Let's See How This Works Out- Melia's Picks For Wednesday

beanbag · 03-20-10, 03:04 AM

very nice!

melia26 · 03-20-10, 11:27 PM

So Washington was my second favorite play and I won 1st half, 2nd half and game. So what did I do? I put everything on 4 separate bets including my favorite play today, BYU. I took BYU 1st half, 1st half over, BYU 2nd half and game. Lost them all! I am kicking myself for chasing away my good day. It may be hard to do, but I need to take tomorrow off!

THE PROFIT · 03-21-10, 12:00 AM

No rest for the wicked! Winners dont quit & quitters dont win. A number 2 seed went down early today, never bet against a #2 later in the day. Same with the #1 going down, then look what Kentucky did.

I think after about a month of THE PROFITS common sense guide to sports gaming, you would be good to go!

THE PROFIT · 03-21-10, 12:07 AM

Like I told you about 1H plays, obviously not soon enough, they are guesses. This business is about information. Nothing provides more information than actually seeing what happens. That's why the last part of the day, just like the last part of the game is more profitable. Once you see how the teams are playing in the 1H then see the 2H line you can make educated guesses, not just guesses.
You never really know how flat a team will come out & play the first half of a game, no matter what their tendencies in previous games.

Same with the first part of the day. You can look from a probability standpoint that KSt & UK were good plays. That's why I seldom lock plays in the night before. Alot can happen between 12:00pm & 8:00 that makes muddy water clear

suckerforparlays · 03-21-10, 02:22 AM

ahhh melia you dumb dumb hahahaha

I had UK -5.5 in the first half and -9.5 in the game
Baylor was my jumbo play

Im playing

Texas A@M as my big play
Xavier PK
Boston University -1.5 Medium sized

melia26 · 03-22-10, 02:37 AM

I just played in the SBR sportsbook today, too broke for anything else after the BYU debacle yesterday. Lost with Texas A&M, Missouri and Georgia Tech. Won with Duke and Syracuse. Glad I didn't spend any money today, this tourney has been really tough to take.

suckerforparlays · 03-22-10, 03:38 AM

fuggin Texas A@M

melia26 · 03-23-10, 12:01 AM

I have a few days to research, and I am looking at taking Cornell, West Virginia, Purdue, St. Mary's, N Iowa, Ohio St, Syracuse and Kansas St to cover. I'm sure that will change throughout the week!

THE PROFIT · 03-23-10, 12:04 AM

DONT TAKE CORNELL!!!

hate to hear you've been having a rough go at it! Tonight was refreshing IMO, getting away from the big tourney. AppySt & CoC as big dogs looked like free money

THE PROFIT · 03-23-10, 12:06 AM

Ohio St is your call, do what you want, but no one is giving my VOLS a chance. Wouldnt be surprised to see an orange & blue SEC national championship game

suckerforparlays · 03-23-10, 12:18 AM

here we OSU here we !!

here go osu here we go!!

here we go OSU here we

THE PROFIT · 03-23-10, 12:29 AM

Kiss my arse

suckerforparlays · 03-23-10, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

Kiss my arse

THE PROFIT · 03-23-10, 01:27 AM

I took nevada +8 then got them at 2H for +9 for the game today SFP! These games seemed to easy. I felt like I was gonna get caught stealin' money

bornselling · 03-23-10, 01:54 AM

[COLOR=#000000 !important]Hey Profit, I did 3 moneyline parlays, 1 out of 3 hit. Damn Akron! Got lucky on a few teams, so I'm glad things went my way. Bet $30 and won $151 on the ml parlay, plus 5 straight bets, a great day for me. I'm scared now to list my starred plays, but my early ML parlay will include Villanova, Georgetown, Memphis, Oklahoma St, Baylor, Vanderbilt, and Colorado St.

