Let's See How This Works Out- Melia's Picks For Wednesday

[melia26]

Dipping my toe in the boys club pool, so don't hate! Only picks, no intelligent write up included, just posting based on my simple stat system. Let's see how it goes for Wednesday:

Memphis +2.5
Arkansas +11.5
Auburn +2.5
BYU -6
Houston -14.5
Maryland +1
Wisconsin -18.5

And my leans that I just want to play: Kansas State +9.5 and Georgia +8

Good luck everyone! Let's get that freaking Monet!

[melia26]

Worked out pretty well on my plays. 6-1 on the day. Love the straight bets. Leans 0-2. Go me anyway!

Tomorrow's rockstars:

Central Michigan +4.5
Buffalo +4
Richmond -3 Richmond ML
Providence +11
Washington State +3.5
Louisiana Tech n/l
San Jose St +5.5
CS Fullerton +2.5
Evansville +9.5
NC Asheville n/l

[DaColts]

Nice job man keep it up

[THE PROFIT]

Already on C.Mich, was kinda leaning toward Dayton+ the points vs Richmond. What does your stats say that makes you like Richmond?

[melia26]

Hey DaColts, I'm not a man, but thanks for the encouragement!

Profit, I don't really have anything to give you as far as what I look at other than strong home defense numbers favor the Spiders. I kind of hope more people think the way you're thinking, because I could use the line to drop in my favor! Best of luck!

[suckerforparlays]

Already on C.Mich, was kinda leaning toward Dayton+ the points vs Richmond. What does your stats say that makes you like Richmond?

I just looked that game over and im on Richmond on the ML not touching those points

[THE PROFIT]

I noticed they do have a better defense. Prob won't play it, but like C.Mich for sure. Good Luck to you too!

Will be interesting to see how this system does, 6-1 is strong. Have you been using this for a while? If so what is the record or have you backtested? I assume you're not new to betting just posting.

[THE PROFIT]

SFP, find a line on that damn ETSU game!!!!!

[melia26]

Hey Sucker, I'm planning on doing a moneyline parlay with Richmond along with playing it straight. Hope I get a good number tomorrow, I may back off it it goes up a point. Hit a good ml parlay today, so I'm going to try it again. Richmond has some very impressive wins this year, may be a strong tourney dog.

Profit, as you probably have done, I have tuned my capping as the year has progressed, narrowing down what to look for and it's been solid for about 1.5 months. I have learned a lot from reading various forums and learning how to bet properly. At first, my money was pretty tight and I was forced to parlay all my picks. Now that I can afford to straight bet, it has worked out well. Sometimes there are too many plays that get the star, so I cut my unit in half to accommodate.

[suckerforparlays]

SFP, find a line on that damn ETSU game!!!!!

Dude it should be posted on bookmaker in the morning i think. Eastern Illinois isnt listed on bookmaker right now but I talked to live support on bookmaker and they said that the game will be listed in the morning

[suckerforparlays]

Dont go huge on that Richmond game Melia that is a huge A10 battle and has huge value to both teams. Bet small on that game

[THE PROFIT]

I hope it is. I remenber several years back when they made the tourney they played Wake in the opening round as a 16 or 18 point dog & lost by 3 at the very end. I had about 5K on them. That's back when I knew all the players, I'm not in my twenties anymore LoL!!!

[THE PROFIT]

Hey Sucker, I'm planning on doing a moneyline parlay with Richmond along with playing it straight. Hope I get a good number tomorrow, I may back off it it goes up a point. Hit a good ml parlay today, so I'm going to try it again. Richmond has some very impressive wins this year, may be a strong tourney dog.

Profit, as you probably have done, I have tuned my capping as the year has progressed, narrowing down what to look for and it's been solid for about 1.5 months. I have learned a lot from reading various forums and learning how to bet properly. At first, my money was pretty tight and I was forced to parlay all my picks. Now that I can afford to straight bet, it has worked out well. Sometimes there are too many plays that get the star, so I cut my unit in half to accommodate.

You sound like a very intelligent young lady, you could sure teach most these degenerates around here a few things. Through the years I have found it best to play the same unit amount on all my plays that night.

[suckerforparlays]

I hope it is. I remenber several years back when they made the tourney they played Wake in the opening round as a 16 or 18 point dog & lost by 3 at the very end. I had about 5K on them. That's back when I knew all the players, I'm not in my twenties anymore LoL!!!

lol

[melia26]

Sucker, I know it, you already have me envisioning a squeaker!

[THE PROFIT]

small conference schools it's dog or nothing for me. I made good loot this week with DD road dogs losing by 2 and 3 with GaSouthern+ and Charleston Southern+. Vegas doesn't know how to properly handicap these teams that are never in the spotlight then the public only knows to do one thing with a team they know nothing about & that's pound the favorite giving someone who knows a little about them even more value.

