1. #1
    flyingillini
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    Will a #1 seed win the tournament?

    I think one of them will.

  2. #2
    Otters27
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    A lot of these teams are too sloppy. Alabama best chance

  3. #3
    jackpot269
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    I'm on Bama so you probably want to fade!

  4. #4
    johnnyvegas13
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    Yes but not bama

  5. #5
    d2bets
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    Nah
    5+ seed wins this year

  6. #6
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Nah
    5+ seed wins this year
    I would bet you my 500 bet points to your 250 that a 4 or less wins.

    You would have 5+ seeds and up and I would have 4 seeds and below

    Its just bet points

    just let me know today

  7. #7
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    I would bet you my 500 bet points to your 250 that a 4 or less wins.

    You would have 5+ seeds and up and I would have 4 seeds and below

    Its just bet points

    just let me know today
    I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points

  8. #8
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Nope

  9. #9
    Husker36
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points
    I'll bet all of my points that a #1 wins it all

  10. #10
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by Husker36 View Post
    I'll bet all of my points that a #1 wins it all
    I've got Bama to win it all but if you want to bet your 292 that a one seed wins and I get the field ill take that bet. Just confirm in this thread today or we can make a thread.

  11. #11
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    I will make it 600 to your 250 bet points
    lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.

  12. #12
    stevenash
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    Since the tournament went to a 64 team format 37 years ago, a #1 seed has won 24 times.
    65% of the time a #1 seed wins.

    A #1 seed has won the last five tournaments, 11 out of the last 15, and based solely on that trend alone, and the way Alabama looked yesterday and Houston all season, I wouldn't fade that trend, not to mention KU has a very real chance to repeat.
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  13. #13
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.
    Ok it's a bet. Sense it's for points I'll say
    GL

  14. #14
    KVB
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    Bama firing on many cylinders.

    But there are lesser seeded teams with a lot of talent.

    So hard to predict whether it will be a number 1 but we do know a number 1 will be in the running down the stretch.

  15. #15
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Bama firing on many cylinders.

    But there are lesser seeded teams with a lot of talent.

    So hard to predict whether it will be a number 1 but we do know a number 1 will be in the running down the stretch.
    I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.

  16. #16
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
    Lot of really good teams this year.
    Didn't think zona would go down 1st rd!

  17. #17
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
    Can't argue with that. I think at least one falls too.

    Purdue and Houston walking a fine line going forward.

    We want Memphis to take on Purude, but if it's Florida Atl, it's still no cakewalk for Purdue.

  18. #18
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    A mid major has never won it so you can toss Houston.

  19. #19
    coop-dog
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    marquette

  20. #20
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I'm equally confident that at least 1 of the 1's go down this weekend.
    Well, that was fast. Disappointed, because I was looking forward to fading Purdue on Sunday.
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    KVB gave d2bets 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  21. #21
    d2bets
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    Quick and resounding no on this one.

  22. #22
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    lol OK. It's a terrible bet on my part, but I did make the statement. You got it. 600/250.
    I'm certainly a dog, but I do have half of the Elite 8 to work with.

  23. #23
    JIBBBY
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    Only a #2 seed is left standing..

    No #1 seeds will even make the final 8 now. Strange year in March madness this go around..

  24. #24
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Only a #2 seed is left standing..

    No #1 seeds will even make the final 8 now. Strange year in March madness this go around..
    Expectedly unexpected from the known unknowns.

  25. #25
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    I'm certainly a dog, but I do have half of the Elite 8 to work with.
    Seeds 4,5,5,9
    I got 3/4 of the Final Four to work with. Not bad.

  26. #26
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Seeds 4,5,5,9
    I got 3/4 of the Final Four to work with. Not bad.
    Your in good shape, I guess that makes me a UConn fan.
    No matter how it ends up you did good with your projections, of how it would come down! Even if uconn wins not many saw 3 seeds 5 and above in the final 4!

  27. #27
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    Your in good shape, I guess that makes me a UConn fan.
    No matter how it ends up you did good with your projections, of how it would come down! Even if uconn wins not many saw 3 seeds 5 and above in the final 4!
    Wide open year. But I'm a FAU fan now. Holding a six figure 500-1 ticket . Very small ticket on SDSU too.

  28. #28
    stevenash
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    I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

    I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?

  29. #29
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

    I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?
    That is generally true, and certainly 100% true for parlays. For high odds futures, it's a little different. But you definitely want to do any hedging in an optimal manner.

    When you're talking about several hundred to one type futures, it's perfectly reasonable to bet it as a value play and then to hedge some when it's created a lot of value.

  30. #30
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    That is generally true, and certainly 100% true for parlays. For high odds futures, it's a little different. But you definitely want to do any hedging in an optimal manner.

    When you're talking about several hundred to one type futures, it's perfectly reasonable to bet it as a value play and then to hedge some when it's created a lot of value.
    I'm waffling back and forth.
    Right now the best price I can get on Miami money line Saturday is a tad over +200
    +201 at one shop. +205 in another.

    The region bet has been graded, that's money in the bank, I'm playing with house money now.
    The UConn wager to win it all is 50 dollars at +2100.

    Right now I'm considering hedging just for the original 50 dollar outlay.

  31. #31
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I'm waffling back and forth.
    Right now the best price I can get on Miami money line Saturday is a tad over +200
    +201 at one shop. +205 in another.

    The region bet has been graded, that's money in the bank, I'm playing with house money now.
    The UConn wager to win it all is 50 dollars at +2100.

    Right now I'm considering hedging just for the original 50 dollar outlay.
    Yeah, I mean I don't think you'll kick yourself if you win but give back 50 or 100 from a 1050 win. But if you hedge the first game you almost then have to also hedge the final as well.

  32. #32
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Yeah, I mean I don't think you'll kick yourself if you win but give back 50 or 100 from a 1050 win. But if you hedge the first game you almost then have to also hedge the final as well.
    That's the first thing I considered, (you are very good at this, a second opinion never hurts, but this is not my first rodeo either, lol) which is why I am waffling back and forth as to hedge Saturday, if I do and UConn advances, than I have to consider a second hedge Monday, and I am not fond of two hedge bets, even though you would think UConn v. FAU/SDSU would be, what? -400/+300 give or take?

    There's variables involved here.

  33. #33
    JIBBBY
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    Wish I could go back in time to early March to the start of the tournament and know what I know now!

    I'd be off to Vegas with stacks of high society and blasting all the sportsbooks with winning parlays! Make millions and millions!

    Somebody please give me a crystal ball please!


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  34. #34
    jackpot269
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I have a +2100 ticket on UConn.

    I see hedging possibilities in the Miami game, thing is my policy has always been if you're going to hedge than why place the wager in the first place?
    I HAVE A $25 TO WIN $400 ON UCONN.
    Had only $100 total of futures
    $50 Bama
    $25 Gonzaga
    GL Steve

  35. #35
    JohnGalt2341
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Wish I could go back in time to early March to the start of the tournament and know what I know now!

    I'd be off to Vegas with stacks of high society and blasting all the sportsbooks with winning parlays! Make millions and millions!

    Somebody please give me a crystal ball please!



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