Roaddogs Friday Play

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  • RoadDog
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-11
    • 2666

    #1
    Roaddogs Friday Play
    Youngstown St. +6.

    In their two meetings this year Youngstown beat Detroit @ Detroit by 3 and Detroit beat YS at YS by 2. If you look into their team statistics, these two are mirror images of one another.

    YS has the 113th ranked offense in the country and the 218th ranked defense.
    Detroit has the 81st ranked offense in the country and the 219th ranked offense.

    YS will stick with this team offensively, and after watching both of these teams play over the past couple of weeks i would give a heavy defensive edge to YS. Detroit takes possessions off and turn the ball over at an incredible rate at times. If you look at their schedule, the teams that give YS the most trouble are really good defensive teams. Detroit is the opposite.

    YS just beat Green Bay in the first round of the tourny by 17. Five players reached double figures in that game. "Junior Damian Eargle led the team with 17 points while senior DuShawn Brooks had 16 and sophomore Kendrick Perry posted 15 points. Senior Ashen Ward and junior Blake Allen added 14 and 11 points, respectively. It mark the first time this season, YSU had five players reach double digits in the same game. The last time that happened was against Loyola in 2010 when six players reached double figures."

    Seems to me that 6 is a ton of points on a neutral court for a team that is almost a clone of the other. Doesnt hurt that the public will be all over Detroit today. My opinion anyways.

    Hit this winner.
  • RoadDog
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-11
    • 2666

    #2
    Have 2 more really strong leans. Will post if I decide to play them. BOL.
    Comment
    • nammertl
      SBR MVP
      • 12-06-11
      • 1204

      #3
      this will be my first time tailing you. hope this hits.
      Comment
      • RoadDog
        SBR MVP
        • 05-11-11
        • 2666

        #4
        Originally posted by nammertl
        this will be my first time tailing you. hope this hits.
        Damn, sounds so threatening
        Comment
        • TheVet
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-12-12
          • 19

          #5
          Good luck RD bounce back night
          Comment
          • RoadDog
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-11
            • 2666

            #6
            Originally posted by TheVet
            Good luck RD bounce back night
            Still pissed about SIU. Bunch of losers lol.
            Comment
            • H8_2_W8
              SBR Hustler
              • 02-09-12
              • 83

              #7
              Originally posted by RoadDog
              Still pissed about SIU. Bunch of losers lol.
              Thanks again for the pick and the well thought out comments!!

              No pressure... I will be tailing you again because of the sound analysis.

              We all know there are NO guarantees!
              Comment
              • mynameismud
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-13-12
                • 5461

                #8
                i took youngstown st +6 too but i parlayed it with ohio -1 (bought 3 points) bol.
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #9
                  like YSU here, roaddog. BOL to you.
                  Comment
                  • RoadDog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-11
                    • 2666

                    #10
                    Originally posted by H8_2_W8
                    Thanks again for the pick and the well thought out comments!!

                    No pressure... I will be tailing you again because of the sound analysis.

                    We all know there are NO guarantees!
                    Yep, never any guarantees, especially this time of year. All you can do is cap the game and analyze the shit out of it and let the players do their thing. BOL.
                    Comment
                    • H8_2_W8
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 02-09-12
                      • 83

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RoadDog
                      Yep, never any guarantees, especially this time of year. All you can do is cap the game and analyze the shit out of it and let the players do their thing. BOL.

                      Your efforts are always appreciated!!

                      Do you have any thoughts on the Akron/Kent game tonight?

                      You have been really solid on analyzing Akron in the past. I REALLY like Akron and the +3.5

                      Thanks
                      Comment
                      • PickWinnerAllDay
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-31-11
                        • 12722

                        #12
                        How much do you like this game road dog?
                        Comment
                        • Romanov
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 4137

                          #13
                          On it. Lets get this
                          Comment
                          • RoadDog
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-11
                            • 2666

                            #14
                            Originally posted by H8_2_W8
                            Your efforts are always appreciated!!

                            Do you have any thoughts on the Akron/Kent game tonight?