I did get burned by a half point today with colgate, but I don't consider that as small a conference as say Atlantic Sun & Big South. Those schools are in my backyard

[melia26]

Profit, thank you for the kind words. I encounter far too many degenerates at work to know where I'm at. Betting for me makes the interaction with these folks tolerable. And taking bet after bet on UConn, Duke and UAB made me smile a little more knowing I was going to have a good night. I did make BYU a 1.5 unit play, and it worked. I just had that feeling, but usually just stick to one unit across the board. If I come out even, I feel I won!

[THE PROFIT]

Back when I was booking it made it alot easier, getting a real feel of what the public was on! I was making so much money then though I didn't wager on anything but football myself. So you work for a sportsbook? I've been wanting to head down to CR for the last few years & just stay about a month & check it out, I would love to get involved in the industry.

[suckerforparlays]

I banked on that Georgia Southern came a few days ago

[THE PROFIT]

It looked horrible and then they went on a run and came within 2. They were down as much as 14 & I was cussin'. Then at 9:00 NC A&T was getting 13-13.5. They were up by 10 at the half & blew a 24 point spread lead & lost by 14. Unreal!

[suckerforparlays]

I was on North Carolina A@T also I bought 2 points though so I covered by 1 point lol I had 15 points

[THE PROFIT]

I hate buying hooks & points, but I've been cornholed 3 times this week. Tonight on Colgate getting 7.5 they lost by 8.

[THE PROFIT]

I'm getting close to mt 3,000 post so I'm gonna quit posting & make a big deal about it later in PT LoL!!!

Everyone have a good night/morning!

[melia26]

Yes, I work in a sportsbook. It's madness. I wish I worked mornings to get the real feel. Since I work nights, I bet at another book before I go in since we cannot bet at work. The book is a funny place to hang out and people watch, it's really just a big game of I'm smarter than you. Everyone stands in front of the counter talking to each other like they are Nostradomus. Unfortunately I see so many games I like throughout the night, there's a lot of missed opportunities.

[melia26]

Oh and I got paid on GA Southern too, so it's a collective woo hoo party! Regarding Eatern Tennessee St., my #"s show they can win by 3. Can't wait to see these lines tomorrow. Night all!

[THE PROFIT]

They are good in the cof tourney, I feel they will be a small dog because they are a lower seed than Campbell. I'll back them no matter what because I'm a homer! Plus it will be the only game of theirs I get to play all season if they get beat SU! LoL!

[melia26]

I've decided to only play Richmond on the moneyline. The spread is getting out of hand for me.

[THE PROFIT]

Public overwhelmingly on Richmond. I'll wait closer to tip off. Didn't play ETSU but hoping they win! Cashed on the under 57.5 first half to start the day on a positive note

[melia26]

Right on cue, as soon as I decide to post picks, I go 4-6 lol. I've seen this happen to so many people, I should have known. A few more teams should have worked it out, but could not close the deal. My moneyline parlay saved my day and I also decided to play it in the sbr sportsbook, and I made 41 points there. Better than gambling the points like I usually do. I'll post a ML parlay for tomorrow and see how this does:

All ML
Yale
Akron
Long Beach St
Hofstra
Creighton
Illinois St
Loy Marymount
San Diego

Good luck everyone, a new day lies ahead!

[THE PROFIT]

ML on Richmond was a good decision. I knew that one would be close. Some got it at 3.5. Parlay? not good!

[THE PROFIT]

Creighton & Bradley match up very well. Creighton has beaten Bradley twice this season, this may be Bradleys revenge game. It's tough to beat a team 3 times in a season when you're basically equal. Look what happened to Radford today

[suckerforparlays]

im staying off the bradley creighton game thats distaster in the making

[melia26]

Thanks guys, I'll probably scratch Creighton from my final list! G'night!

[THE PROFIT]

Well Melia, even if I did talk you out off Creighton Akron still killed that parlay! Let me know what you actually played. I did great today, best day in a while. Hope to keep it rollin for Sat!

[melia26]

Hey Profit, I did 3 moneyline parlays, 1 out of 3 hit. Damn Akron! Got lucky on a few teams, so I'm glad things went my way. Bet $30 and won $151 on the ml parlay, plus 5 straight bets, a great day for me. I'm scared now to list my starred plays, but my early ML parlay will include Villanova, Georgetown, Memphis, Oklahoma St, Baylor, Vanderbilt, and Colorado St.

Some of these early lines have me shaking my head. I was hoping the Missouri game would go up, but instead it's going down. I'll probably still roll with Missouri though. Notre Dame and Syracuse lines have me very confused, so I may wait for some second half action. Let me know what you like!