LBSU on a 10-0 run right now! LETS GO!
-
Comment -
COU, I asked before but you didnt see it. If you dont mind me asking what type of research you do to project your own lines? Or is it just gut?
CheersComment -
been so busy today..i played RI for like one unit...but whats funny is i was sooo wasted last night..that when you told me you"loved" prov and made that huge play..i ended up playing like 20 bucks on prov -6 on one of my online accts..didnt even know it til just awhile ago..i cant make this $hit up..im a retard..but ...congrats on your big night..i shoulda tailed for large!!Comment -
I usually run a projection for a game 3 times adjusted for different tempos and different types of games that can happen.
I add in a player have a break out game , players have complete shit games
Freethrows
Players that can drive to the paint
Talent vs Coaching vs Athleticism
LUCK--- Points a team will be able to just pull out of their asses bc they can
Defensive sets
just depends I look at a lot
I mean Im even going to start calculating TWITTER into this equation also somehow because I Was on Twitter all day today
Im sure I'm forgetting some other things but that is a jist
3 point %
Steals
average amount of points a player scores against BCS teams and NON BCS teams is a huge factor alsoComment -
Ughhh..i know..i know...im your bud..but i dont play all your plays..just a big supporter and never hound you for plays...im glad to see you cash!!!Comment -
Alright LBSU up 10 points at half time lets go!!!!Comment -
I saw somewhere but cant find it now, that you shared your skype in order to "communicate" about college hoops and plays.
Im building my own model to project ncaab games. Im cool with the programming stuff but I would like your insight in this if possible.
So.. can u send or write itt ur skype id again?
cheersComment -
Congrats COU on the Providence call. I only put 30 units on it. I should have went deep! I just got in and took LB State -3 in second half and Xavier -10.5 for 2 units each. Xavier worries me. Don't they still have some guys out? Great night again. Remember I said earlier today that I wanted to be regretting not going deep. I do! You the man!
Comment -
zoomed why don't you post more in the forum? You only have 16 posts!Congrats COU on the Providence call. I only put 30 units on it. I should have went deep! I just got in and took LB State -3 in second half and Xavier -10.5 for 2 units each. Xavier worries me. Don't they still have some guys out? Great night again. Remember I said earlier today that I wanted to be regretting not going deep. I do! You the man!
Comment -
LBSU is running away with this game right now holy shit they picked up the tempo . I thought they were already playing dam fast in the 1st half they kicked it up to like 100th gear lolComment -
Frankie is going off for aub or this one is overComment -
lol I love how their is still a game left tonight the Xavier @ Hawaii hasn't even started lmaoComment -
Long Beach St up 20 now! Casper Ware heating up like crazy!!Comment -
yes got another W with Long Beach St +5X
adding 4X Units to the Xavier game
it is now a 5X playComment -
hey i just wanna watch the game, i see it at -11, worth playing 1* still? or you playing it at -10.
Just hit my big 8* on LBstComment -
I got it at -10.5
11 is still playable manComment -
1.5* on it
Lets get it!
had a good day today, IUPUI, UNLV and LB st all came thruComment -
COU its really fun following you, you from midwest i assume? rockford il checking in here!! keep up the winners!!Comment -
Xavier is fking pissed this is hysterical lmao Hawaii ran into the most pissed off team in the country lolComment -
Under 66.5 - 5Units
-6.5 Xavier -5UnitsComment -
the couple years i have been on here, you have been the best to follow. not only with the winners, but the fun attitude you have. keep it up!!Comment -
Hey COU nice calls today dude, thanks a bunch let's get em again! LolComment -
Ok lets break down this Providence @ Rhode Island ( Play of the Year )
So This game opened up as Providence -6 @ Rhode Island and went up to a peak up -7. I was watching the line movement and saw it drop to a low point of Providence -3.5. I was pretty confident that PC would win this game but the RLM was bothering me some but I was going with what I capped. I originally thought this game was going to close at PC -8.5 due to the issues with Jamal Wilson being questionable, Nikola Malessovic being out and TJ Buchannan who I was 99% positive he wasn't playing but he ended up playing. When I plugged in my first run downs of this game I had Providence winning by 20 points because I thought Malesovic and Wilson were out. I understood that Malone and Barron were eligible for their first games of the season and issued them a combined total of 18 points because that was what I thought they could do at the highest.
I wasn't going to let this linemovent knock me off of my POY I was riding this game out . I don't care about line movement as much as most guys on this forum do. I only truly care about the opening number. The Closing number is late money coming in that has little value to me because its just a bunch of guys watching the lines thinking oh all the money is coming in on this team. Was I nervous about that line movement ? Yes of course I was shitting my pants I wasn't expecting the line to go from -6.5 to -3.5 thats not to common and I'm not really sure why it dropped that low.
