NCAAB Wednesday, 03/24/2010

[snapstick]

3-0 posted plays last 2 days. 2 of the 3 wins have been totals that have had good success covering by 26 and 21 points respectively. Obviously a small sample but i have had pretty good success on and off this season for those who have tracked my plays. What i have tried to the past 2 days is narrow down my plays to what i believe to be the best plays on the board for that day. Also i don't play totals everyday, unless of course a total is stronger than any side IMO on that day.

I will post my play(s) in a few...BOL and i hope my opinions and plays are helping in some way.

[suckerforparlays]

I hope your on track with me because I got some plays im loving lol

[Patrickz0rs]

I hope your on track with me because I got some plays im loving lol

I hope you listened to my pick and took the Knicks last night...

Anyway, Glad to see you are back posting more picks!

[snapstick]

I hope you listened to my pick and took the Knicks last night...

Anyway, Glad to see you are back posting more picks!

I guess we agreed on that play because it was also a play i posted? BOL

[suckerforparlays]

I hope you listened to my pick and took the Knicks last night...

Anyway, Glad to see you are back posting more picks!

yea I played it!

[snapstick]

OK, i will go against my rule #9 on with my first play for Wednesday. I don't usually play low totals below a certain number but I believe this number is still 6-10 points to high. I may add one more play in the morning that I want to get a little more info on AND I may add a NBA game. So for now just one play and I might add 1-2 more in the morning.


Princeton/St. Louis UNDER 105
1. St. Louis has a adj. tempo rank of 316th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 8 (eight) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

2. Princeton has a adj. tempo rank of 344th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 1 (one) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

3. St. Louis has a FT% rank of 332nd out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 4 (four) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

4. Princeton has a offensive adj. efficiency rank of 224th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 30 (thirty) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

This total would seem to the everyday player to be real freaking low and i would agree. One thing i would also agree with is this total isn't low enough and i really don't see this total reaching 100. I look for this game total to be in the low to mid 90's and maybe, just maybe reaching the high 90's but i doubt it.

[snapstick]

OK, i will go against my rule #9 on with my first play for Wednesday. I don't usually play low totals below a certain number but I believe this number is still 6-10 points to high. I may add one more play in the morning that I want to get a little more info on AND I may add a NBA game. So for now just one play and I might add 1-2 more in the morning.


Princeton/St. Louis UNDER 105
1. St. Louis has a adj. tempo rank of 316th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 8 (eight) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

2. Princeton has a adj. tempo rank of 344th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 1 (one) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

3. St. Louis has a FT% rank of 332nd out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 4 (four) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

4. Princeton has a offensive adj. efficiency rank of 224th out of 347, which ranks at the bottom 30 (thirty) percentile of all teams that play against D-1 opponents.

This total would seem to the everyday player to be real freaking low and i would agree. One thing i would also agree with is this total isn't low enough and i really don't see this total reaching 100. I look for this game total to be in the low to mid 90's and maybe, just maybe reaching the high 90's but i doubt it.

I also failed to mention both teams rank in the top 25 in defensive efficiency which doesn't hurt the under at all.

[jnickell100]

Wow that is a crazy low number......

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

public will be all over the # joe public that is.. i was wondering if we should wait untill right before tip if common joe public sees a total this low they may jump on over giving us a pt or two before tip??

[snapstick]

Its up to you...I already locked in the play. The public should be on the over but that doesnt necessarily mean the line will move up.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Its up to you...I already locked in the play. The public should be on the over but that doesnt necessarily mean the line will move up.

Your right...I am just hoping they will I may jump on it now and if the line moves up may take on more Snap.. nice writeups today GL to you

[snapstick]

Boston U/VCU OVER 147

[Texan81]

VCU should cover tonight as well

[snapstick]

Thats it for me today...2 total plays...BOL

[snapstick]

VCU should cover tonight as well

IMO the side of -11 is spot on.

[snapstick]

Black: Thanks for the kind words and the points in yesterday's post.

[CashMoney27]

SEAHAWKHARRY im with u. im going to wait till tipoff. good pick hopefullly we will cash

[snapstick]

Don't be scared away from such a low total..if it was that obviously low the books wouldn't have set it at that number. It might tell me the books are hoping for action on the over. In any case the under is the play IMO

[DennisT]

Thats a lot of points to lay. BOL though!

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Give the credit to snapstick for the play I just hit it now and see if line moves at tip if it rises i will double down Snapstick is $$$ on totals and a great capper on here ..well respected if he says line may not game before tip line may not move .. Gl today

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

IMO the side of -11 is spot on.

"
BU has been underrated all tourney and vcu overrated 11.5 points i feel is good enough to cover the chalk..I will look up vcu's ATS again but i think 11.5 is enough to cover.. just my opinion Snap and i am a rookie so that opinion holds little weight i know... just that in NIT games the teams seem to play closer no blowouts

[DaColts]

Def a low number but I think there right on

[snapstick]

Dennis: I play an over 153 on Monday and it covered by 26 points..not to say this total will but the over is the play with my first play.

[snapstick]

DaColts: The only reason the total isn't lower is because it would go below the books stantards for totals. This line should be set at the high 90's but you will never see that.

[SamAceRothstein]

GL Snap! BOL

[snapstick]

I am going to throw out a Grapefruit League game in a few for the fun of it. If you want to put a couple dollars or points on it its a good play IMO.

[snapstick]

Off The Record:

Phillies +110

[DIRTYDIRTY]

damn dogg where u been hit big on UNC last night looking to keep the luck going !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!BOL

[DIRTYDIRTY]

what u know spring training is impossible to bet on ill take philly though atlanta is trying fiqure out there bullpen right now and they keep getting lit up in the later innings!!!!!!

[STAY STRONG]

gl today

[snapstick]

BOL Strong

[snapstick]

The Boston/VCU total just jumped 2 points to 149...hope you got it when i posted it but it still is the right play at 149.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Nice call what do you have the vcu/bu line at 152+ or higher?

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

I mean how high did you capp that line?

[DIRTYDIRTY]

snap whats ur reasoning on taking the phillies