                            You have been really solid on analyzing Akron in the past. I REALLY like Akron and the +3.5

                            Thanks
                            Perception of Akron is pretty low right now. I expect them to play hard tonight. I just wont bet against Kent St at home. They are incredible there. Pass for me on that game.
                            Comment
                            • RoadDog
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-11-11
                              • 2666

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                              How much do you like this game road dog?
                              I only have a write-up on one play a day, so this is my favorite one on the card. I dont know how you can say Detroit is 6 points better on a neutral court. I think the line should be more like Detroit -2 or 2.5.
                              Comment
                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 12722

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RoadDog
                                I only have a write-up on one play a day, so this is my favorite one on the card. I dont know how you can say Detroit is 6 points better on a neutral court. I think the line should be more like Detroit -2 or 2.5.
                                I like it I think. From watching the horizon the last month it seems the underdog wins the game outright a very large percentage of the time. It seemed like every time I saw a horizon team a 7 or 8 point dog they would win the game. Any injuries here that you know of?
                                Comment
                                • chinoloco212
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-24-11
                                  • 1095

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RoadDog
                                  I only have a write-up on one play a day, so this is my favorite one on the card. I dont know how you can say Detroit is 6 points better on a neutral court. I think the line should be more like Detroit -2 or 2.5.
                                  what u think about about illinois state bro?
                                  Comment
                                  • RoadDog
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-11-11
                                    • 2666

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by chinoloco212
                                    what u think about about illinois state bro?
                                    Dont like it. Can see both teams covering. Cant make a strong enough case for one team or the other. Seems like a true gamble on this game.
                                    Comment
                                    • carter Bean
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 02-24-12
                                      • 48

                                      #19
                                      Great info man,I will roll with ya. I really dont have any plays i personaly like tonight. So will see.
                                      Comment
                                      • nammertl
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-06-11
                                        • 1204

                                        #20
                                        boxers or briefs road dog?
                                        Comment
                                        • RoadDog
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-11
                                          • 2666

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by nammertl
                                          boxers or briefs road dog?
                                          I'm a real man. Boxer briefs.
                                          Comment
                                          • Elysee26
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-12-11
                                            • 173

                                            #22
                                            Thanks for the pick!

                                            Remember - It is only a gambling problem when you are losing...
                                            Comment
                                            • jdhender
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-18-09
                                              • 866

                                              #23
                                              I'm really confused by this line - is someone (or people) out for Youngstown? Anyone know?
                                              Comment
                                              • RoadDog
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-11-11
                                                • 2666

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jdhender
                                                I'm really confused by this line - is someone (or people) out for Youngstown? Anyone know?
                                                Youngstown has no injuries. In my opinion, Vegas knows they can set this line this high because the public will be on Detroit no matter what. Your average bettor has no idea a team named Youngstown St. even exists.
                                                Comment
                                                • jdhender
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-18-09
                                                  • 866

                                                  #25
                                                  Thank you - on em 1H and Full Game, let's get it
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mortgagekev
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 02-28-12
                                                    • 30

                                                    #26
                                                    Roaddog, i hope this isn't a repeat of yesterday's pick...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • blackeyeshamus
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-19-11
                                                      • 6632

                                                      #27
                                                      this is like pistol whipping a blind kid.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoadDog
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-11-11
                                                        • 2666

                                                        #28
                                                        It sure looks like it. Detroit cant miss. What a joke.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • blackeyeshamus
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-19-11
                                                          • 6632

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                          It sure looks like it. Detroit cant miss. What a joke.
                                                          hahahaha lotta game left! I'm on the 1h and game... f@#k it!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoadDog
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-11
                                                            • 2666

                                                            #30
                                                            Go ahead and eat this one. Its over. Sorry guys, didnt know Detroit was the Globe Trotters tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nammertl
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-06-11
                                                              • 1204

                                                              #31
                                                              ah crap.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • southpaw74
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 7104

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                                Youngstown has no injuries. In my opinion, Vegas knows they can set this line this high because the public will be on Detroit no matter what. Your average bettor has no idea a team named Youngstown St. even exists.
                                                                It looks like youngstown doesn't exist the first 10 minutes I took them half and game so hopefully they play some defense soon
                                                                Comment
                                                                • rjp322
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-22-11
                                                                  • 309

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I had every intentions of betting this game but had no idea it went off at 6 so didnt get the bet in. Pretty thankful for that right now. BOL all and onto tomorrow Roaddog where you will get it back
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoadDog
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-11
                                                                    • 2666

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Apparently YSU is content with winning one game in the tourny and calling it a successful season.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 19734

                                                                      #35
                                                                      damn hate games like this when you are on the wrong side. this shit was over after the first 5 minutes...
                                                                      Comment
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