it again this year. I hope they are all close again!
                                Comment
                                • Ralphie1412
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-08
                                  • 13963

                                  #17
                                  There goes my detroit bet
                                  "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                  Goat Milk
                                  Comment
                                  • dredmahawkus
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-26-09
                                    • 1803

                                    #18
                                    shhhhhh I am huge on detroit!
                                    Comment
                                    • greenhippo
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-15-12
                                      • 9091

                                      #19
                                      Looks like yet another losing day.
                                      Comment
                                      • PickWinnerAllDay
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 12722

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by greenhippo
                                        Looks like yet another losing day.
                                        Looks like a winning day? No Coin is good on certain games, he just needs to avoid those really ugly dogs like Depaul.
                                        Comment
                                        • greenhippo
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-15-12
                                          • 9091

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          Duquesne +5 (2U)
                                          Detroit +2.5 (1U)
                                          Western Kentucky +3.5 (1U)
                                          Rutgers +2 (1U)
                                          Maybe you were being sarcastic and I totally missed it, but that right there is a losing day.
                                          Comment
                                          • PickWinnerAllDay
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-31-11
                                            • 12722

                                            #22
                                            Oh my bad, I thought Duquesne covered but I was thinking of another game, Umass pulled away late on the Dukes I now remember.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                              Looks like a winning day? No Coin is good on certain games, he just needs to avoid those really ugly dogs like Depaul.
                                              Do you really have nothing better to do with your time than stalk me in my threads? You and Ralphie need to get a room. Two losers.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                BTW, "yet another" losing day? When's the last time I lost money on posted plays in the CBB forum? I dare you to find it for me. It's been a while.

                                                You couldn't even do simple math yesterday, so I doubt you'll be able to figure it out.
                                                Comment
                                                • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-31-11
                                                  • 12722

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Do you really have nothing better to do with your time than stalk me in my threads? You and Ralphie need to get a room. Two losers.
                                                  I was actually defending you.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Frisco
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-27-12
                                                    • 6138

                                                    #26
                                                    Good play on Detroit when everyone was going Valpo. That team will be dangerous in the tourney
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                                      I was actually defending you.
                                                      Never thought I'd see the day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Frisco
                                                        Good play on Detroit when everyone was going Valpo. That team will be dangerous in the tourney
                                                        Thanks. I really liked the Duquesne play, but they just couldn't keep up. They led 78-73 with 6 minutes left and just totally hit a wall. Hell, it was 85-83 with 1:14 remaining.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • greenhippo
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-15-12
                                                          • 9091

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          BTW, "yet another" losing day? When's the last time I lost money on posted plays in the CBB forum? I dare you to find it for me. It's been a while.

                                                          You couldn't even do simple math yesterday, so I doubt you'll be able to figure it out.
                                                          You lost money in this very thread sweetheart. Let me do some elementary math for you kid.

                                                          You took Duq at 2X, that would be a loss (-2 overall)
                                                          You took Det at 1X, that's a win (-1 overall)
                                                          You took WK at 1X, that's a win (down overall due to the juice)
                                                          You took Rut at 1X, that would be a loss (down 1X+ overall)

                                                          Those were your 4 stated plays in this very thread kid, those 4 plays = a losing day. This isn't rocket science, the posts are just a clicks away at the top of the thread. If you seriously can't understand that, no one here can help you.

                                                          You made 4 predictions, and you came out behind, those are facts, you honestly shouldn't be struggling this hard to comprehend that.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                            You lost money in this very thread sweetheart. Let me do some elementary math for you kid.

                                                            You took Duq at 2X, that would be a loss (-2 overall)
                                                            You took Det at 1X, that's a win (-1 overall)
                                                            You took WK at 1X, that's a win (down overall due to the juice)
                                                            You took Rut at 1X, that would be a loss (down 1X+ overall)

                                                            Those were your 4 stated plays in this very thread kid, those 4 plays = a losing day. This isn't rocket science, the posts are just a clicks away at the top of the thread. If you seriously can't understand that, no one here can help you.

                                                            You made 4 predictions, and you came out behind, those are facts, you honestly shouldn't be struggling this hard to comprehend that.
                                                            I know I did moron -- you said "yet another losing day" like that's been a regular occurrence lately.

                                                            I've been killing it the past week and you nitpick over today's -1.1? Classic. You are a piece of shit.

                                                            Originally posted by Chili_Powder
                                                            greenhippo's Blog

                                                            Bankroll Management

                                                            2/23/2012 4:30:00 AM by greenhippo
                                                            I need some advice on how to keep in control of my bankroll, I am probably one of, if not the worst at it. I win, a lot more than I lose, but I keep making larger and larger wagers (50-100%) of my bankroll because all of a sudden $500 doesn't mean anything, I want $1,000 ect.

                                                            So no one thinks I'm a blowhard



                                                            That's my page, from September-December I was hitting at almost 70%, majority NFL where I was over 70. You'd think with that win % I'd be sitting pretty? Nope, I've actually lost money. I lose a $200.










                                                            Comment
                                                            • greenhippo
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-15-12
                                                              • 9091

                                                              #31
                                                              You asked me a question, I answered, so you have to attempt an insult? I'm sorry, but pointing out that I win at a 70% only makes your 40% look all that more embarrassing, but you keep doing it. I enjoy the advertisement.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • greenhippo
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-15-12
                                                                • 9091

                                                                #32
                                                                70 is bigger than 40, in case you're having trouble with that as well.

                                                                This thread = you losing, yet again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Monday:



                                                                  Sunday:



                                                                  Saturday:



                                                                  Friday:



                                                                  No plays posted Thursday.

                                                                  Wednesday:



                                                                  Tuesday:

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • greenhippo
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                                    • 9091

                                                                    #34


                                                                    I've haven't had a week where I've posted below 50%, this guy went months at under 50%.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                                      70 is bigger than 40, in case you're having trouble with that as well.

                                                                      This thread = you losing, yet again.
                                                                      What does it matter what % you're at if you're in the red?
                                                                      Comment
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