XX MY Play of the Day XX

suckerforparlays · 02-27-10, 11:47 AM

Crap i havnt been paying close attention to your picks but wasnt your last percentage 56% also? Are they all gonna equal out to around 56%? Just curious

fly fisher · 02-27-10, 11:48 AM

like what you do and others do, 2daBank has this as an under. Both of you are pretty damn solid, so I just thought I would let you know.

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by suckerforparlays

Crap i havnt been paying close attention to your picks but wasnt your last percentage 56% also? Are they all gonna equal out to around 56%? Just curious

56 is the cut off... when I get something better like 58 to 61... it's a strong play... so no... not all of them will equal 56%...lol... just the only one for the morning that was a play for me and happened to be 56%...

suckerforparlays · 02-27-10, 12:59 PM

ah so if you putup 58% you think its a really strong play?

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by suckerforparlays

ah so if you putup 58% you think its a really strong play?

I got a few that I like that are 58 and over....

Wright st. over 126, 58% chance of going over, est total 132
Murray st over 134, 59% chance of going over, est total 142
Oregon state over 106, 64% chance of going over, est total 117

Princeton over 105, 62% chance of going over, est total 122... (I hate IVY teams... so I'm not going to bother with this one, burned to many times by a half a point...lol..)
But, I'm playing the three I posted in a small parley and straight up)

Fade or stay away... either way good luck...

possible plays:
Samford over 126, 57% chance of going over, est total 134
Wofford over 117.5, 57% chance of going over, est total 130
Denver Over 121.5, 57% chance of going over, est total 134 *** (probably will play this too)
Washington state Under 154, 58% chance of staying under, est total 139... *** depending on how the day goes, I like this too...

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by fly fisher

like what you do and others do, 2daBank has this as an under. Both of you are pretty damn solid, so I just thought I would let you know.

thanks... I hate Saturdays... too many games to go through lol... and then I realize I missed a play... I like doing line's too... last night I had Weber st. -6.... it was a good hit... but lost the over for St Peters game... so I paid the juice...

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 02:19 PM

Pitt total line 122, Actual total 135, est total 131.... Win...

HoulihansTX · 02-27-10, 02:19 PM

easy over

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

easy over

Just the way I like it!...lol..

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 05:38 PM

Pitt WIN
Wright st. over 126, 58% chance of going over, est total 132 Win, total... 131
Murray st over 134, 59% chance of going over, est total 142 win total ... 142
Oregon state over 106, 64% chance of going over, est total 117LOST... 93

possible plays:
Samford over 126, 57% chance of going over, est total 134 WIN, total 150
Wofford over 117.5, 57% chance of going over, est total 130 WIN total 141
Denver Over 121.5, 57% chance of going over, est total 134 *** (probably will play this too)LOST 110
Washington state Under 154, 58% chance of staying under, est total 139... *** depending on how the day goes, I like this too...

5 and 2 so far... one more... Washington St. under.

DIRTYDIRTY · 02-27-10, 10:20 PM

Nice work

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by DIRTYDIRTY

Nice work

thanks...

suckerforparlays · 02-27-10, 10:31 PM

wow can u send me me your forumula for this please, Im really intersted please PM me!

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 10:53 PM

Originally posted by suckerforparlays

wow can u send me me your forumula for this please, Im really intersted please PM me!

Well... I created a database that I use...lol... I use several sights that simulate the game. Each one does it about 10,000 times so I use all the numbers together and use a mathematical formula that I built... since Humans are a factor, I have to look at each game that passes the rule of 10... so say the game is to go under 154, projected score is 129... I add 10 points for the "human factor" (whos in, whos out, Home court advantage etc) ... Like the Washington State game... I posted projected 139 (added ten), if I had an over I would minus 10... I Have posted team wins with the same method... just nothing I Liked met all the criteria of a play... The Program I built is too big to send... so when I bought my new computer with my Gambling money...lol... I had to put it on a jump drive... I try to post ever day, even if you dont like a play tell me why, I'm always looking for ways to improve on my formula...
Thanks for the positive feed back...

