3/30 CBI game 2 Creighton +5 -109, ML +175

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  • Vaioice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-04-10
    • 780

    #1
    3/30 CBI game 2 Creighton +5 -109, ML +175
    4* Creighton +5 -109
    1* Creighton ML +175
    4* 1H Creighton +2.5 -115
    2* 1H Under 68.5 -110

    No, i'm not a homer. And yes i know Creighton is 4-11 away. 4-11 SU, but the Jays are 10-5 ATS away from home. thats good enough for me. The way i see it, the Jays know they can play with the Ducks. In Omaha, in Eugene, it don't matter. Ducks are 14-9 @ home, not intimidating #'s.

    The Jays usually jump out to a head start on road games, and typically fade away 2H. IMO, and this is strictly my point of view, i'm puttin my money on this. Having beaten Oregon and holding them down, the Jays will have that confidence to gut it out the 2H and keep this game close. Hopefully they will have a chance to steal the ball game. I really think this comes down to a 1 possession game, so gonna take the points and head to the bank.

    -vai

    something to ease ur mind...
    Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (CREIGHTON) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
    (62-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +35.6 units. Rating = 3*)
    The average first half total posted in these games was: 68
    The average first half score in these games was: Team 33, Opponent 31.5 (Total first half points scored = 64.5)
    The situation's record this season is: (9-4).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).

    Play On - An underdog vs. the 1rst half line (CREIGHTON) - a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
    (45-19 since 1997.) (70.3%, +24.1 units. Rating = 2*)
    The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2
    The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.8, Opponent 34.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
    The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
  • PlayTheSpread
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-05-11
    • 516

    #2
    Thanks Vai...been tailing you past few weeks and appreciate your picks and insight.
    Comment
    • VicVega91
      Restricted User
      • 10-05-09
      • 519

      #3
      Best of luck tonight !!
      Comment
      • firehoyt
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-10
        • 3569

        #4
        How in the heck do I have negative points?!
        Comment
        • chiliv5
          Restricted User
          • 02-16-10
          • 1273

          #5
          i like the pick- will be tailing. good write up
          Comment
          • oakas
            SBR MVP
            • 02-17-07
            • 1464

            #6
            Nice write-up. I still do not trust a traveling Blujay team.

            Good luck.
            Comment
            • cant call it
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-29-10
              • 8817

              #7
              Originally posted by firehoyt
              How in the heck do I have negative points?!
              hoyt there was a thread in PT earlier about that, post in there lou will take care of you!
              Comment
              • fergie's balls
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-07-11
                • 940

                #8
                thanks for great write up...been tailing on twitter
                Comment
                • cant call it
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-29-10
                  • 8817

                  #9
                  Glad to see you on this game vaioice, I locked this in yesterday.
                  Comment
                  • firehoyt
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-10
                    • 3569

                    #10
                    Thanks CCI. I'd give ya a point but don't have any!!! LOL
                    Comment
                    • brandonrev777
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-18-11
                      • 395

                      #11
                      very nice insite might tail the +5 dont know about money line and 1h yet
                      Comment
                      • Regul8er
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-06-07
                        • 10666

                        #12
                        Goodluck, but I do think Oregon takes care of business on their home floor tonight.
                        Comment
                        • Vaioice
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-04-10
                          • 780

                          #13
                          Thx Houli, much appreciated. Pts are much appreciated guys, even 2 is cool. =p

                          -vai
                          Comment
                          • cant call it
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-29-10
                            • 8817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by firehoyt
                            Thanks CCI. I'd give ya a point but don't have any!!! LOL

                            here it is

                            post up here they have taken care of the glitch they had, they will credit
                            Comment
                            • PlayTheSpread
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-05-11
                              • 516

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Vaioice
                              Thx Houli, much appreciated. Pts are much appreciated guys, even 2 is cool. =p -vai
                              Vai...I've been trying to give you points but for some reason, they aren't transferring. Anyone know the reason for this?
                              Comment
                              • OnTheLine1234
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 03-20-10
                                • 459

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Vaioice
                                4* Creighton +5 -109
                                1* Creighton ML +175
                                4* 1H Creighton +2.5 -115
                                2* 1H Under 68.5 -110

                                No, i'm not a homer. And yes i know Creighton is 4-11 away. 4-11 SU, but the Jays are 10-5 ATS away from home. thats good enough for me. The way i see it, the Jays know they can play with the Ducks. In Omaha, in Eugene, it don't matter. Ducks are 14-9 @ home, not intimidating #'s.

                                The Jays usually jump out to a head start on road games, and typically fade away 2H. IMO, and this is strictly my point of view, i'm puttin my money on this. Having beaten Oregon and holding them down, the Jays will have that confidence to gut it out the 2H and keep this game close. Hopefully they will have a chance to steal the ball game. I really think this comes down to a 1 possession game, so gonna take the points and head to the bank.

                                -vai

                                something to ease ur mind...
                                Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (CREIGHTON) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
                                (62-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +35.6 units. Rating = 3*)
                                The average first half total posted in these games was: 68
                                The average first half score in these games was: Team 33, Opponent 31.5 (Total first half points scored = 64.5)
                                The situation's record this season is: (9-4).
                                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).

                                Play On - An underdog vs. the 1rst half line (CREIGHTON) - a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
                                (45-19 since 1997.) (70.3%, +24.1 units. Rating = 2*)
                                The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2
                                The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.8, Opponent 34.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
                                The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
                                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
                                Great write up!!

                                Vaioice, Here we go again!! only the line is flip flopped with the exception of the total for the game being set a little higher.
                                The spread IMO is going to be close!! The first game I capped it at 9 with the total going over, but this game i have capped it at Oregon by 4 and the total over again. The reason for the total going over again is 1) Creighton likes to play at the tempo of the opposing teams.(Oregon plays an uptempo style) 2) Both teams shoot the 3 ball good(with the edge going to Oregon) 3) both teams shoot a good percentage from the line and 4)Both teams have been shooting at about a 45% clip from the field!! thus putting the total in the 150s!!

                                1 half O68.5 5 Units
                                Game O146 5 Units
                                Creighton +5 1 Unit
                                6PT Teaser
                                Creighton +11 and O140 20 Units

                                Good Luck to Everyone!!!
                                Comment
                                • Vaioice
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 06-04-10
                                  • 780

                                  #17
                                  i got this game around mid high 130's. so just stickin to what i got.

                                  -vai
                                  Comment
                                  • PlayTheSpread
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-05-11
                                    • 516

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Vaioice
                                    i got this game around mid high 130's. so just stickin to what i got. -vai
                                    I think I've won almost every under during these tournaments and lost almost every over. Has anyone else noticed this? I'm on the under for this Creighton game tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaioice
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 06-04-10
                                      • 780

                                      #19
                                      Trainwreck! Sorry to all those tailed. Will make it up tomorrow.

                                      -vai
                                      Comment
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