Alright settling in for the night watching/listening to the Xavier game sitting on 5X on this game right now, but my main reason for this post is to talk about this POY I posted. The Friars were led by the Triple threat they bring to the court. Gerard Colemen put in 16 points and shot a phenomenal 8-12 from the field and picked up 6 rebounds. Pretty solid night for him. Bryce Cotton laid in 19 points and had a rather pretty good shooting night actually. He went 5-13 from the field 2 of those being 3 pointers. Cotton is the teams 3 point shooter but he only went 2-7 from behind the arc. Vincent Council the teams general projected 15 points and led his team to a victory 6 assists. True leaders lead their team! The Wild CARD player I was banking on was Sophmore 6'9 Forward Kadeem Batts he only took 4 shots and went 3-4 from the field but he laid in 7 points. A huge boost for the team believe it or not this guy will change the Friars look in the game.
As a team Providence went 28-58 from the field and shot 48.3% from the field pretty solid shooting. This game should of been of wider margins though because PC only shot 22-35 from the Freethrow. 63%
Now lets look at this Rhode Island team that saw Reverse Line movement all over the board and Sharp money pounding the Running Rams .
I was sitting on Twitter for 12 hours watching Jamal Wilsons twitter looking for any sort of info I could find and was all over the college basketball injury report pages trying to figure out if Wilson was playing or not. I had come to a conclusion though that Wilson was playing but wasn't fully convinced he would be starting. Many of the RI fans thought he would start the 2nd half but not start the game. Which made me a little more at ease. So the 2 transfers Andre Malone and Bill Baron combined for a total of 7 points...... I was giving the both of them 18 points so the transfers had no Impact what so ever. I was seeing so much hype from the COX sports page about Billy Baron being a true game changer that I had to oblige. Turns out he logged 26 minutes and went 0-7 from the field. Jamal Wilson the teams leading scorer who was coming back from a 1 game suspension only put 5 points in and went 1-12 from the field. Wow what a shitty ass shooting night for this kid. His Twitter page was more worried about watching Toy Story with his son and being home for Christmas though. Nothing wrong with him wanting to be with his kid though but I was taking that into consideration also. Apparently his focus wasn't all their. Orion Outerbridge played his normal game though and put up 13 points he did his fair share and did what he was support to do
Rhode Island as a team shot 30% from the field and that sure as hell isn't going to win you a basketball game 20-66 from the field 3-20 from behind the 3 point ARC that is the STAT I WANTED TO SEE . I was hoping Rhode Island would shoot 3s like crazy because they are a pure shit ass 3 point shooting team but they continue to shoot the 3 even though they blow at the 3. The only thing that even kept this game somewhat close is the free throws they shot 75% 18-24
In the end the 2 Transfers and Jamal Wilson that were shuffling the line movement so much had no impact on this game what so ever and the Rivalry game ATS Stat meant nothing what so ever in his game either.
Jamal Wilson ended up being over hyped in the end and not focused ( Hence Twitter Posts giving me info )
Billy Baron the coaches son who was praised to be better then his older brother ended up going 0-7
Andre Malon the Auburn transfer who was suppost to be explosive driving to the rim did nothingComment -
Updated record as of December 24 2011 at 12:01 AM (Pacific Time)
.75X Unit plays for me are current running at a record of 0-1
1X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 27-22
2X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 9-4-1
2.5X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 1-1
3X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 2-2
4X Unit play for me are currently running at a record of 1-1
5X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 18-13
7.5X Unit plays are currently running at a record of 0-1
10X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 4-5
15X Units play for me are currently running at a record of 0-1
20X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 5-2-1 ( 5 wins , 2 losses, 1 push )
30X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 2-0 ( GOM PLAYS )( Game of Month Plays )
76X Unit plays for me are currently running at a record of 1-0 ( POY ) ( Play of the Year )
Currently up 232X UNITS this year so far over a clip of 126 games
My Quest to 200X is OVER!!!! Finally broke the 200X Barrier Tonight!!
I will be conducting a GOW now if I think I can handle it. I would present one Game of the Week play a week and will aim at projecting them as 15X to 20X plays. Most likely GOW plays will be 15X UnitsComment -
If you do the GOW, dont restrict the units in any way that keeps you from doing what you do. Happy holidays!Comment -
sup COU
Comment -
Thats my boy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I said it from day 1!!!!!!!!!!!!! Cou knows his stuff more then any other capper on sbr!!!!!!!! I cant thank you enough for yesterday man i made an absolute killing by going all in on prov and following you!!!!!! Im sooo proud you broke the 200x mark!!!!! You put alot of hard work into this, and at times when stuff doesnt go our way you get the asssssholes who come out of the woodworks, but all i hear now from them is cricket cricket cricket!!!! Excellent fkn job!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Another ka boooooooooooooooooooooommmmmmmmmmmmm!!!! !!!!!!! Ka booooooooooooooommmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm mmmmmmmm!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PS thats the way a play of the year should be!!!! a 19 point win!!!!!!! i have never seen a play of the anything hit the way you hit them!!!! i think our biggest play of the year at one point was a depaul play awhile back and they were up 30 at half!!!! this game of the year win by 19 points is just an awesome job man!!!!!thats what plays of the year should win by when the line is in single digits!!!! you killed it again for everyone my man!!!!! fkn luvin it!!!!!!!!! oh yeah KA BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMComment -
great picking thanksComment
