Monday NCAAB

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  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #1
    Monday NCAAB
    Butler +? the points - 10u

    Butler ML +? - 2u

    I am waiting until at least supper time tomorrow night before submitting my plays to see if I can get a better number, basically a 7 will do the trick. I will be really happy with 7 but maybe a small chance it gets to 7.5 but not holding my breath on that. Its currently sitting at 6.5 at all my books, which is still okay with me but I did hear others say BM moved it to 7, so maybe I will be as fortunate.

    Will post final plays with the numbers around supper time tomorrow and should have time for a write-up as well.

    Good Luck

    ICE
  • suckerforparlays
    Restricted User
    • 02-15-10
    • 4536

    #2
    im still undecided I did lay (.5 unit) on Duke currently because I do feel like the line is gonna move to 7 or 7.5 so wanted to grab that while I could. But Its just half a unit I wanna root for Butler though!

    I see 129.5 for the total and still undecided weather it goes up or down. I gotta take a close look at that Total later tonight try and crunch the numbers
    Comment
    • iceminers26
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-13-08
      • 15600

      #3
      Originally posted by suckerforparlays
      im still undecided I did lay (.5 unit) on Duke currently because I do feel like the line is gonna move to 7 or 7.5 so wanted to grab that while I could. But Its just half a unit I wanna root for Butler though! I see 129.5 for the total and still undecided weather it goes up or down. I gotta take a close look at that Total later tonight try and crunch the numbers
      never a bad idea to buy early with the possibility to middle or sell off later

      ****in Pinny opened it up at 5.5 I heard
      Comment
      • suckerforparlays
        Restricted User
        • 02-15-10
        • 4536

        #4
        Originally posted by iceminers26
        never a bad idea to buy early with the possibility to middle or sell off later

        ****in Pinny opened it up at 5.5 I heard
        dam 5.5 I would of played that

        But Im in pretty good shape right now for that game.

        I took a Final 4 Futures

        Butler +400 and Duke +135
        with a (.5 Unit) currently on Duke at -6.5

        I think theres a load of value in the TOTAL though just havnt decided if its the OVER or the UNDER yet
        Comment
        • iceminers26
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-13-08
          • 15600

          #5
          Just moved to 7 at 5Dimes, that is good enough for me so putting these in as we speak.

          Butler +7 11 units to win 10 units

          Butler ML +270 2 units to win 5.40 units
          Comment
          • suckerforparlays
            Restricted User
            • 02-15-10
            • 4536

            #6
            Originally posted by iceminers26
            Just moved to 7 at 5Dimes, that is good enough for me so putting these in as we speak.

            Butler +7 11 units to win 10 units

            Butler ML +270 2 units to win 5.40 units

            GL man im still undecided I figure ill be locked in by tomorrow night
            Comment
            • iceminers26
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-13-08
              • 15600

              #7
              Originally posted by suckerforparlays
              GL man im still undecided I figure ill be locked in by tomorrow night
              thanks buddy, will check out your thread tomorrow night
              Comment
              • nebraskasux
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-20-10
                • 111

                #8
                Don't throw away your money guys. Duke is like a bigger, stronger, better version of Butler. It's a perfect match-up for Duke. Zoubek and the Plumlees are gonna have a field day on the boards and Butler illustrated very clearly tonight that they don't have the scorers to keep up. Duke played their best game of the tournament tonight while Butler looked to me like they weren't quite ready for prime-time. I'd be surprised if Duke doesn't win by double figures. Just my opinion
                Comment
                • cinaj05
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-12-10
                  • 325

                  #9
                  Still undecided to this game if BUTLER is really real deal here, after DUKE crashing WVU, that's scary.
                  Comment
                  • Sunde91
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 8325

                    #10
                    It will be interesting to see if Butler can crash the public a 3rd time after Cuse and KState.
                    Comment
                    • khaden
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-19-09
                      • 1864

                      #11
                      I really dont think Butler can keep up with Duke offesively. My take is it will be close in the 1st half then I think Duke will pull away later in the second half much like they did against Purdue and Tex AM
                      Comment
                      • iceminers26
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-13-08
                        • 15600

                        #12
                        Monday NCAAB Plays

                        Butler +7 11 units to win 10 units

                        Butler +7.5 5.5 units to win 5 units

                        Butler ML +270 2 units to win 5.40 units

                        May add other plays, still waiting for certain props I like, added lines, and line moves, will post if I add anything for this game.
                        Comment
                        • tony_come
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-31-10
                          • 21695

