College basketball = just bet the better team

**THam12** · 03-05-15, 07:23 PM

I don't use KenPom for what he predicts the score as.

His advanced stats are huge indicators.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by THam12

I don't use KenPom for what he predicts the score as.

His advanced stats are huge indicators.

Doesn't he use his advanced stats used to predict the outcomes of the games?

How could he possibly come to the conclusion that South Carolina would beat Arkansas tonight? That's just plain stupid.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 07:26 PM

Come on Coin I know you played and been watching sports awhile. Game lasts 40 min!

**jgold254** · 03-05-15, 07:26 PM

Finally someone with some sense. Tired of these morons with their banter about traps and ATS and linemaker conspiracies. What happened to watching the games and using logic?

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy

Come on Coin I know you played and been watching sports awhile. Game lasts 40 min!

Are you watching these games?

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 03-05-15, 07:29 PM

Arkansas was my favorite bet tonight.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 07:32 PM

Just got home and turning on the tube. Been watching enough sports though I've seen the most improbable finishing outcomes though after a team came out flying early with a big lead.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy

Just got home and turning on the tube. Been watching enough sports though I've seen the most improbable finishing outcomes though after a team came out flying early with a big lead.

Honestly, the SC/Arkansas line is the worst I've seen in years, regardless of sport. I have no bet on that game, but come on.

I did take the Gophers like a sucker, though.

**BigDofBA** · 03-05-15, 07:34 PM

People make it harder than it should be by looking at stats, models, etc.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 07:36 PM

Both ugly I give ya that haha! Yeah that Ark line was so fukked up. Obviously some huge $ came in on Co#ks to keep that # down cause every ticket printed almost on Razors lol.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

People make it harder than it should be by looking at stats, models, etc.

**KRIT** · 03-05-15, 07:42 PM

Free money train yesterday on Providence, St Johns, Ohio St, and Oregon yesterday. Free money on SC and Wisky today.

The SC line made absolutely no sense. I thought the opening line was off by at least a couple points, then when I saw the rlm I knew it was nothing more than a headfake by the books. Not enough sharp money to drop the line that much with all the public money coming in on Arky. Most times with these heavy public plays, if there is big rlm on it then it's play the fave or pass. And SC has been getting weird lines all year, they were -3 at home against Texas A&M a couple weeks ago and got routed.

What happened to weaker teams playing for pride at home? Now they all rollover and die.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Free money train yesterday on Providence, St Johns, Ohio St, and Oregon yesterday. Free money on SC and Wisky today.

The SC line made absolutely no sense. I thought the opening line was off by at least a couple points, then when I saw the rlm I knew it was nothing more than a headfake by the books. Not enough sharp money to drop the line that much with all the public money coming in on Arky. Most times with these heavy public plays, if there is big rlm on it then it's play the fave or pass. And SC has been getting weird lines all year, they were -3 at home against Texas A&M a couple weeks ago and got routed.

What happened to weaker teams playing for pride at home? Now they all rollover and die.

Took the words right out of my mouth, verbatim.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 07:45 PM

Ruh roh looks like a couple doggies doing more biting than barking while clawing their way back.

**BigDofBA** · 03-05-15, 07:49 PM

I had my best month ever last month and all I did was follow my gut and have a little luck along the way.

I was taking some big favorites that were covering easily, betting some ugly dogs that would find a way to get a point here or there to cover, and utilizing the hell out of love betting.

Following line movement drives you crazy and it only works half the time anyway.

Sometimes it is easy. Sometimes it's not.

All I know is its easier to live with a loss of you trust our gut. When you back shot teams at short spreads and hey get killed, it leaves you scratching your head on why OU nacked hem in the first place.

I'm pretty sure Vegas just f*cks with our heads knowing certain lines they throw out will get action.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 07:59 PM

You like OKC tonight BDof?

**BigDofBA** · 03-05-15, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy

You like OKC tonight BDof?

No. Not really.

Bulls have a ton of injuries too though so who knows.

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 08:04 PM

Yeah I'm gonna sit back and maybe catch a live # myself. Bol!

**potlimit** · 03-05-15, 08:13 PM

This could turn out to be the biggest mush thread in history lol

**R.P. McMurphy** · 03-05-15, 08:15 PM

Razorf#gs on road #1 bet gm on board according to Scores/odds. Vegas hasn't built that pretty strip giving out free $.

**jgold254** · 03-05-15, 08:22 PM

You know how I know sports are rigged?

**GT21Megatron** · 03-05-15, 08:26 PM

Nocoin posting Wizzle like Threads.....hahahha....funny shit

**Snowball** · 03-05-15, 08:46 PM

sharps killing it.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

sharps killing it.

By splitting these two games? That's "killing" it?

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Nocoin posting Wizzle like Threads.....hahahha....funny shit

Was hoping it would work for Minnesota. Wound up jinxing the wrong game.

**Snowball** · 03-05-15, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

By splitting these two games? That's "killing" it?

Wiscy was the sharp play.. 2-0.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

sharps killing it.

Three biggest plays by far and away were Wisconsin, Arkansas and Oklahoma City.

Easy 2-1 record for the public.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

Wiscy was the sharp play.. 2-0.

It was "sharp" because it won.

All that matters. I'm just saying college basketball is a safe haven for the public, just like college football.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 09:02 PM

Let's not forget Temple too.

More free money.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 09:04 PM

South Carolina up 73-65 with 4 minutes left and they aren't even going to cover.

**Snowball** · 03-05-15, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

It was "sharp" because it won.

All that matters. I'm just saying college basketball is a safe haven for the public, just like college football.

just that they are rivals and would bring it, into Minnesota..

look at how accurate the line was in South Carolina.. crazy game..
after all those point swings, the line is dead on.
hope Ark covers for the sake of many posters on that game.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 09:08 PM

As I was saying....

Books buried again tonight.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 09:10 PM

Wow. Just wow.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-15, 09:10 PM

Arkansas/SC is proof positive that we're all just chucking darts.