early sat play

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  • DRZ
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-24-10
    • 918

    #1
    early sat play
    tenn
  • Rbyrne
    Restricted User
    • 02-10-10
    • 3054

    #2
    Im on the other side....Kentucky wins by atleast 10
    Comment
    • Glitch
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-08-09
      • 11795

      #3
      this is a bad play unless you have some inside info about some shannanigans. its ky or nothin...not sure if youve seen the spread but they're hardly even getting any points...they just got blown out by florida
      Comment
      • phatgentleman
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-23-09
        • 123

        #4
        ehh
        Comment
        • jboy4
          Restricted User
          • 02-18-10
          • 1950

          #5
          I dont know. Seems to me most money will definitely be on the Cats. I think Tenn bites Kentucky here. Tenn will win this game. I agree DRZ
          Comment
          • THE PROFIT
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-09
            • 17701

            #6
            I've got some inside info. Big Pussy did go into witness protection
            Attached Files
            Comment
            • Glitch
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-08-09
              • 11795

              #7
              Originally posted by THE PROFIT
              I've got some inside info. Big Pussy did go into witness protection
              pussy also got whacked.

              you guys are probably right and im staying away from it for the most part- but kentucky is the far-superior team thats all im sayin. i see plenty of reason to leave it alone, lotsa reasons to take KY, just not really any reason to take the other side.
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #8
                three reasons why i'm leaning UT:
                1. UT 18-3 ATS as a home dog going back to 1997.
                2. the comments that i'm reading as to why UK is the play remind me a lot of the comments as to why Kansas was the play at UT, and we all remember how that worked out.
                3. 67% of public on UK, but Greek and now 5 Dimes have changed line to +2. someone with a lot more money than me likes UT. i believe that the Greek's line moves are generally the sharpest, and when they move first, it catches my attention.

                my 2 cents, BOL to all whatever you decide.

                EDIT: FYI, 5 Dimes just moved back to 2'
                Comment
                • Glitch
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-08-09
                  • 11795

                  #9
                  solid input biff but this still just seems like reason to stay away from the game instead of betting against maybe the best or second best team in the nation and only getting 2 points. i watched that TN/FL game and wayne chism went down hard, hurt his hip and was limping- hes probably fine but thats just yet another issue.

                  too many games today to deal with this TN game or the vanderbilt one...will you end up being the crazy conspiracy theorist who bets against the far-superior team and lose by 10 or will you be the sucker square that goes down in flames and regrets using such primitive selection logic. i dont want to be either. (it'll be really hard for me not to try to get a tiny piece of kentucky but i suggest at most- you guys do the same for whatever side youre on of this- go small)
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    glitch,

                    i think you've hit the nail on the head: there are enough games on the card that going against the #2 team in the country and only getting 2 points is unnecessarily risky. the Kansas upset probably cost UT supporters a point or 2 by itself. no way would i back UK in this spot, but since i've been looking at this game since yesterday and still haven't played it, probably time to consider throwing it in the no-play pile, move on and just watch a good game.
                    Comment
                    • pokerpro44
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-20-07
                      • 3138

                      #11
                      i like tenn to win this one.
                      Comment
                      • allday1113
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 12-07-09
                        • 64

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                        three reasons why i'm leaning UT:
                        1. UT 18-3 ATS as a home dog going back to 1997.
                        2. the comments that i'm reading as to why UK is the play remind me a lot of the comments as to why Kansas was the play at UT, and we all remember how that worked out.
                        3. 67% of public on UK, but Greek and now 5 Dimes have changed line to +2. someone with a lot more money than me likes UT. i believe that the Greek's line moves are generally the sharpest, and when they move first, it catches my attention.

                        my 2 cents, BOL to all whatever you decide.

                        EDIT: FYI, 5 Dimes just moved back to 2'
                        I'm on Kentucky here. First off, things that happened 10 years ago means absolutely nothing.

                        Kansas/Kentucky - two completely different teams in two completely different situations. Tennessee had just suspended those four players from the gun/possession thing and the momentum was just different. Silly to compare the two games.

                        Let's be honest here - Kentucky has three lottery picks next year and Tennessee doesn't have a future pro on their roster. The Vols have been horrible defending the paint this season - and those are the kinds of teams that Kentucky takes advantage of. And I think we all know the Cats have the guys to defend Hopson and Chism.
                        Comment
                        • dabears27529
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 02-14-10
                          • 26

                          #13
                          good luck Im on kentucky
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #14
                            Originally posted by allday1113

                            I'm on Kentucky here. First off, things that happened 10 years ago means absolutely nothing.

                            Kansas/Kentucky - two completely different teams in two completely different situations. Tennessee had just suspended those four players from the gun/possession thing and the momentum was just different. Silly to compare the two games.

                            Let's be honest here - Kentucky has three lottery picks next year and Tennessee doesn't have a future pro on their roster. The Vols have been horrible defending the paint this season - and those are the kinds of teams that Kentucky takes advantage of. And I think we all know the Cats have the guys to defend Hopson and Chism.
                            solid comments. as a Badger fan, your points must automatically be respected.

                            as to the 10 years ago, fair enough. what i'm saying is that, long-term, UT is a tough place for road faves to play. this is a circle-the-calendar game, as was Kansas and as are Memphis and Florida. the team will be more focused, and the crowd more energized.

                            as for the gun-charge thing, i didn't give UT any additional points for that in that game, and in fact deducted slightly for it due to simple loss of available talent (as with an injury). UT has only lost 1 game at home this season, and is coming off a loss. they'll be focused. admittedly, Kentucky has done well as a small road dog this season (2-0).

                            lottery picks or not, UT didn't play all that badly at UK recently. i had Kentucky 1H in that, and lost. i'm no UT apologist, that's for sure, but UT surprised me that game and hung with UK pretty well but for some bad stretches. the Vols have treated me well a number of times over the years as a dog, that i clearly recall. we can agree to disagree, but i think UT wins by 3-4. if i'm wrong it won't be the first time. i'll bet you some SBR points or whatever. BOL to you today.
                            Comment
                            • DRZ
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-24-10
                              • 918

                              #15
                              All vols:d
                              Comment
                              • DennisT
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-11-09
                                • 2025

                                #16
                                Biff. Was going to play U.K. Will pass.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DennisT
                                  Biff. Was going to play U.K. Will pass.
                                  one of us will be correct, and neither of us will lose money.
                                  Comment
                                  • mozomboking
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-05-07
                                    • 476

                                    #18
                                    tennessee +2 1/2
                                    Comment
                                    • Glitch
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-08-09
                                      • 11795

                                      #19
                                      thanks biff. saved me some scratch
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Glitch
                                        thanks biff. saved me some scratch
                                        sure thing. just hope you didn't tail that abortion of an over pick i had on NE/Mason.
                                        Comment
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