SdSt vs NMex InGame!

[naslax13]

Funny thing is, this isn't even a fluke result. SDSU is the better team.

When vegas makes a team a double digit favorite, and the line moves stronger against the grain of the public...it is a fluke if they lose.

forget about what the dumbass computer rank teams. uconn shouldn't even be a top 20 team, those ranks don't mean shit. vegas has the true ranks, and tn new mex was suppose to win this game by DD

[alamo]

Funny thing is, this isn't even a fluke result. SDSU is the better team.

THANK YOU - Someone who finally acknowledges the fact !

[Ambition]

The public ? Dude, we are all the public. Anyone who bets a sport is part of the public. Its about picking the winning teams. These teams that go out everynight are all trying to win games. Do you really think Washington went out tonight and said "Ohhhh we are +11, so lets try and win within that". Teams will compete. Its like people backing a horse. Do you really think the horse knows there's money on it - Of course not. The best horse on the day will win.

I'm not saying that at all? Did you read my post? Obviously every team is going to go out and try to win the game, there's not a doubt in my mind. When the public is 75% on a team and the line is moving in the other direction that doesn't alter your thought process at all? For example, tonight around 70% of the public were on Richmond -3 against GW. Obviously Richmond is the better team so pick them right in your case? The line moves to -2.5 then -2. I take GW +2, everyone says I'm crazy for doing so and GW wins by 10+ and I cash. It's all about your gut feeling and what you think is right.

[dynamite140]

You're missing the point.

You never even read a gambling book in your life. And you have the nerves to tell others you missing the point?

You don't know a damn thing about sports. All you do is stare at line movement and think a play is sharp because there is RLM.

Just go away. You offer zero value to this site.

[Ambition]

THANK YOU - Someone who finally acknowledges the fact !

If you only bet the better team in every game you will lose a lot of money, guaranteed.

Whose the better team:

Indiana or Nebraska? (Indiana is ranked, Nebraska isn't)
Richmond or GW?
Seton Hall or Nova?

[GatorTD]

Syracuse = lock for title. Get yer futures in now!!! They are ranked higher! They want to win!

[alamo]

I'm not saying that at all? Did you read my post? Obviously every team is going to go out and try to win the game, there's not a doubt in my mind. When the public is 75% on a team and the line is moving in the other direction that doesn't alter your thought process at all? For example, tonight around 70% of the public were on Richmond -3 against GW. Obviously Richmond is the better team so pick them right in your case? The line moves to -2.5 then -2. I take GW +2, everyone says I'm crazy for doing so and GW wins by 10+ and I cash. It's all about your gut feeling and what you think is right.

Not so fast, I wouldnt necessarily say they are. I dont look at whose favoured. I look at whose the best team. I wouldnt have said theres a lot between those teams and it could go either way.

In this SDSU game, I felt they were the stronger team so i backed them both on the ML and the spread as I felt i was getting very good value.

Just because they were 7/1 doesnt mean they had no chance. As Jimmy The Greek used to say, just cos a horse was 33/1 doesnt mean he had no chance. He placed some of his biggest bets on teams he felt were better irrespective of the odds or the way the odds were moving.

[alamo]

Syracuse = lock for title. Get yer futures in now!!! They are ranked higher! They want to win!

Be careful here dude. Their not a cert plus their poor value at the moment.

[Ambition]

Not so fast, I wouldnt necessarily say they are. I dont look at whose favoured. I look at whose the best team. I wouldnt have said theres a lot between those teams and it could go either way.

In this SDSU game, I felt they were the stronger team so i backed them both on the ML and the spread as I felt i was getting very good value.

Just because they were 7/1 doesnt mean they had no chance. As Jimmy the Greek used to say, just cos a horse was 33/1 doesnt mean he had no chance. He placed some of his biggest bets on teams he felt were better irrespective of the odds or the way the odds were moving.

I agree with you that SDSU is the better team, 100% agree. I congratulate you on cashing big tonight but I just didn't see that as the play, IMO. But can you answer to my last post? Or I'll just ask it again.

Who is better?

Indiana or Nebraska?
Seton Hall or Nova?

[alamo]

If you only bet the better team in every game you will lose a lot of money, guaranteed. Whose the better team: Indiana or Nebraska? (Indiana is ranked, Nebraska isn't) Richmond or GW? Seton Hall or Nova?

On any given day their all capable of beating each other. So the answer is - it depends. Am i getting value for money on my bet would be the main thing i would ask. Off to sleep now.

SDSU WIN STRAIGHT UP !

[Ambition]

On any given day their all capable of beating each other. So the answer is - it depends. Am i getting value for money on my bet would be the main thing i would ask. Off to sleep now.

SDSU WIN STRAIGHT UP !

Pathetic answer.

Congrats on your win though.

[BettingWizard]

I've never seen an unranked fav cover 7 pts or more........they cover when they are favored by 3 or less

[caseyman011]

When vegas makes a team a double digit favorite, and the line moves stronger against the grain of the public...it is a fluke if they lose.

forget about what the dumbass computer rank teams. uconn shouldn't even be a top 20 team, those ranks don't mean shit. vegas has the true ranks, and tn new mex was suppose to win this game by DD

I understand what you're saying. However, you do realize that Vegas also uses computers and a 'formula' to come up with their lines, as well. They are not infallible, and this is an example of that. SDSU has won 4 of the last 5 games in the head-to-head, their only two losses are two ranked opponents (Creighton and Baylor), and they just came off a quality win against UNLV. Lots of talking heads were talking about UNM's long winning streak, but they didn't have a single quality win during that streak. Their biggest wins were against Oklahoma State, Washington State and New Mexico State, which they were favored in all, anyway.

Also, Vegas didn't set the line at DD, the supposed sharps who were on UNM moved it there.

[alamo]

Of course the most important thing i asked myself when placing the bet knowing SDSU were 7/1 was can they win this game 1 in every 7 times they play and I sure as hell felt could win it just about every other time so that was one of the reasons why I didnt hesitate pulling the trigger.

[Ambition]

There's no point in arguing over this game. For all the SDSU backers, there argument is that it was an "obvious" choice because they were ranked and getting 10 points (valid). All the NM backers, there argument is the RLM (valid). It's like politics and religion, you will not find equal ground. I congratulate to all the SDSU backers and to all the NM backers (including myself) I hope you didn't bet huge on NM and still were successful tonight regardless of the loss.

Goodnight to all and BOL.

[naslax13]

I've never seen an unranked fav cover 7 pts or more........they cover when they are favored by 3 or less

very interesting.. wish i could see some type of tracked record following this. I can see where it makes sense though , when a ranked team is a double digit underdog that is definitely grade A fuel to the fire in the locker room before the game. great motivation material for a a quality team

[No coincidences]

I've never seen an unranked fav cover 7 pts or more........they cover when they are favored by 3 or less

When would an unranked fave ever be 7 or more? I don't remember it ever happening before today to be honest.