(14-12) UC Santa Barbara @ (18-10) Long Beach St.

[ksatch]

UC Santa Barbara is having trouble ATS and SU in conference play (2-8 ATS and 4-6 SU). They especially have trouble with teams that like to run up and down the court. That's The Beach's bread and butter. On 12/28 in Santa Barbara the Niners dropped 71 on a Gaucho squad that looked like a deer in the headlights. +7 rebound margin went to LBSU as well FG49% (24-49). Look for more of the same from LBSU at home, setting a fast tempo and leaving the Gauchos playing a game of catch-up that they can't handle.

Pick : LBSU -6.5

Posting Record (1-2)

[romoney]

have to wait til morning to decide on this one...looks good tho

[ksatch]

looks like KENPOM has Long Beach 75-66

[ksatch]

Just to give you a little more statistics which supports the pick:

Average score for UCSB last 10 conference games : 67.8 (factoring out overtime minutes in 2 games @home, 70.4 with overtime)
Average score for LBSU last 10 conference games : 75

Average score for UCSB last 5 conference away games : 62.2
Average score for LBSU last 5 conference home games : 69.6

[VicVega91]

best of luck tonight !!

[BernardMadoff]

T

Average score for UCSB last 5 conference away games : 50.4

That's not correct.

[ksatch]

That's not correct.

you were right, I corrected the math.....apologies

[ksatch]

Long Beach 71 - Santa Barbara 53

[biggamerife21]

I like Long Beach State alot but wouldnt put them on my 4 because they have struggled to put teams away all year. I think you on the right side tho my opinion