Louville vs. Marquette Under 154

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  • GemSportsPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-10
    • 2513

    #1
    Louville vs. Marquette Under 154
    On the surface this looks like it should be points points and more points, but look a little closer, both teams are extremely althetic, and will have emphasis on closing out on 3's and getting back on D... Louiville is terrrible defensively but are much better at home, Marquette is great on offense but really don't put up the same kind of fire power on the road, I had this total at 148, so I'll take the 6 point cushion... Good Luck all.
  • Covy
    SBR MVP
    • 01-13-11
    • 1433

    #2
    Just played this too
    Got it at 152
    [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
    [/SIZE]
    Comment
    • GemSportsPicks
      SBR MVP
      • 10-15-10
      • 2513

      #3
      Ouch always hate to give up 2 full points, if Louiville is down at the half, and it is going under, I suggest you hedge for half... Louville has a big problem accepting that they are going to lose and they foul like crazy for the entire last 3 minutes.
      Comment
      • Covy
        SBR MVP
        • 01-13-11
        • 1433

        #4
        I did play Marquette +9 in a teaser so I have hedged it in a way
        Hopefully it comes down to the wire so the points don't rack up
        [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
        [/SIZE]
        Comment
        • matthewsg
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-12-10
          • 122

          #5
          Very good reasoning behind this play, and it look good early as well.
          Comment
          • brettley
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-15-10
            • 148

            #6
            On it as well at u153.5. GL
            Comment
            • brettley
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-15-10
              • 148

              #7
              Too much fouling. Teams have been in the bonus for what seems like the majority of the half.

              Im want low scoring for the rest of the 1h so I can look for a middle at halftime.
              Comment
              • Covy
                SBR MVP
                • 01-13-11
                • 1433

                #8
                Other than the early foul trouble, the 1H went well
                [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                [/SIZE]
                Comment
                • brettley
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-15-10
                  • 148

                  #9
                  2h line at 80. Puts the middle at 147 - 153.5 (or whatever u got game total at). Seems pretty tight for such a high scoring game.

                  Thoughts?
                  Comment
                  • GemSportsPicks
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-15-10
                    • 2513

                    #10
                    Yea i hit the first half for 500, I've got the game for 1000 though, the smart move would be to hedge, but I will not be hedging, Louville is in so much foul trouble that they will not be able to play the same way, and they won't have the players to keep fouling at the end... Also their scorers are in foul trouble so I don't know how they will score,,, Marquette well coached should look to shorten the game running some clock.
                    Comment
                    • brettley
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-15-10
                      • 148

                      #11
                      Moved to 80.5 on my book. Just riding out my game bet now
                      Comment
                      • GemSportsPicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-10
                        • 2513

                        #12
                        Yea just ride it out, as I said at begining I thought the hedge was good idea if Louville was down at the half, but based on what i've seen this should cruise under second half as well. Good luck all, Duquense is the next play, then got a true GEM at 4 oclock
                        Comment
                        • LolsMcwinsey
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-08-10
                          • 2660

                          #13
                          1000 on the game LOL. i have 100,000 on monopoly dollars on 2nd half over
                          Comment
                          • GemSportsPicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-15-10
                            • 2513

                            #14
                            1500 total on the game, 500 first half 1000 game, don't assume I'm like all the other 5 dollar parlay bettors in here.
                            Comment
                            • GemSportsPicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-15-10
                              • 2513

                              #15
                              Ticket #AcceptedTypeRiskTo Win 35262245-1 1/15/2011 8:58 AM Spread 1,061965Basketball - 530 Duquesne -1½ -110 for Game
                              35260822-1 1/15/2011 7:13 AM Total 1,1001,000Basketball - 519 Marquette/Louisville under 154 -110 for Game
                              35260662-1 1/15/2011 6:47 AM Spread 1,1001,000Basketball - 505 New Orleans Hornets +3½ -110 for Game
                              Comment
                              • Covy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-13-11
                                • 1433

                                #16
                                Not playing the same stakes as you guys yet. Just got back into the game this week after a few months of working non-stop. My schedule eased up nicely and I've already multiplied my deposit 6 fold
                                [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                [/SIZE]
                                Comment
                                • GemSportsPicks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-15-10
                                  • 2513

                                  #17
                                  Covy just do what you do kid, 6 times your start is amazing... i actually took some time off myself, just came back yesterday... I just don't like when people question what I say I have on a game, I have what I have on it, sometimes they win sometimes they lose, I have no reason to lie
                                  Comment
                                  • Covy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 1433

                                    #18
                                    Can't see how we lose here unless every shot falls or Louisville forces OT which is unlikely with them being down double digits. Good play sir.



                                    Spoke too soon?
                                    [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                    [/SIZE]
                                    Comment
                                    • GemSportsPicks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-15-10
                                      • 2513

                                      #19
                                      We can still lose Louville loves to foul at the end, this is what im afraid of, we could have had 40 points in last 530... it seems impossible but in Louvivlle games it happens alot.
                                      Comment
                                      • GemSportsPicks
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-15-10
                                        • 2513

                                        #20
                                        Now you see the ridiculousness, this shouldn't have even come close, now gotta sweat out ot
                                        Comment
                                        • GemSportsPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-10
                                          • 2513

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LolsMcwinsey
                                          1000 on the game LOL. i have 100,000 on monopoly dollars on 2nd half over
                                          Sorry about you losing your monopoly money, I'll buy you a new set.
                                          Comment
                                          • Covy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-13-11
                                            • 1433

                                            #22
                                            That didn't end the way we expected but we got the W
                                            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                            [/SIZE]
                                            Comment
                                            • GemSportsPicks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-15-10
                                              • 2513

                                              #23
                                              Yup a win is a win, thats why I never say its over, I've got screwed so many times, no matter how gooda play is, its stil a game and anything can happen.
                                              Comment
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