2daBank · 02-27-10, 10:56 PM

i may be a little biased as i was on the under but it wasnt that damn easy, hell they were only at 116 with a minute to go....either way good call

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

i may be a little biased as i was on the under but it wasnt that damn easy, hell they were only at 116 with a minute to go....either way good call

Hey, I love feed back, Helps me improve on my game... we are all a bit Biased, Some games I hate... but it works out great in the end... so I have no feelings on any game when it comes to making money...lol

2daBank · 02-27-10, 11:07 PM

thought under was in good shape, then the last minute came and it seemed like a year both teams at the line back and forth sometimes before the inbounds pass with no time going off the clock...it was painful

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

thought under was in good shape, then the last minute came and it seemed like a year both teams at the line back and forth sometimes before the inbounds pass with no time going off the clock...it was painful

I hear yah, Last Saturday I missed a five game parley by a half a point...lol... I would sooner not do a parley... but I love the pay out, so if I bet a parley, it's a small amount, money that I throw away...lol... every now and then the star's are alined and I do it...lol..

2daBank · 02-27-10, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by xxloopholexx

I hear yah, Last Saturday I missed a five game parley by a half a point...lol... I would sooner not do a parley... but I love the pay out, so if I bet a parley, it's a small amount, money that I throw away...lol... every now and then the star's are alined and I do it...lol..

had a 7 teamer 2weeks ago that missed because i had evansville+13 and those fuks were down 10 pretty much the whole game never in it but perfect then inexplicably with less than a minute they started playing the foul game and jacking 3s and lost by 15.....that really sucked always 1 game and something stupid on those big parleys i never hit them, figure im pretty due dont do them often but every1 ive done the last few months has been like that

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

had a 7 teamer 2weeks ago that missed because i had evansville+13 and those fuks were down 10 pretty much the whole game never in it but perfect then inexplicably with less than a minute they started playing the foul game and jacking 3s and lost by 15.....that really sucked always 1 game and something stupid on those big parleys i never hit them, figure im pretty due dont do them often but every1 ive done the last few months has been like that

last Sunday I hit a three teamer.. every now and then I will do five, no more that... about 3 years ago on college Football during the bowl games, I was with in one game of wining 20 grand...lol.. it was called 10 for 20, 10 dollars, 10 games for 20G....lol... I bet the max to hedge the game... so may return on a 20 dollar bet was 500.... not bad... but thats one bet I would have loved to lose.... and take the 20...lol..

2daBank · 02-27-10, 11:26 PM

no shit....yea 3 no big deal i hit those quite often when i play them but if i like the card usually take a crack at 7 as it pays great think last 1 that screwed me was somewhere between $15-20(forget exactly as usually just do them to round a number out) and it paid little less than 2 gs

xxloopholexx · 02-27-10, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

no shit....yea 3 no big deal i hit those quite often when i play them but if i like the card usually take a crack at 7 as it pays great think last 1 that screwed me was somewhere between $15-20(forget exactly as usually just do them to round a number out) and it paid little less than 2 gs

I think over thee games.... it's hard... But I think one of theses days.. a heavy day for BB, I might do a ten teamer... but just haven't seen the games come up that I like... see, I backed out of the Princeton game today... but it went over... just like I said it would... sometimes I just want to bet with my gut feeling... well... my gut dont win as much as the number's game does... (what I'm doing now)... matter of fact my gut is terrible at picking games...lol...

xxloopholexx · 02-28-10, 12:26 AM

Washington St stays under the posted total... of 154, total points scored 11.... for plays of the day 4 wins and one loss, over all for the day 6 wins and two losses... not a bad day...

6 day record of play of the day: 12 wins and 4 losses... over all.... (with possible plays)14 wins and 5 losses... Lets do it again tomorrow....lol...