Hatter's Hoop Shots '11.... Tea Party Midcourt!

[Maddhatter]

12/18 Sun

OR/Xavier 1H U58.5 -110 3u W
Oral Roberts/Xavier U130 -105 5u W
Oral Roberts 2H +6.5 -110 10u W
Oral Roberts 2H ML +280 2u W
Princeton +3 -115 4u W
IPFW -3 -115 10u W
IPFW 2H pk -110 4u L
IPFW 1H -2.5 -110 10u W
Yale -1.5 -105 3u W
Yale 2H -1.5 -110 3u W
Iowa St -15.5 -105 4u L
Missouri 1H -18.5 -110 10u W
Missouri -33 -105 10u W
S Dakota -6 -115 5u L
S Dakota 2H -4 -110 5u L
Virginia -2 -105 3u W
Montana St +4 -115 3u L

12-5 +53.30 Units for the day. 1-2 5u, 5-0 10u Plays. Got killed in NFL though. 1-6-1 -22.70 Units in NFL. At least in the last 3 days, I've gained half of the 200+ units I lost during that 6 day losing streak. Tomorrow's another day.


NCAA Record: 242-207 +122.59 Units, 53.9% (48-45-3 5u, 37-28-2 10u Plays)
NFL Record: 83-78 -10.42 Units, 51.6% (16-17 5u Plays, 8-9 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 325-285 +124.45 Units, 53.3% (64-59-3 5u Plays, 45-37-2 10u Plays)
Bowl Games: 2-1 +4.85 Units, 50.0%

NCAAB: 437-379, +341.88 Units, 53.6% (88-68-3 5u, 116-83-4 10u Plays)

[Ktown]

Wow, nicely done Megahatter, the 10units were perfect.

[jrs362]

Great day in ncaab hatter.

I seem to miss out on your great 10u days often. I work nights so I don't always catch all of your plays before I go to bed. Once I'm in bed, I'm stuck using my phone to check plays and make plays. Scrolling the iframes with all the games listed on my books site doesn't work on my iphone (2 finger scroll doesn't work either) so I can only see the top 4-5 games listed and they're rarely the games you've got 10u on.

Keep it rolling. I've got Monday off and will be following closely at the computer.

[Maddhatter]

Wow, nicely done Megahatter, the 10units were perfect.

Thanks Kt!

Great day in ncaab hatter.

I seem to miss out on your great 10u days often. I work nights so I don't always catch all of your plays before I go to bed. Once I'm in bed, I'm stuck using my phone to check plays and make plays. Scrolling the iframes with all the games listed on my books site doesn't work on my iphone (2 finger scroll doesn't work either) so I can only see the top 4-5 games listed and they're rarely the games you've got 10u on.

Keep it rolling. I've got Monday off and will be following closely at the computer.

If I have the time and remember, I'll put my 10u plays up top.

[exshot]

Hey, do you post on twitter?

[jrs362]

Thanks Kt! If I have the time and remember, I'll put my 10u plays up top.

Your location of the plays doesn't matter, but thanks! I can scroll the posts on sbr. It's my books website that won't allow me to scroll so i can only see the first few games of the day. Any late games are off the screen until the early games tipoff and get removed.

[Maddhatter]

Hey, do you post on twitter?

Sorry no. I just do my thing. I knew NCAAB hoops was my best sport to handicap but didn't realize how much attention I'd get. I'll consider it but doubt I'll do it. Depending where I'm at, sometimes its hard enough to get my bets in and also post the plays. Crockje has also asked me to post any new plays in the thread he runs and I'm glad to do so. More so, if they are winning LOL. I'll consider it though.

[Maddhatter]

Your location of the plays doesn't matter, but thanks! I can scroll the posts on sbr. It's my books website that won't allow me to scroll so i can only see the first few games of the day. Any late games are off the screen until the early games tipoff and get removed.

Gotcha.

[exshot]

That's cool! I will start tailing. What other thread/sports do you have?

[Maddhatter]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-betting/1241081-hatters-ncaa-picks-p9.html

Been posting all season in NCAAF section. Season is winding down and I'm not very good at NFL. Not much to look at there once Hoops started. I don't do well in NBA either but if I do play it... it'll be posted here.

[Maddhatter]

SEASON PROGRESSION...