                          #13
                          Im with you iceminers26. public is moving the line not sharp money.
                          Comment
                          • KingKolzig
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-02-10
                            • 5550

                            #14
                            If people had a blind look into this game. Comparing record, stats, roster, coaching ect but not knowing who was playing then this line would be a pick. Duke isnt getting any special treatment folks. Baylor was the last game that they recieved help. Think of Butler as a top 3 big east team and a top 2 team in any other conference. Mack being out the second half making the MSU game 52-50 instead of 58-50 was the best thing that happened to Butler backers. If howard/mack play close to 100% healthy then Butler wins in a close game
                            Comment
                            • danvan3000
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 75

                              #15
                              Duke or nothing for me
                              Comment
                              • dknight734
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-10-10
                                • 2268

                                #16
                                sorry miner i'm rolling with duke on this one
                                Comment
                                • masr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-20-07
                                  • 4773

                                  #17
                                  Also on the BULLDOGS + pts...Good luck tomm..
                                  Comment
                                  • iceminers26
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-13-08
                                    • 15600

                                    #18
                                    Baylor +23 (posted in Final Four thread)

                                    Baylor/Conn U66.5 2H (posted in PT)

                                    2-0 +4 units
                                    Comment
                                    • CashMoney27
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-15-10
                                      • 253

                                      #19
                                      duke is winning this game
                                      Comment
                                      • iceminers26
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-13-08
                                        • 15600

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by dknight734
                                        sorry miner i'm rolling with duke on this one
                                        No worries buddy, you gotta go with what you like, good luck with the play
                                        Comment
                                        • iceminers26
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-13-08
                                          • 15600

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by CashMoney27
                                          duke is winning this game
                                          what's the score
                                          Comment
                                          • iceminers26
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-13-08
                                            • 15600

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by masr
                                            Also on the BULLDOGS + pts...Good luck tomm..
                                            good luck buddy
                                            Comment
                                            • iceminers26
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-13-08
                                              • 15600

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by danvan3000
                                              Duke or nothing for me
                                              good luck if you decide to play it
                                              Comment
                                              • iceminers26
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-13-08
                                                • 15600

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by KingKolzig
                                                If people had a blind look into this game. Comparing record, stats, roster, coaching ect but not knowing who was playing then this line would be a pick. Duke isnt getting any special treatment folks. Baylor was the last game that they recieved help. Think of Butler as a top 3 big east team and a top 2 team in any other conference. Mack being out the second half making the MSU game 52-50 instead of 58-50 was the best thing that happened to Butler backers. If howard/mack play close to 100% healthy then Butler wins in a close game
                                                Nice write-up KK, you make some sound points that I agree with, good luck on Monday
                                                Comment
                                                • iceminers26
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-13-08
                                                  • 15600

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tony_come
                                                  Im with you iceminers26. public is moving the line not sharp money.
                                                  sounds good, good luck Tony
                                                  Comment
                                                  • iceminers26
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-13-08
                                                    • 15600

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by khaden
                                                    I really dont think Butler can keep up with Duke offesively. My take is it will be close in the 1st half then I think Duke will pull away later in the second half much like they did against Purdue and Tex AM
                                                    Butler is a far better all around club than both Purdue and A&M, I expect the Bulldogs to give the Blue Devils all they can handle and will be tough on the defensive end as they have been all season.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • iceminers26
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-13-08
                                                      • 15600

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                      It will be interesting to see if Butler can crash the public a 3rd time after Cuse and KState.
                                                      I hope they do, I'll be pulling for them.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iceminers26
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-13-08
                                                        • 15600

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by cinaj05
                                                        Still undecided to this game if BUTLER is really real deal here, after DUKE crashing WVU, that's scary.
                                                        Butler is for real, you don't close out that many games if you are not.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iceminers26
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-13-08
                                                          • 15600

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by nebraskasux
                                                          Don't throw away your money guys. Duke is like a bigger, stronger, better version of Butler. It's a perfect match-up for Duke. Zoubek and the Plumlees are gonna have a field day on the boards and Butler illustrated very clearly tonight that they don't have the scorers to keep up. Duke played their best game of the tournament tonight while Butler looked to me like they weren't quite ready for prime-time. I'd be surprised if Duke doesn't win by double figures. Just my opinion
                                                          good luck with your Duke play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • iceminers26
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-13-08
                                                            • 15600

                                                            #30
                                                            Butler Bulldogs

                                                            A good night last night going 2-0 in the Baylor/Connecticut game and picking up 4 units, now on to the title game.

