Thursday Hoops (1.14.2016)
1* Texas Arlington/Troy over 157'
1* Cal/Stanford over 134 (-105)
1* Cal/Stanford first half over 62'
1* Texas Arlington/Troy over 157'
1* Cal/Stanford over 134 (-105)
1* Cal/Stanford first half over 62'
-
Comment -
adding
1* Cleveland State +7 (-108)
Thursday Hoops (1.14.2016) updated card
1* Cleveland State +7 (-108)
1* Texas Arlington/Troy over 157'
1* Cal/Stanford over 134 (-105)
1* Cal/Stanford first half over 62'
BOL to all tonightComment -
Thursday Hoops (1.14.2016) final card
1* Cleveland State +7 (-108) - LOSER
1* Texas Arlington/Troy over 157' - LOSER
1* Cal/Stanford over 134 (-105) - WINNER
1* Cal/Stanford first half over 62' - WINNER
2-2 -0.18u
11-8 +2.32u season to date.Comment -
Cleveland State is such a hard team for me to get a handle on. Every time I think I understand them they do something I don't expect.Comment -
Great job on the cal/Stanford overComment -
I know! I actually know the team a bit (my kids in the CSU summer camp and my son got pretty tight with Flannigan, who has loads of potential), and really thought that they were ready to turn a corner, but last night was brutal. Big believer in Waters as a coach but this is starting to look more and more like a lost season for the Vikings.Comment -
Okay, passing on Friday night's small card and getting an early start on Saturday. Obviously, totals aren't out yet, but there are some i'm eying already for potential game over/1H over. Note: this is the 'keep-up' game angle i've been using for 4-5 years now (tweaked criteria and been tracking for a few weeks; pretty much all of my game over/1H overs thus far have come from this angle):
Indiana/Minnesota
Xavier/Marquette
Kentucky/Auburn
BYU/Portland
Marshall/Rice
Florida/Ole Miss
Weber St/Sacramento St
other games that meet the general profile but have one red flag:
Nova/Georgetown
UTEP/UTSA
St Bonnie's/Duquesne [of these, this is the one i could see myself biting on]
UAB/Charlotte
other games that meet the general profile but have multiple red flags:
Cincy/Temple
Furman/Citadel
Miami/Clemson
Northeastern/Delaware
Montana/North Dakota
Morehead St/E Illinois
La Tech/FAU [don't like at all]
Missou St/Bradley [like even less than LT/FAU]
Hawaii/CSFComment -
The idea with the keep-up game angle is that there is a medium-sized home dog that will be going hard from the outset to match their more-talented visitor. Most of the potential red flags fall on the home dog side of the ledger (offensive efficiency, 3PT%, 2PT%, ATO ratio) as well as in comparing both teams' pace (don't want either to be a slower team, nor do i want either team to be much faster-paced than the other - theory being that much slower fave will dictate slower tempo by virtue of being better team and that being their preferred pace, while much slower dog isn't going to be as interested in matching pace with much faster-paced fave). One potential red flag that i cannot evaluate at this point for Saturday's card is line movement (both where it opens relative to what i expect and how it moves).
Have a great Friday night, fellas. Out for a couple of cold ones and i'll see you tomorrow.Comment -
Have a good night Biff. I'll be interested to see your take on tomorrow's games.Comment -
Saturday Hoops (1.16.2016)
1* Xavier/Marquette over 151
1* Florida/Ole Miss over 141'Comment -
So as we are clear, UF/Ole Miss over doesn't have a spread large enough to qualify for the keep up angle that i mentioned above. I like the over there independently of all that.Comment -
adding
1* Georgia Tech -7
1* Richmond -1
1* Weber State/Sacramento State over 143
Saturday Hoops (1.16.2016) updated card
1* Georgia Tech -7
1* Xavier/Marquette over 151
1* Richmond -1
1* Florida/Ole Miss over 141'
1* Weber State/Sacramento State over 143Comment -
adding
1* Xavier/Marquette first half over 72
Saturday Hoops (1.16.2016) updated card
1* Georgia Tech -7
1* Xavier/Marquette over 151
1* Xavier/Marquette 1H over 72
1* Richmond -1
1* Florida/Ole Miss over 141'
1* Weber State/Sacramento State over 143Comment -
adding
1* Penn State/Northwestern first half under 62
Saturday Hoops (1.16.2016) updated card
1* Georgia Tech -7
1* Xavier/Marquette over 151
1* Xavier/Marquette 1H over 72
1* Richmond -1
1* Florida/Ole Miss over 141'
1* Penn State/NU 1H under 62
1* Weber State/Sacramento State over 143
BOL to all todayComment -
Posted in football thread, playing Chiefs TT over 20 (+105)
Andy Reid has faced Belichick 10 times (5 regular season, one Super Bowl, 4 preseason). In the 6 regulation games (regular season plus Super Bowl), Reid's teams scored an average of 24 points, and scored more than 20 points 4 times, exactly 20 once and under 20 one.Comment -
Saturday Hoops (1.16.2016) final card
1* Georgia Tech -7 - LOSER
1* Xavier/Marquette over 151 - LOSER
1* Xavier/Marquette 1H over 72 - LOSER
1* Richmond -1 - LOSER
1* Florida/Ole Miss over 141' - WINNER
1* Penn State/NU 1H under 62 - WINNER
1* Weber State/Sacramento State over 143 - WINNER
3-4 -1.4u
Could've been much worse after that 0-4 start.
14-12 +0.92u season to dateComment -
Sunday Hoops (1.17.2016)
1* Creighton/DePaul over 150' (-105)Comment -
Playing Broncos TT under 24 (-105) in NFL (posted in football thread)Comment -
Good luck today, Biff. I got Uconn at 2p and if it loses I'm probably gonna double up on Colorado at 7p. Hope you're wrong about Broncos though, I got a parlay with MSU and Denver. Or at the very least I hope Pittsburgh scores like 6 points lol.Comment -
Tempted to take Creighton/DePaul 2H under 81' for the 18.5-point middle (teams 31-55 from field, 12-23 3 PTs) but passing.Comment -
Sunday Hoops (1.17.2016) final card
1* Creighton/DePaul over 150' (-105) - WINNER
1-0 +1u
15-12 +1.92u season to dateComment -
Shrewd business laying off Creighton/DePaul 2H over - snuck over at end thanks to DePaul tradition of fouling down 10+ with under 1:00 left.Comment -
you touching this card tonight Biff?Comment -
Tuesday Hoops (1.19.2016)
1* Northwestern/Maryland first half under 64
1* LSU +7 (-105)Comment -
Interesting. You and NoCoin both like Ole Miss. Dammit.
Providence I'm not strong on to be honest.
I think I'm gonna tail you on LSU.Comment -
Tuesday Hoops (1.19.2016) final card
1* Northwestern/Maryland 1H under 64 - WINNER
1* LSU +7 (-105) - LOSER
1-1 -0.05u
16-13 +1.87u season to dateComment