11/9 1-4 - 9.00 Units
11/11 8-6 - 1.40 Units
11/12 3-3 + 4.20 Units
11/13 5-3 - 0.15 Units
11/14 22-15 +43.32 Units
11/15 11-15 -25.60 Units
11/16 7-7 + 2.55 Units
11/17 21-16 + 9.54 Units
11/18 21-24 - 3.75 Units
11/19 11-12 +14.77 Units
11/20 16-9 +30.40 Units
11/21 15-15 + 2.60 Units
11/22 16-16 +37.52 Units
11/23 14-14 + 4.20 Units
11/24 15-12 - 6.90 Units
11/25 21-12 +81.75 Units
11/26 20-12 +84.53 Units
11/27 13-3 +61.55 Units
11/28 4-9 -35.15 Units
11/29 11-16 -17.50 Units
11/30 20-8 +71.95 Units
12/1 17-14 - 3.45 Units
12/2 14-11 - 8.65 Units
12/3 21-23 -26.25 Units
12/4 9-6 + 7.15 Units
12/5 5-3 + 1.20 Units
12/6 11-6 +40.10 Units
12/7 24-13 +68.55 Units
12/8 5-11 -35.00 Units
12/9 4-6 -31.60 Units
12/10 6-16 -63.55 Units
12/11 7-12 -55.05 Units
12/14 4-9 -18.95 Units
12/15 1-2 -10.40 Units
12/16 9-4 +27.40 Units
12/17 18-14 +25.35 Units
12/18 12-5 +53.30 Units

This has been my season progression in this thread to date. I haven't been steady... I'd say I was steady to start, then got hot... majorly cold for 6 days and now heated up again. Its a game of ups and downs as we all know. I do play a lot of plays and that's my style. I used to use a unit assignment of $100-$150 and then as I'd be up I'd raise it to $200 and even at times $250 playing at most 5-10 units at a time. Undisciplined and lost a lot towards the end. Currently, I am using $25/unit and this is a reduction of approx 5-10x of my regular unit w/ a starting BR of $20k. So if using $100/unit you'd now be using $10-15/unit w/ how I've been betting or 0.1% of your BR. I won't be changing my unit size at all and so far.... am happy with the results. Hopefully, I can at least stay warm and get hot at times til the end of this season.

I've never been disciplined before and this is my first season following this reduced unit size and staying within my system. It seems to be working so far and posting here has helped me stick to this system. I am not used to people "tailing" me so all of this is fairly new. Know that lines are much sharper and finding those rare "gems" (10u Plays and at times 20u) are getting tougher.

Understand, that I'm not telling anyone how to bet or set their bankroll. I'm just using this as an example for what I've done and why I am able to play so many plays with so many units. I had a decent BankRoll (BR) to start NCAAF and now in NCAAB. Make sure you can weather any cold streaks me or any capper will have (even your own capping).

Only reason I stated this.... is that I want people to know what they are getting into when tailing. We all hate to lose but I would hate to lose knowing others are losing while following my picks. There will be some days where I just don't have the time to research and I may just choose to not post rather than doing "hasty" picks. I'm married and have a full time job w/ a family. With that said... Happy Holidays everyone and let's make that paper to finish this year and also throughout the next!

[a1118374]

Great post hatter, thanks for giving us the insight into your picks + unit system

[Maddhatter]

Great post hatter, thanks for giving us the insight into your picks + unit system

You are welcome. There are some out there I know that are tailing just the 5u and 10u picks. That's an option also. My record at the end of the day always reflect those also. Started doing that for my own record keeping but it also gives an idea of my win% for my top plays.

[Maddhatter]

Mon 12/19

Cleveland St -1.5 -105 4u
La Salle -3 -115 10u
Illinois -15.5 -105 3u
Denver -7 -105 5u
Wyoming/Denver U115 -105 3u
Marquette -8 -105 4u
Temple -5 -115 10u
Utah +4 -105 4u
Boise St -12 -115 5u
S Miss -1.5 -105 3u
UCSB +11 -115 3u
Georgia Southern +7 -105 3u
Southern Ill -15 -115 10u
Nicholls St +38 -105 5u
Ball St/IUPUI O135 -105 4u
UMKC +24 -105 5u
W Illinois +1.5 -105 4u
Indiana -28 -105 5u

Leans: UCSB 1H/1H ML, Denver 1H 10u?, La Salle 1H, S Ill 1H,...

