Small Play on Iowa +5.5

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #1
    Small Play on Iowa +5.5
    One way I like to cap teams is to see the difference in their spreads game to game.

    Indy has been Dogs for 6 straight games. In the three games previous to those they were favs. They covered once at -21.5, and failed to cover the other two(- 7.5, -26).

    Indiana has not been favored in conference this whole year. I think their is a little over reaction to them winning twice as 10+ Dogs.

    In this game Indy is going from being 10pt Dogs to 5.5 favs. Nope, not passing the eye test.


    Iowa +5.5 /Small
  • ninja33
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-13-10
    • 338

    #2
    Iowa hasn't been covering anything all year though.

    I'm staying away, I guess if I had to play I'd be with you and put a small bet on Iowa (I think Indiana wins by 4). But Iowa is really really bad, i refuse to bet on them.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Originally posted by ninja33
      Iowa hasn't been covering anything all year though. I'm staying away, I guess if I had to play I'd be with you and put a small bet on Iowa (I think Indiana wins by 4). But Iowa is really really bad, i refuse to bet on them.

      Covered 5 of last 7.
      Comment
      • ninja33
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-13-10
        • 338

        #4
        5 of the last 7, or 3 of the last 9?

        or are you talking about something in their series vs. indiana
        Comment
        • southpaw74
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-21-09
          • 7104

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          Covered 5 of last 7.
          What??! Iowa has only covered 2 of their last 6. And 3 of their last 9. The only upside is that they have covered their last 2.
          Comment
          • ninja33
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-13-10
            • 338

            #6
            iowas only covered 5 games this whole season....
            Comment
            • southpaw74
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-21-09
              • 7104

              #7
              Hoosiers are 3-1 against Iowa their last 4. 2-0 at indiana And 3 of 4 have gone over.
              Comment
              • southpaw74
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-21-09
                • 7104

                #8
                They haven't scored 131 in their last 3 against each other though. Only 120's and a 108.
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                  Covered 5 of last 7.
                  Switch that

                  2 of last 6

                  Was looking at Indy when I made that blunder.

                  I'm still sticking to my Play.
                  Comment
                  • Busterflywheel
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-13-09
                    • 3991

                    #10
                    I like HOOsiers
                    Comment
                    • jasont
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-24-08
                      • 1227

                      #11
                      Absolutely the correct play here, I took the ML though. I've been on the unlucky side of many games today, so this doesn't bode well for us.
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jasont
                        Absolutely the correct play here, I took the ML though. I've been on the unlucky side of many games today, so this doesn't bode well for us.
                        Comment
                        • jasont
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 1227

                          #13
                          are you going to create a middle with a second half play?
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jasont
                            are you going to create a middle with a second half play?
                            NOpe I just want to win the game and I'm cool.
                            Comment
                            • HoulihansTX
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-12-09
                              • 30566

                              #15
                              It is an 8 point middle though.....
                              Comment
                              • southpaw74
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-21-09
                                • 7104

                                #16
                                Good call so far!! I will try and get it back with Hoosiers -6 second half
                                Comment
                                • HoulihansTX
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 30566

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  Iowa +5.5 /Small
                                  Comment
                                  • Jimmy Proffett
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-20-09
                                    • 2729

                                    #18
                                    Congrats
                                    Comment
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