College Hoops 2011-12

[BiffTFinancial]

Wednesday 12.28.2011
3* North Dakota State -4 (-105)

[BiffTFinancial]

revised leans
NU/Ohio State over 135
Purdue 1H -2'
Purdue/Iowa over 139'
Baylor/Mississippi State over 143'
Mississippi State +8
Georgetown +5
Seton Hall +15'
BGSU/Duquesne over 138
MSU -6

[lyon804]

I got GT +5 also and OVR 141 MSU/INDY. I think GT is the better team and probably wins this game tonite. GT is not afraid to play on the road and has had success agaisnt Louisville. The over is Indy/MSU is appealing to me because of the pace I expect MSU to dictate. They are playing more up tempo this year. MSU should get in the 80's tonite and Indy can handle the rest.

[BiffTFinancial]

I got GT +5 also and OVR 141 MSU/INDY. I think GT is the better team and probably wins this game tonite. GT is not afraid to play on the road and has had success agaisnt Louisville. The over is Indy/MSU is appealing to me because of the pace I expect MSU to dictate. They are playing more up tempo this year. MSU should get in the 80's tonite and Indy can handle the rest.

like GT, may play it. haven't looked much at IU/MSU total but will check it out. i focused mainly on sides in that game. BOL to you tonight.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

3* Michigan State -6

Wednesday 12.28.2011 updated card
3* Michigan State -6
3* North Dakota State -4 (-105)

[BiffTFinancial]

I got GT +5 also and OVR 141 MSU/INDY. I think GT is the better team and probably wins this game tonite. GT is not afraid to play on the road and has had success agaisnt Louisville. The over is Indy/MSU is appealing to me because of the pace I expect MSU to dictate. They are playing more up tempo this year. MSU should get in the 80's tonite and Indy can handle the rest.

i like the over there, just like Sparty better. my concern with the over would be part of the reason that i like Sparty: Sheehey and Verdell Jones are likely out or will be very limited if they play, and i don't think that IU will be able to overcome losing two guys who play 20+ minutes a game for them and give them nearly 20 points and over 6 boards a game (and it's worth noting that their 7th highest-minute man Elston is also on the injury report but likely will play). IU is exceptional from distance and at getting to the line, with helps the over, but i wonder how much those attributes will be effected by being undermanned. i think it's Sparty, 77-67, will be pulling for your over as that should be good for Sparty.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

3* Northwestern/Ohio State 1H over 62
3* Bowling Green/Duquesne over 139

Wednesday 12.28.2011 updated card
3* Northwestern/Ohio State 1H over 62
3* Bowling Green/Duquesne over 139
3* Michigan State -6
3* North Dakota State -4 (-105)

BOL to all tonight.

[2daBank]

whats your thinking playing 1st half over instead of gm? worried osu runs them and just kills clock at the end?

[BiffTFinancial]

whats your thinking playing 1st half over instead of gm? worried osu runs them and just kills clock at the end?

sorry, man, just saw this. drove home to watch right after i posted. tough sweat for the winner. essentially, yes, i thought that OSU would push tempo at the outset and take a big lead. OSU won't push as much in the 2H, i don't think, unless Shurna and Crawford can start hitting at NU can make a run. in hindsight, i guess OSU 1H was the easier play, but glad that the over came in.

[BiffTFinancial]

3* Northwestern/Ohio State 1H over 62 - WINNER

thanks to William Buford. love that guy.

[2daBank]

good call, i was gonna join you but didnt realize it started so early

[BiffTFinancial]

good call, i was gonna join you but didnt realize it started so early

Big Ten triple header special tonight, which is the kind of thing that shapes my day. wife and kids gone for the night, getting ready to order a giant sandwich.

[2daBank]

are you passing on Pur 1st half?

im gonna play usf+7 even tho i think the line is tight..hard to really go off numbers for s.fla as they have just finally started playing with the full compliment of players, even shorthanded they have have been tough at home, granted against mostly poor competition (did beat cle st which isnt easy)..ucon decided to wait until conf play to play a true road gm and i dont think this will be easy for them..

[pacocn]

biff, great call on Osu/Nwest Over 1st H
and Duq/Bg over game

[lyon804]

Big Ten triple header special tonight, which is the kind of thing that shapes my day. wife and kids gone for the night, getting ready to order a giant sandwich.

That is like a winner in itself. My wife and son go with her parents a couple times a year to visit her sister and here kids to celebrate birthday's and such. Time just fly's by when there are gone if you know what I mean..

[2daBank]

got Purdue 1st half, now do we turn around and fade them in the 2nd?

[2daBank]

Iowa+1.5 2nd half...might as well fade pur in 2nd half until they prove they can close a gm..

[2daBank]

love the Boilermakers, they been like clockwork..

[BiffTFinancial]

That is like a winner in itself. My wife and son go with her parents a couple times a year to visit her sister and here kids to celebrate birthday's and such. Time just fly's by when there are gone if you know what I mean..

was a great night, all-around.