[testertips]

Good luck the rest of the season

[Maddhatter]

Good luck the rest of the season

Thanks man! Good luck to you as well.

[blackberry_juice]

hatter thanks for the breakdown and you've been solid in cbb on here in the past. Really impressed with how you bounced back after a start this week. keep it up!

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Denver 1H -3.5 -110 10u
La Salle 1H -2.5 -110 10u

[AdaBarber]

Good day Hatter. I see we played 5 of the same games. We only agree on two of them. Good luck on those two. Lol. Gotta root for my side of the other three.

[BobbyD914]

Any idea why temple went from -6 to -3 in the past hour?

[iceman8847]

M/h i thought you would of had a 10unit play on cleveland st tonight i took a beating yesterday in the nfl i am going to chase my 10unit loss yesterday with either cleveland st or lassalle do you feel lassalle-2.5 is a better play then cleveland states moneyline

[alansmith23]

Hatter ur a baller and a nice guy thank you!!

[ghislaine]

I have def made money tailing You and will keep at it, so thank You good man !!
I really liked Your post up there as well, I also keep my bet size small, a tiny % of BR.
Only I do the opposite from You and up the units when a losing day happens. I like that You have bigger plays clearly marked, so I make sure to hit those, although I flat bet all plays always
You rock,
lets keep getting paid

[snoopaloop31]

Nice sunday Hatter! Stick to your guns man, forget the NFL. Thanks for posting your plays.

[dizzydtw]

Temple is now -3.5; any thoughts Hat?

[Maddhatter]

M/h i thought you would of had a 10unit play on cleveland st tonight i took a beating yesterday in the nfl i am going to chase my 10unit loss yesterday with either cleveland st or lassalle do you feel lassalle-2.5 is a better play then cleveland states moneyline

Just got home and getting my bearings. Yeah La Salle for sure. Put 10u at half and 10u on the game. If I put 10u on a game only its a strong play. 10u at half and game I feel very confident. The highest I would put is 10u at 1H and 20u on the game on what you would call my extremely confident games I suppose. I'm not sure what my record on those are. I'd have to backtrack. Still early on both games. I hope they both hit and this question will be moot even though they both started.

[Maddhatter]

Good day Hatter. I see we played 5 of the same games. We only agree on two of them. Good luck on those two. Lol. Gotta root for my side of the other three.

Ada.... lotta respect for your picks bud. Perhaps we'll meet in the middle and I will go 3-2 (1-2 against you) and you will go 2-1 on those 3. I wouldn't mind that. Regardless, good luck today bro!

[Maddhatter]

Hatter ur a baller and a nice guy thank you!!

Thanks bud. Appreciate the support as always!

I have def made money tailing You and will keep at it, so thank You good man !!
I really liked Your post up there as well, I also keep my bet size small, a tiny % of BR.
Only I do the opposite from You and up the units when a losing day happens. I like that You have bigger plays clearly marked, so I make sure to hit those, although I flat bet all plays always
You rock,
lets keep getting paid

Same thing to you also Ghis. Good days in capping is always nice. Just gotta weather through the bad. Good luck to you as well and yes... "lets keep getting paid"

[Maddhatter]

Nice sunday Hatter! Stick to your guns man, forget the NFL. Thanks for posting your plays.

Yeah no kidding about NFL. Glad to have your support Snoop!

Temple is now -3.5; any thoughts Hat?

Line movement hasn't been a strong factor in my capping but I do get nervous when it moves against me. I almost always have mine locked in early so line movement doesn't effect most of my decisions. There's negative and positive aspects to this and I still hope we come out on top here. If anything, I'll adjust with a 2H bet. Looking more closely at this now.

[NicAtNight]

Thoughts on la Salle 2nd?

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

La Salle 2H +1 -110 4u

[iceman8847]

Did Cleveland St ever hear of 2 pt baskets they are throwing up 3pt they are 2 of 12 time to do something.

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Cleveland St/S Florida 2H O62 -110 2u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

IUPUI 2H +2.5 -110 3u

[Maddhatter]

Watching this game..... Edwardsville is pretty bad. I forgot to put 1H play on SIU. Seriously left $$ on the table. Possible 10u on 2H depending on line.