Sundays predicted Opens

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  • Jayvegas420
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-09-11
    • 28213

    #1
    Sundays predicted Opens
    Florida Kentucky
    Except for a 3 game stretch 2 weeks ago the line makers have not been nailing Wildcats Games.
    As far as I have been paying attention the books have been taking a bath too, according the line movements across the books.
    SO, I think they will open it at something absurd like -6.5 or -7 and watch all the action push the line up to 9 or 9.5 at tip (where it should be). Even though I think the Vegas line should Be Wildcats -9.5 I would still wager a ton on them to cover 10!
    or the books will be dead on again & you'd better have you money in early!!

    Clemson FSU
    I don't know if it's a good idea to offer merit to a teams performance in thier last meeting but, I remember watching this game & I was actuallly starting to curse out the refs & I might have even uttered Donahe slurs toward the end of the game.
    I wasnt fun cheering for FSU 2 months ago & it won't be an easy thing to watch tomorrow either.
    Just pray the linemaker over values FSU tomorrow, like they have more than 66% of the season IMO.
    If it opens at 4 or 5 I'd be all over it. If they have a clue tomorrow this line could be 9 flat.

    Mich Penn St.
    First off the over/under is the play here. No matter how high they set the Mich over it continues to kill them. Every game Michigan has played in, ON THE ROAD have gone over the total since they played the Hoosiers.
    You can be sure the over bettor in Mich are laughing lately. Look at the last two totals 128 & 120 which both went over by like 8 & 17 if remember right. There sick of getting murdered on these overs & I think they might make a desperate move & set this over/under at 112 or 114, which happens, although infrequently with The Lions.
    When they do this I'd play the over. If the go too high like 118.-119 I move to the under.
    Wolverines moneyline is the play here if you have a lot of cash to throw around.

    Illinois Wisconsin

    The could pump them by 12 which has been IND's average margin of loss or they might find themselves in a game they never expected like they did last time they met.
    No good plays here that I can see, maybe over 109? 110?
    Unless you can get Illinois at +15.5 or +16.5 I don't see where you make money in this match up.
  • CWD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-22-12
    • 7665

    #2
    lines been out for a while now
    Comment
    • CWD
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-22-12
      • 7665

      #3
      kentucky -4.5
      FSU -7
      MSU -3
      Wisconsin -11
      Michigan -5.5

      i'm thinking ohio state and florida ML parlay
      Comment
      • Jayvegas420
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-09-11
        • 28213

        #4
        I don't see how Florida can win.
        I cant believe FSU is favoured.
        I didn't cap the MSU game.

        Mich might cover those points
        And if you bought 5.5 points on the Badgers I'd feel safe.

        Might be the best avatar ive seen so far
        Comment
        • convick
          SBR MVP
          • 11-03-11
          • 3954

          #5
          Originally posted by Jayvegas420
          I don't see how Florida can win.
          I cant believe FSU is favoured.
          I didn't cap the MSU game.

          Mich might cover those points
          And if you bought 5.5 points on the Badgers I'd feel safe.

          Might be the best avatar ive seen so far
          Double post
          Comment
          • convick
            SBR MVP
            • 11-03-11
            • 3954

            #6
            Originally posted by Jayvegas420
            I don't see how Florida can win.
            I cant believe FSU is favoured.
            I didn't cap the MSU game.

            Mich might cover those points
            And if you bought 5.5 points on the Badgers I'd feel safe.

            Might be the best avatar ive seen so far
            FSU is favored because they are clearly better than Clemson. Sure, they lost at Clemson, but that was almost two months ago pal. Also, people always forget to look at home/road factors. FSU is 6-1 at home in ACC play. Clemson is 2-5. End of story.
            Comment
            • Frisco
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-12
              • 6138

              #7
              What do you guys think about NC State +1 @ Virginia Tech? It's my alma mater so i want to make sure i don't bet with my heart
              Comment
              • Jayvegas420
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-09-11
                • 28213

                #8
                • Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
                • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

                I guess I'm focused on the spreads, rather than the moneylines, or conference records.
                And while we're on the topic of how well your team plays vs. the line:
                • Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
                • Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
                • Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                • Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
                • Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

                Clemson is 5-0 last 5 meetings between these two & the DOG is 6-2 last 8 meetings.

