Maybe you should have taken the +2 and you wouldn’t be here all pouty and whining like a child. Either way, I’m sure your stay here won’t be for much longer
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My apologies, entitled one.Comment -
Just here for chucklesComment -
Being civil prevents civil wars. 47-27 +17,39u
worthy of praise and acknowledgement. Also,like your type of wager, 95% totals. No emotion involved. Adopting myself, been converted. Happy Holidays HGUY, you do your homework and results don't lie.
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Thank you for your game views but more than that, thank you for being a decent human being. I also don't like racist trash.Comment -
Great season.
Merry Christmas. 
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Thanks all for the kind words and well wishes. Glad to see things got sorted out after last night. There's no place for that stuff anywhere in life. The sooner people figure that out, the better off we'll all be. My hope is that that's the last of this kind of stuff we see here and we can focus on finding winners.
As for betting totals versus sides, I came to the realization a few years ago that there is more potential for long term success with totals for me. My working theory is that the noise gets filtered out a little bit more with totals. I also think the number of games in college basketball presents some softer markets. (Now that conference play is starting you may see me play more small conference games.)
At any rate, I have my predictions up on my model for Christmas day. No lines posted yet, but I'll post any plays I have once they are available. If not, see you in a few days.
In the meantime, I'll share my football model. I went live with this Week 6. Over that time it went 261-215 (54.8%). The model only predicts sides, no totals. So far it's 6-3 on bowls for the post season (and also won the Army/Navy game). This is also the first season I've used this model, so I'm not sure how it will hold up for the bowl games, so use caution. Hawaii is the pick for today. It's mostly self-explanatory, but the highlighted games in Column H are games where I have the underdog favored to win SU.
Stay safe everyone!
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One my favorite posters
sbr’s Most underrated imo
merry christmas broComment -
You too DD
both aces in my book
hey merry Christmas manComment -
High praise from two of the best here. Thanks fellas and Merry Christmas!Comment -
12/25
9:00
Houston/Washington u139
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My numbers agree on the over in the Ball St game. The matchup looks pretty good too. However, these loser bracket games can be a little hard to predict so I’m gonna pass.
I may add the UTEP side in a bit, but will pass on the total. GL!Comment -
4:00
UTEP +125
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My lines are up for today and tomorrow. Today is a pass for me.
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12/28
7:00
UNC Wilmington/Delaware o139.5
9:00
Idaho/Idaho St o135.5
10:00
Morgan St/Loyola Marymount o134
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Nice work this year and GL tonite! I love cbb totals. A little hot/cold myself, but on a little Under streak currently. 4 in a row unless Minn/FIU goes OT somehow. 154.5 for that game? Some of these totals are way off.
Randoms trends that may/may not help.
GT is on a 8-1 Under streak. Good def and something like 27% from 3.
Tenn Martin is on a 8-1 Over streak. Def rated like #345 on KenpomComment -
Thanks Fred. My number on that FIU game was 139. Honestly didn’t look at it closely for two reasons. First, it’s the holidays and time is limited with family and all. Second, I’m planning to tread lightly for a bit with all the time off, etc.
I’m not big on trends, but I do look at them. Martin is a great over team though.
Thanks for stopping by.
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Over 10,000 views now. Hope we can keep it up fellas.
Football model is also 13-6 in bowl games with LSU and Ohio St pending.
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12/29
2:00
VMI/USC Upstate o137
5:00
Florida Atlantic/South Florida o124.5
5:30
South Dakota St/Omaha o144.5
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