Harvard -10.5 vs. a team that beat them SU earlier?

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Harvard -10.5 vs. a team that beat them SU earlier?
    70% of the public on Princeton so far, Princeton is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Harvard, and yet there hasn't been a spread this large between the two teams. Harvard would have covered this spread earlier in 2011 when they beat Princeton 79-67 @ home, but this is a different princeton team.

    This looks like a spread to tease up for Princeton. The total is low aswell @ 117, should be around 120/121. I can't see Princeton losing by more than 12, adding that the game could actually be close until the final mins.

    10.5 is a lot to take in conference play.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Harvard is -10.5 BECAUSE they are facing a team that beat them SU earlier. Princeton just isn't that good. so Crimson should get their revenge. However, you are right that there is no value on Harvard side, Pomeroy has Harvard by 10.
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    • BernardMadoff
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-12-09
      • 6679

      #3
      Ratings say they should be this much, thats why its -10.5.
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      • Jago2008
        SBR MVP
        • 05-18-11
        • 3047

        #4
        Would you take them -10.5 Bernard? Thanks for the input LT
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        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          - 5.5 @ Princeton two weeks ago, now @ home in search of revenge. Line seems correct.
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          • BernardMadoff
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-12-09
            • 6679

            #6
            Originally posted by Jago2008
            Would you take them -10.5 Bernard? Thanks for the input LT
            Tossup, but I normally never play spreads this high.
            Comment
            • Jago2008
              SBR MVP
              • 05-18-11
              • 3047

              #7
              Based on the line movement over he course of the last 12 hours: 11/10½/11/10½/11/10½, and also the fact that almost 70% of the pub is on Princeton, I'm going to roll with one unit on Harvard.

              Princeton shot 62.5 percent (15 for 24) in the second half and 50 percent (25 for 50) for the game, while holding Harvard to 4-for-15 shooting in the 1st half (before Harvard had their run), I don't see them replicating that @ Harvard. With that said Harvard led by 5 @ the half, and just had a defensive let-down in the 2nd half.

              I'm going to fade the public and take Harvard @ -10.5 for a single unit.
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              • Jago2008
                SBR MVP
                • 05-18-11
                • 3047

                #8
                Dear God, I place this bet, check the score and see that Harvard is off to a 7-0 start, so I run off to work.

                Then Princeton goes on a 23-9 run making 4 consecutive 3's . Princeton again shoots over 70% 3's in the 1st half, and settles down @ 50% for the game.

                my initial handicapp was correct. Oh well.

                Today's card was just horrible. Thank God for tomorrow
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