Ucla +1.5

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Smashed twice by USC in the regular season, losing record (Trojans are 20-11), horrible ATS....

Down 19 at the half.

Nice line, Vegas.

Wizzle'd

RavensFan2k3 · 03-09-16, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Smashed twice by USC in the regular season, losing record (Trojans are 20-11), horrible ATS....

Down 19 at the half.

Nice line, Vegas.

But why did you bet UCLA?

2Shirts · 03-09-16, 10:28 PM

UCLA is trash

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:32 PM

USC is legit. Can shoot the lights out and have the better coach. The line is low but USC much better team. The line staying put was the breaker. Line was exactly like the Zags line yesterday which stayed put.

iloseagain · 03-09-16, 10:35 PM

the small favs have been killing it i feel like.. anything under -2 seems to be hitting at a crazy rate.. i could be wrong though

No coincidences · 03-09-16, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

USC is legit. Can shoot the lights out and have the better coach. The line is low but USC much better team. The line staying put was the breaker. Line was exactly like the Zags line yesterday which stayed put.

USC opened at -160 on the ML and closed at -125. LIN

No coincidences · 03-09-16, 10:37 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

the small favs have been killing it i feel like.. anything under -2 seems to be hitting at a crazy rate.. i could be wrong though

As per usual, big RLM has been a disaster. It continues to make no sense.

Look at Florida State/Virginia Tech tonight as well.

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:41 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

the small favs have been killing it i feel like.. anything under -2 seems to be hitting at a crazy rate.. i could be wrong though

Unless you get big movement on it I agree. If butler stays around -3.5 or drops down I'm pounding them tomorrow. I also like Michigan

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

As per usual, big RLM has been a disaster. It continues to make no sense.

Look at Florida State/Virginia Tech tonight as well.

Longway to go in that one. I don't think FSU should of been laying that number on a neutral floor and VT has been playing some of the best ball in the ACC the past month

No coincidences · 03-09-16, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Longway to go in that one. I don't think FSU should of been laying that number on a neutral floor and VT has been playing some of the best ball in the ACC the past month

Exactly. So why -5?

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:48 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Exactly. So why -5?

I get what your saying but some people buy the line moves. I don't buy into it and usually fade it especially in bowl games for football. I mean you saw what Cuse did earlier with that line move. Your not the only one playing UCLA. It doesn't always work like that though or everyone would be 90% cappers

Suggartown · 03-09-16, 10:50 PM

I do admit I played FSU but got it around like 9AM CST for -2.5 so when it got up to -5 I middled with VT. paying juice is ok especially when I can get a 2.5pt cushion in between

No coincidences · 03-09-16, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by Suggartown

I do admit I played FSU but got it around like 9AM CST for -2.5 so when it got up to -5 I middled with VT. paying juice is ok especially when I can get a 2.5pt cushion in between

In this day and age, beating the closing number by that much is the kiss of death.

GT21Megatron · 03-09-16, 10:56 PM

With FSU line moving causes an overreaction and then people start laying the juice on MLs or buying points back down to original line. Long long way to go but that's my 2 cents. Then if VT wins outright they cleaning up.

Im taking ASU for what it's worth. Don't think Oregon State should be favored let alone getting line movement like that so if I lose I can live with it. They beat Stanford and UCLA away from home in conference and we saw what those two teams did on a neutral floor today

iloseagain · 03-09-16, 11:25 PM

clemson was -1 moved to -2.5 or -3.. Lost crazy in OT

iloseagain · 03-09-16, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Unless you get big movement on it I agree. If butler stays around -3.5 or drops down I'm pounding them tomorrow. I also like Michigan

what is the reasoning behind this? Usually id say to bet the other way.. Just curious as to why you bet this way? The way i do it doesnt seem to work so you are obviously on to something

KRIT · 03-09-16, 11:47 PM

That whole team is a mess. Alford is a shit coach, but that team gave up months ago. I knew they gave up once they got swept by the Oregon schools at home last week. They do have a top 5 class coming in next year, if Alford can't win next year then he may be gone.

UBNVS · 03-10-16, 12:33 AM

Alford should've been fired last year and they should've brought in Shaka smart. Ucla the name recruits itself. Should be reloading with 4/5 stars every year

RavensFan2k3 · 03-10-16, 09:51 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Exactly. So why -5?

To get people to bet them, and based on the picks I saw by people here it worked

CDUBB_CW · 03-10-16, 09:54 AM

USC beat UCLA twice before this game. Results wasn't going to change and this goes for any game with this circumstance.

Broncos · 03-10-16, 11:39 AM

Didn't St. Marys beat the zags twice before losing in the conference championship?