                                                            Title Game Plays


                                                            Butler +7 (-110) 10 units

                                                            Butler +7.5 (-110) 5 units

                                                            Butler ML +270 2 units


                                                            Trends

                                                            Butler are 7-2-1 ATS their past 10 Monday games.

                                                            Butler


                                                            The Bulldogs are 33-4 overall this season and have won 25 straight games. They averaged 69 points per game and allowed an average of 59 points per game through their 37 games to this point. In addition, they have held all 5 of their opponents in the tourney under 60 points, 7 straight opponents under 60 points, and 12 of their past 13 opponents under 60 points. In the tournament they have averaged 61.8 points per game and have allowed an average of only 55.2 points per game. This club is one of the best, if not the best, in the nation on the defensive end because they trust and rely on one another and take pride on this end of the court. I have heard a lot of talk about how Butler will not be able to keep up with Duke on the scoreboard but let me tell you, when you only are giving up 55 through the tournament, you only need to put up 56 to win. This game will be won on the defensive end of the court and I feel Butler has the better defense; Duke is good on this end as well, but are not as good as Butler on defense.

                                                            Injury Talk

                                                            The talk of the possibility that Howard and Mack may be out of this game is being over used in my opinion because 1. Howard has not done shit this tourney and the team has still made it to this point and 2. Mack is playing, mark my words this kid will be in the lineup and will play a major factor in the outcome. Howard has only averaged 23 minutes of playing time through the first 5 tournament games and has only averaged 7 points per game during this span; like I said he has not been a major factor in this tournament and if he happens not to play, it will not change the outcome. If he does end up playing and stays out of foul trouble (I'm capping him out and even if he does play, capping it as he will be in foul trouble early, have done this all tournament with this club) this might be his chance to finally step up and get it done but like I said, not worried if he does not dress. As for Mack, who will play, he has averaged 16 points per game throughout the tournament, this kid is a gamer and will have a big game against Duke.

                                                            Impact Player

                                                            The guy I want to talk about is Gordon Howard, all Gordo has done this tournament is average 16.6 points per game and averaged 19.3 points per game over his past 3 games against the likes of #1 seed Syracuse, #2 seed Kansas State, and #5 seed Michigan State in the Final Four. This kid is in the zone and I see no reason why he would go run and hide tonight, I expect him to answer the bell and have another solid game in the big one.

                                                            There you have it boys, I really like this Butler squad and even though I have more on the spread, I really see them winning this one straight up. I might be in the minority with this side but this team is for real in my opinion and they will show it on the biggest stage tonight against Duke.

                                                            Good luck with your plays and lets close this great season out on a winning note.

                                                            ICE
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cinaj05
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-12-10
                                                              • 325

                                                              #31
                                                              Nice write-up ICE still undecided, I want the points but I don't think Butler will win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #32
                                                                not sure how i'm going to play this game yet, but no question, Gordo will be the best player on the court. great write-up, ice, and BOL tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LTCOL27
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-03-09
                                                                  • 511

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Great write-up Ice, thanks for the good info, and thanks for posting your plays as always.

                                                                  You sold me. Although I think that Duke will win in the end, I am taking Butler +7.5

                                                                  Thanks again, and good luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CarolinaDaze
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                                    • 6848

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by iceminers26
                                                                    Baylor +23 (posted in Final Four thread)

                                                                    Baylor/Conn U66.5 2H (posted in PT)

                                                                    2-0 +4 units
                                                                    Thanks Ice, i was going to take Duke/Butler on a parlay but i wanted to add a 3rd team. After seeing your Baylor womens pick on the final four thread, thinking it was being played that nite too i added it. After winning the first two games and waiting till last nite, i was sweating that pick out, thought i messed up. Great pick Ice, Baylor was good enough to be there so i thought they could stay within the #. I think u r right that Butler can too. They may even win it. GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tony_come
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-31-10
                                                                      • 21695

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Butler +7
                                                                      "Its your money"
                                                                      Comment
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