[BiffTFinancial]

got Purdue 1st half, now do we turn around and fade them in the 2nd?

Iowa+1.5 2nd half...might as well fade pur in 2nd half until they prove they can close a gm..

haha, great calls, went exactly as we'd discussed, wish i'd played them. once it was clear that i was going to go 5-0 between CFB and CBB, i didn't even consider making any other plays. great call on NDSU also, 2dabank.

[BiffTFinancial]

biff, great call on Osu/Nwest Over 1st H and Duq/Bg over game

thanks, pacocn.

[BiffTFinancial]

Wednesday 12.28.2011 final card
3* Northwestern/Ohio State 1H over 62 - WINNER
3* Bowling Green/Duquesne over 139 - WINNER
3* Michigan State -6 - WINNER
3* North Dakota State -4 (-105) - WINNER

4-0 +12u for the sweep, now 29-27 +5.71u on the season. 8-0 +25u two-day run in CFB and CBB, woot!

[YOUNGBUCK]

[2daBank]

great day all around..Biff great work, Lyon nice calls on the total and GT

thoughts on today's card? 1st time thru i didnt find a whole lot..i did grab ore st/uw ov 158 as i figured that can only go one direction today...lean pen st+13 and maybe ucla+6.5 (would like 7 or more)...got some stuff i gotta do so wont be back till later..

[BiffTFinancial]

great day all around..Biff great work, Lyon nice calls on the total and GT thoughts on today's card? 1st time thru i didnt find a whole lot..i did grab ore st/uw ov 158 as i figured that can only go one direction today...lean pen st+13 and maybe ucla+6.5 (would like 7 or more)...got some stuff i gotta do so wont be back till later..

yeah, there aren't a ton of days like that, so gotta enjoy it.

i have a really busy day too, so going to have to take off for awhile, but should be back early to mid afternoon. i will probably book the UW/Baylor over 79 now for 2*. as for hoops, there are two keep-up games that pass all of the filters: Florida/Rutgers over 143 and Iona/Hofstra over 154. also, Miami-Ohio giving -12' to W&M - Tribe is straight shit right now, though i've never faded them. PSU +13 also definitely worth a look.

[BiffTFinancial]

thanks buck!

[BiffTFinancial]

leans (adding a couple)
Florida/Rutgers over 143
Iona/Hofstra over 154
Penn State +13
Vandy +8'
VCU -1
JMU -9

okay, gotta take off to work. will check back in later.

[BiffTFinancial]

Thursday 12.29.2011
3* VCU -1

[2daBank]

looks like i fukked up not grabbing psu this morning...

man i was already tempted to play vcu now i get in and see you are on it, something scared me about it guess ill go look again...

[BiffTFinancial]

looks like i fukked up not grabbing psu this morning... man i was already tempted to play vcu now i get in and see you are on it, something scared me about it guess ill go look again...

same theory as past VCU games - VCU great at turning teams over, Akron not great at protecting the ball and missing starting PG. Akron has also accumulated their poor off TO% stats against rather lackluster competition of late. i cap that game as 71-66/72-65.

leaning hard on Vandy +8, may book that one shortly.

total moving in wrong direction on Florida/Rutgers, Iona/Hofstra, and took closer look at JMU and decided to pass.

[2daBank]

wanna say it was Akron's size that bothers me but i was in a hurry when i went thru card and forgot they were missing pg, only guy on team that has even a respectable assist to turnover ratio, certainly the formula to get beat down by vcu.. guess the small road fav worries me a little as well but now im getting close to jumping on them..

[2daBank]

im always so low on vandy that it tough for me to play them but i wouldnt lay all those points with marq either..

[BiffTFinancial]

im always so low on vandy that it tough for me to play them but i wouldnt lay all those points with marq either..

i like Vandy, but a bit concerned that they are a big public dog and the line is stuck at +8. i think Vandy looks good but not sure that i can pull the trigger. taking a shine to UCLA/Stanford over 127'.

[2daBank]

secret out on vcu, everyone seems to love them...popular short road dogs freak me out, still thinking bout it..i could def pass on Bruins and switch to the over in that gm..leaning Ill st as well

[BiffTFinancial]

wanna say it was Akron's size that bothers me but i was in a hurry when i went thru card and forgot they were missing pg, only guy on team that has even a respectable assist to turnover ratio, certainly the formula to get beat down by vcu.. guess the small road fav worries me a little as well but now im getting close to jumping on them..

Akron does have a size advantage, but VCU can play against size, and with their defensive pressure, can even turn it into a disadvantage. VCU will always play tougher and bigger than their actual size, but there's nothing that Akron can do to turn Gilliam or Ibitayo into a ballhandler that can handle their pressure. my bigger concern is that Akron has played great defense against the three, which we know is key to stopping VCU. Akron beat Miss State in that huge upset to open the season, but since then has underwhelmed (Detroit being their only other W against a decent team).