Some of these early lines have me shaking my head. I was hoping the Missouri game would go up, but instead it's going down. I'll probably still roll with Missouri though. Notre Dame and Syracuse lines have me very confused, so I may wait for some second half action. Let me know what you like![/COLOR]

melia26 · 03-23-10, 03:43 AM

I did win a small teaser in the SBR sportsbook tonight on the late games. I took Dayton, Pacific and SLU. These games really are so much easier to cap than the big boys party. Since bills are in my way right now, I'm waiting until pay day Thursday to make real $ plays.

suckerforparlays · 03-23-10, 03:57 AM

roflmao did you watch that St.Louis game I lost my ****ing hair in that game they barely even won that game lol

melia26 · 03-23-10, 04:00 AM

No, I'm glad I didn't watch! The 2 dogs look like sbr teaser plays tomorrow, TT and UNC. I finally won a few points in the bingo game in the sbr casino, so I'll throw a little on that!

suckerforparlays · 03-23-10, 04:09 AM

lol I dont even think im gonna bother trying to muster a card up tomorrow. I only see 4 games listed hahahah

melia26 · 03-24-10, 01:43 AM

And look what happens, when I don't play I win. I'm not playing tomorrow either, but I do like Dayton and Boston U. I guess App St is postponed or else I would play them too. Rhode Island, Princeton and Missouri St have an edge, but not enough for a play. GL!

suckerforparlays · 03-24-10, 01:46 AM

Bu +12
appy -3
prince +4
uri +6.5

THE PROFIT · 03-24-10, 02:09 AM

Im pissed about the appy postpone. That makes me like them better though. I have it & more on the under

THE PROFIT · 03-24-10, 02:10 AM

What did you play today?

I had both dogs & both unders, OT killed one under, so 3-1

or should I say play points on?

melia26 · 03-25-10, 01:29 AM

I didn't play points because I spent them all playing bingo! Tomorrow I will play App St for sure. I don't know what to do about Syracuse. There has really been no adjustment for that player on Cuse being hurt, but so many people are giving the points, I think they may end up only winning by 4. I do like K St, so I'll probably play the team that burned me so bad this past weekend!

THE PROFIT · 03-25-10, 01:43 AM

He has been out for several games now, so adjustment has been built in. With him that line would be about 8

Appy St-3.5 and under 132 are my 2 big plays

KY-8.5 HUGE

Still looking over some stuff, may have another good total. Only played 4 today, 2 were 2H plays & missed one by half point

suckerforparlays · 03-25-10, 01:49 AM

All I no is I made a bunch of baby ass plays tomorrow and im proud of it lmfao

my strongest play is K-state and that isnt even strong lol

THE PROFIT · 03-25-10, 02:10 AM

I'm puttin my vacation home in the islands on UK. If it loses it wont be a bad loss because it doesn't exist

THE PROFIT · 03-25-10, 02:11 AM

As of right now my best chance of an upset looks like Washington, and under on that game looks great

melia26 · 03-25-10, 02:13 AM

You are a funny character Profit! K St is my strongest feel too, and you're right, it's very wishy washy. A ML parlay seems almost inevitable, but who do I go with? That freaking autistic kid is in my head with this Purdue crap, so I'm tripping on Duke. Just trying to figure out which of the big boys will lose.

melia26 · 03-25-10, 02:14 AM

Washington has made me the most money so far this tournament, it's hard to go against them. Buy I do like West VA as a ML possibility.

melia26 · 03-25-10, 02:18 AM

Some people were talking about the under in Mich St/No Iowa being strong, and a guy I like that comes into work really likes K St under tomorrow.

melia26 · 03-25-10, 02:20 AM

What do you think about Syracuse ML? I really think they should win, but by how much?

suckerforparlays · 03-25-10, 02:37 AM

Ok Duke isnt gonna lose. If they lose then im gonna be speechless and completly dumbfounded. That is t he only game I have any confidence in and if they lose then my bracket is ****ed lol.

Syracuse should win but I played them in a small ML parlay because im not taking a chance with 6 points 7 points at some places now.

My parlay is

Syracuse
Appy
Duke
K-State

Im not touching Baylor not touching Kentucky not toughin MSU

melia26 · 03-25-10, 02:39 AM

You know, I just noticed something. ML's have different strengths at the same point spread. Last week, Duke and Ohio St both were -6.5, though Duke was -250 and Ohio St was -270.

THE PROFIT · 03-25-10, 02:44 AM

Right, its odds of them losing SU vs covering the spread.

The only 1 seed I would be ultra shocked to see get knocked off would be Kentucky. I think Duke or Cuse could get upset. Not likely but possible. If Cornell beats UK I will quit gambling, quit whorin' around, and get married. And we all know that will NEVER happen!