Major help needed: Women's final

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 05:07 PM

Uconn will cover the 15.5... I'm not sure about the -9 at half because they have been known to start off slow but they are going to absolutely cream UL in the 2nd half. I like the under as well but I have $3G's at -15.5

This is a huge play for me as my normal unit is $50. The largest of Basketball season. GL

kdawgy · 04-07-09, 05:09 PM

I like the confidence, so hard not to middle though with a potentail 7-12 point gap...it's up to -19 at my book now btw...

Vreston · 04-07-09, 05:14 PM

The question is if it's worth playing at -18 right now at my book.

Should I go for it or did the books get wise and is it too much now?

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 06:31 PM

I personally think Uconn is going to win by 30 and would feel pretty good Uconn -20 but that's me. Their coach doesn't believe in taking the foot off the gas pedal and this final game is a statement for the entire season. Uconn's bench players can outscore UL. I'm not worried about the points. I've got the under as well and I think Uconn is going to shut UL down.

kdawgy · 04-07-09, 06:35 PM

Damn, I was really thinking about a seven point teaser with UL + 25 and Under 131. 4 units pays almost 3. But seems like you're the only person with any real input and totally against both of those pics.

Alright, I'll sit tight (probably put $50 bucks on UL ML + OVer) just in case UL explodes in the first half...

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by kdawgy

I like the confidence, so hard not to middle though with a potentail 7-12 point gap...it's up to -19 at my book now btw...

The bigger question is it more of a risk to try and middle in order to win low or that Uconn can blow them out of the gym and win high. I like Uconn's chances at blowing them out. They've beaten every team this year by double digits. Why would you think it's going to be different tonight in their final game. Stanford is much better than UL. Oklahoma was overrated so I don't take much stock in UL beating them. OU had major problems scoring... Not Uconn. This team is on a mission much more than UNC men. They've been burning for this game for over a year. They are not going to play like chit the last game of the year.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by kdawgy

Damn, I was really thinking about a seven point teaser with UL + 25 and Under 131. 4 units pays almost 3. But seems like you're the only person with any real input and totally against both of those pics.

Alright, I'll sit tight (probably put $50 bucks on UL ML + OVer) just in case UL explodes in the first half...

Save your money on UL ML... I'm so confident that UL WILL NOT win this game that if they do I will paypal you the $50

kdawgy · 04-07-09, 06:40 PM

I would only be making that parlay bet so that if Ul was within 2-4 at the half (or by some miracle winning at the half) I could pound Uconn in the second half for 6-8 units with a lot less risk...

The General · 04-07-09, 06:41 PM

I am looking forward to the game. I am liking the Dog here. 19 points in a title game?

C'mon

kdawgy · 04-07-09, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by The General

I am looking forward to the game. I am liking the Dog here. 19 points in a title game?

C'mon

That's my biggest concern. I'm not a big believer in the Ref's "throwing" games, but it's just human nature that if you see someone smaller and weaker getting beatin up (or embarrassed on a national stage) that you try to throw them a bone. I don't know much about women's basketball, but I know that people in general don't like blowouts in title games...

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 06:48 PM

Did you guys forget last night???

General - don't take UL. Woman are much more predictable than the men's. No such thing as trap here.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-07-09, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Save your money on UL ML... I'm so confident that UL WILL NOT win this game that if they do I will paypal you the $50

KDawgy... I guess I won't have to paypal you any money

This was easy money. Anyone not getting on this just don't like to print money...