                I don't know if I consider myself a trend bettor but if you are, you can't ignore how hard it had been to make money from the FSU point spread.

                And whether you like streaks or not Clemson is on real "We can cover any spread lately" tear.

                Trust me save your cash, This Bet Can't Win.
                It's Clemson +7
                Comment
                • Jayvegas420
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-09-11
                  • 28213

                  #9
                  Publics gonna move this line to VT -2 by tip.
                  Bet VT soon.
                  Comment
                  • Jayvegas420
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-09-11
                    • 28213

                    #10
                    So just to be clear, here are my picks tomorrow.
                    I see some members like to use the 5* system so, I'll give that a shot for the 1st time

                    3*Kentucky -4

                    5*CLEMSON +7

                    5*Michigan Money Line


                    2.5* VT -1

                    2.5* OSU+3


                    .

                    Does anyone know the over/unders for the Mich\Penn St game
                    & the Illinois/Wisconsin game?
                    Comment
                    • Frisco
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-27-12
                      • 6138

                      #11
                      121 and 115.5 respectively
                      Comment
                      • Jayvegas420
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-09-11
                        • 28213

                        #12
                        4* Purdue 1st 1/2 Money Line
                        4* Cal -1
                        3* Arizona -8
                        2.5*Arizona/Arizona St. over 131?

                        5* Michigan/Penn St. under 121
                        4* Illinois/Wisconsin over 115
                        Comment
                        • Jayvegas420
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-09-11
                          • 28213

                          #13
                          Fade these if you want to but, I think I'm going better than 7-4 with these tomorrow!
                          Comment
                          • Frisco
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-27-12
                            • 6138

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                            Fade these if you want to but, I think I'm going better than 7-4 with these tomorrow!
                            Who you like in the Indiana/ Purdue matchup. Ind -6. I was thinking i'd parlay Indiana w/ the nets, Kentucky(buy 1.5 points), and Cal and buy 3.5 points for Indiana. Tough beating them at home.
                            Comment
                            • convick
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-03-11
                              • 3954

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                              • Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
                              • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                              I guess I'm focused on the spreads, rather than the moneylines, or conference records.
                              And while we're on the topic of how well your team plays vs. the line:
                              • Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
                              • Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
                              • Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                              • Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
                              • Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
                              Clemson is 5-0 last 5 meetings between these two & the DOG is 6-2 last 8 meetings.

                              I don't know if I consider myself a trend bettor but if you are, you can't ignore how hard it had been to make money from the FSU point spread.

                              And whether you like streaks or not Clemson is on real "We can cover any spread lately" tear.

                              Trust me save your cash, This Bet Can't Win.
                              It's Clemson +7
                              I never said Clemson would not cover. They might. I simply pointed out why FSU is favored and why they will win.
                              Comment
                              • Jayvegas420
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-09-11
                                • 28213

                                #16
                                They all look like they have a good shot.
                                Except the Nets be as hard to cheer for as the RAPS.
                                I will be cheering my A$$ off for Steph is he plays.
                                His Old Man was A RAP!

                                anyway....Drop the Nets outta there & stay away from the Ind game & youd have a parlay that would look exactly like mine, if I had any cash!
                                Comment
                                • Jayvegas420
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-09-11
                                  • 28213

                                  #17
                                  If you have 8-9 Grand to lay on FSU Money Line I can see th point
                                  You'd probably get a better game for your money than you expected.
                                  I'm calling a 4 point game either way.
                                  Comment
                                  • Balco10
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-10
                                    • 5478

                                    #18
                                    You are way off and Vegas doesn't bath as much as you do!
                                    Comment
                                    • Jayvegas420
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-09-11
                                      • 28213

                                      #19
                                      Which ones am I way off on?
                                      Comment
                                      • the-phenomenal-1
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-27-10
                                        • 351

                                        #20
                                        odu

                                        bank money on odu on the ml
                                        Comment
                                        • Dom177
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-11-11
                                          • 1080

                                          #21
                                          I'd feel better with Illinois +11 or whatever its at now than going with the over...Wisconsin really doesn't blow people out. I'm on

                                          Mich ML/Wisconsin ML parlay
                                          Illini TT o53....just too low to not put at least a little bit on

                                          Good luck today bud
                                          Comment
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