Strong Lean on Cleveland State -7 at home vs. Butler Saturday

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  • lite1up
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-11
    • 2459

    #1
    Strong Lean on Cleveland State -7 at home vs. Butler Saturday
    I really can't believe this line, as it's basically calling these teams a pick on a neutral court.

    I think there's a lot of value in Cleveland State here, coming off a blowout loss a few days ago to Valpo. Butler beat Cleveland State earlier in the year but outside of their win at Stanford, Butler has been pretty much horrific on the road this season.

    Cleveland State is the far superior offensive team here (although they didn't look it the other night). If the 3 is falling for them, it will be a long night for Butler.

    Don't see this team getting beaten at home again against a team much worse than Valpo.
  • ash19910
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-04-12
    • 151

    #2
    just letting you know butler lost 76-69 to cleveland st earlier this year.
    Comment
    • Anderson6129
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-09-12
      • 36

      #3
      I like CSU in this one as well
      Comment
      • lite1up
        SBR MVP
        • 10-27-11
        • 2459

        #4
        Originally posted by ash19910
        just letting you know butler lost 76-69 to cleveland st earlier this year.

        touche'....read that wrong. Sorry about that.
        Comment
        • jack meoff
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-30-11
          • 111

          #5
          Over120? Seems easy
          Comment
          • robinhood
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-12-09
            • 916

            #6
            Nooooo. Quit mushing my plays. Seriously considering buying out now. Ugh.
            Comment
            • lite1up
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-11
              • 2459

              #7
              Originally posted by jack meoff
              Over120? Seems easy

              Not with these teams. Both have thrown up some stinkers on the offensive end this year. Cleveland State is dreadful when the outside shot isn't falling. Both teams will be slowing this one down and I could very well see a 63-49 or 57-45 type final score out of this one. I think the under is the play.
              Comment
              • lite1up
                SBR MVP
                • 10-27-11
                • 2459

                #8
                Originally posted by robinhood
                Nooooo. Quit mushing my plays. Seriously considering buying out now. Ugh.

                When have I mushed one of your plays in the past?
                Comment
                • robinhood
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-12-09
                  • 916

                  #9
                  Originally posted by lite1up
                  When have I mushed one of your plays in the past?
                  It's nothing personal. I just don't like it when my plays are talked about on this forum.
                  Comment
                  • Ralphie1412
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-08
                    • 13963

                    #10
                    This line indicates pick em on neutral court? Explain
                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                    Goat Milk
                    Comment
                    • CollegeOverUnder
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-20-10
                      • 5520

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                      This line indicates pick em on neutral court? Explain
                      this game would clearly be a PK on a neutral court..... IMO also


                      but Cleveland St. doesn't play slow basketball they like to play fast and will put Butler at the free-throw line a lot. If Butler converts on free throws this game goes over 120
                      Comment
                      • Balco10
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-10
                        • 5478

                        #12
                        I see Butler winning out right!
                        Comment
                        • Barnes & Whine
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-29-11
                          • 3103

                          #13
                          Cleveland State sucks. They are not reliable. Take the under 120. Going to be a crap game. Kinda like Butler.
                          Comment
                          • Ketch
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-16-11
                            • 145

                            #14
                            Under looks good.
                            Butler l5 of last 8 under
                            Clev St last 4 in a row under

                            Originally posted by Barnes & Whine
                            Cleveland State sucks. They are not reliable. Take the under 120. Going to be a crap game. Kinda like Butler.
                            Comment
                            • Ketch
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-16-11
                              • 145

                              #15
                              meant 5 of last 8 (not 15)
                              Comment
                              • lite1up
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 2459

                                #16
                                Originally posted by robinhood
                                It's nothing personal. I just don't like it when my plays are talked about on this forum.
                                Sorry, I have been on a bad run lately with my own games so I probably won't even play this and strictly rely on the Lang fade today...in which case Cleveland State is almost guaranteed to cover

                                Best of luck to you with this play.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lite1up
                                  Not with these teams. Both have thrown up some stinkers on the offensive end this year. Cleveland State is dreadful when the outside shot isn't falling. Both teams will be slowing this one down and I could very well see a 63-49 or 57-45 type final score out of this one. I think the under is the play.
                                  CSU unequivocally will not slow this one down. they love to pressure the ball and try to get out in transition, particularly against a slow-footed team like Butler. Butler will want to slow it down, CSU will want to speed it up. lean over but hate playing over in these 11 am games as it seems that one or both teams can start slow shooting-wise because of the early tip.

                                  i'm on CSU 1H -3. CSU missed 9 lay-ups in the 1H against Valpo, and Waters has mentioned it so many times that i'm surprised that there isn't a billboard outside the stadium reminding the players about their 1H failings against Valpo when they arrive. Butler has been a dumpster fire 1H this season and is coming off a good 1H in Youngstown Thursday, while CSU is off their worst 1H of the season. a pendulum always swings back...
                                  Comment
                                  • Dan Kelly
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-19-11
                                    • 1332

                                    #18
                                    The bet on this game is VERY SIMPLE - At the half (start checking with the book at 11:42AM), if you are getting CSU -5 or better for the game, then take the Vikes.

                                    for the game = the score differential at the 1/2H + the halftime line

                                    PATIENCE
                                    Comment
                                    • flocko76
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-01-10
                                      • 1447

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                      The bet on this game is VERY SIMPLE - At the half (start checking with the book at 11:42AM), if you are getting CSU -5 or better for the game, then take the Vikes.

                                      for the game = the score differential at the 1/2H + the halftime line

                                      PATIENCE
                                      so if sbr sportsbook offers Cleveland state -5 1/2 i should take it, and buy a point?
                                      Comment
                                      • Dan Kelly
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-19-11
                                        • 1332

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by flocko76
                                        so if sbr sportsbook offers Cleveland state -5 1/2 i should take it, and buy a point?
                                        NO - because the potential for Butler to have a big lead at the half is big - because of the 11AM start - so if that happens you could potentially be getting CSU+ for the game at -110 and then the Vikings wake up in the 2H. Happens all the time for early starts - these kids never get up before the crack of noon.

                                        Of course, the potential is there to completely miss the bet. That is what being a VALUE BETTOR is all about. If you want to get good value you have to get your #.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr. Peepers
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-22-09
                                          • 1425

                                          #21
                                          On over 56 1h
                                          Comment
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