New Betting Secret!

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  • Curty1107
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-25-10
    • 5

    #1
    New Betting Secret!
    ... NEVER bet a favorite on the road. ALWAYS put your money on a favorite at home. After keeping up with college basketball for the last 10 yrs.... the smart bet is to always (well most of the time) go with the home team. Home court advantage is prob the biggest factor in college hoops. It is def the best strategy. Sick and tired of losing money on road favorites who cant get the job done. So my advice to all of you is this... when you see a fav going on the road to a team who has a solid home court fan support group, pick the dog at home (with points of course). You will def win more money in the long run. Just my .02 cents.
  • southpaw74
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-21-09
    • 7104

    #2
    i hear that...it's just so hard to do but you are correct!!
    Comment
    • Masu485
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-14-08
      • 7700

      #3
      totally wrong. i agree that home court advantage is the biggest in college bball than in any other sport, but the line factors that in already. also, people give it even more value because they always assume the home team is going to cover. when in fact, away favs are hitting at 53.9% this season (46% home dogs) in college bball. and i bet most away teams have decent value just due to the fact that people think they shouldn't win and pound the home side.
      Comment
      • Ralphie1412
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-08
        • 13963

        #4
        sssshhhhhh dont tell anyone.
        "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
        Goat Milk
        Comment
        • goldengreek
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-25-07
          • 8340

          #5
          Road dogs are the best value in college basketball
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            this is BS you got a good chance of only losing juice in the long run
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              there is a time and place for road favs just like there isnt..how fitting you decided to post this on a night where road favs didnt fair so well...to generalize like this is str8 crap..start a thread and post this money making strategy of yours and lets see how well you do
              Comment
              • Ralphie1412
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-08
                • 13963

                #8
                Its just a dumb statement. Every game is different.
                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                Goat Milk
                Comment
                • Curty1107
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-25-10
                  • 5

                  #9
                  .... I'm just sayin... home teams have a significant advantage.... proven fact, point blank, plain and simple. Im sayin this because in my 4 yrs of professional bball we have ALWAYS dominated at home and struggled on the road. Its night and day for the players. They obviously dont want to be embarrased at home... but could give 2 shits if they lose on the road. Trust me fella's. Ive been there.
                  Comment
                  • Ralphie1412
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-08
                    • 13963

                    #10
                    You play in the NBA?
                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                    Goat Milk
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Home court advantage is already incorporated into the line, so home dogs were 49.1% ATS and home faves were 49.8% ATS the last nine years.
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Originally posted by goldengreek
                        Road dogs are the best value in college basketball
                        Home Dogs you mean right?

                        Like Michigan, and S. Caro
                        Comment
                        • Curty1107
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 01-25-10
                          • 5

                          #13
                          I actually played in MLB but all of my buddies who played in NBA and College hoops have always told me the best bet comes from home teams..... because of home court advantage. Has worked for me so far. Believe me when you throw 20 grand on a home team w points and you cash in on it... you tend to understand the logic in it and agree with it. Dont have time to ask questions while Im on my way to the bank to cash in my winnings. But what do I know, right?
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                            You play in the NBA?

                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              you keep spewing this shit although LTprofits just destroyed your BS theory...so tell your nba friends they full of shit they fail to cover at home just as easily as on the road
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                Home court advantage is already incorporated into the line, so home dogs were 49.1% ATS and home faves were 49.8% ATS the last nine years.
                                Oddsmakers just know their shit. Thats an amazing stat
                                Comment
                                • Curty1107
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-25-10
                                  • 5

                                  #17
                                  ... but what do I know, Im just a dumb redneck from Texas... (cough, cough)... a very wealthy redneck from Texas.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    oh your wealthy so i guess that means your right and the numbers are wrong thats some funny shit guy i believe your a rich ex major league player less than i believe your BS strategy and that has already provin to be wrong...guess you just had to make up something we couldnt disprove in 5 minutes
                                    Comment
                                    • Jimmy Proffett
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-20-09
                                      • 2729

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Curty1107
                                      ... but what do I know, Im just a dumb redneck from Texas... (cough, cough)... a very wealthy redneck from Texas.
                                      So you're a professional b-baller..... and a redneck? Does not compute.

                                      Actually I stay away from road favs also, unless I'm super confident about playing the chalk.
                                      Comment
                                      • Curty1107
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-25-10
                                        • 5

                                        #20
                                        OK... play as you may. Sad that you cant post in here without all the haters getting so defensive.
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          While no single subset is profitable by itself, CBB ROAD FAVORITES have actually done the best the last ninie years (50.9% ATS).
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Curty1107
                                            OK... play as you may. Sad that you cant post in here without all the haters getting so defensive.
                                            how is any1 hating you came on here and posted a BS theory telling misguided souls to play this asinine strategy and its hating to let them know that you dont got a clue? sorry "mr. rich professional athlete" but money is important to some ppl and id hate to see them lose it all taking your shit advice.. not hating, actually looking out for the ppl unlike yourself
                                            Comment
                                            • goldengreek
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-25-07
                                              • 8340

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by houlihanstx
                                              home dogs you mean right?

                                              Like michigan, and s. Caro

                                              no... I meant road dogs

                                              in terms of value -- your getting the most value with road dogs
                                              Comment
                                              • Masu485
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-14-08
                                                • 7700

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by goldengreek
                                                no... I meant road dogs

                                                in terms of value -- your getting the most value with road dogs
                                                public can't resist a home fav and jack up the spread for you
                                                Comment
                                                • THE PROFIT
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-27-09
                                                  • 17701

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm not real big into listening to someone who has made 5 posts. Also Curty, you should quit gambling on sports, you wont get into the hall of fame!
                                                  Comment
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