CBB - Monday, 3/2/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    CBB - Monday, 3/2/15
    1 CBB Play Monday

    Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 196-177-4, +12.90
  • Fat_Stax
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-08-14
    • 160

    #2
    Hmm, might have to get frisky and ML parlay Cuse tonight.. Might be worth the risk.
    Comment
    • DOM_Toretto
      Restricted User
      • 01-28-13
      • 9035

      #3
      Care to explain LT? I have reason to believe Virginia wins by 15-20 here. I feel the matchup is perfect, scenario favors UVa...
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30064

        #4
        motivation vs. complacency ?
        Comment
        • DOM_Toretto
          Restricted User
          • 01-28-13
          • 9035

          #5
          Originally posted by Snowball
          motivation vs. complacency ?
          Really? 1 team has a post-season ban this year. The other team can lock at least a share of ACC Title and most likely 1-seed in the big dance. Who's motivated and who's complacent?
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30064

            #6
            going with Virginia but ML not -5.5.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              2 CBB Plays Monday

              Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
              Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                Care to explain LT? I have reason to believe Virginia wins by 15-20 here. I feel the matchup is perfect, scenario favors UVa...
                This IS Syracuse's tournament game, last home game vs. #2 team in the country with just a blah road game vs. NC State remaining. More importantly Cuse can still play defense, they are 34th in the nation in defensive efficiency, not Virginia-type numbers but good enough. Virginia plays at the third slowest pace in the country and when you compound that with Anderson still being out, Cavs have had trouble covering as favorites lately, in fact 3-7 ATS last 10 overall.
                Comment
                • sickeric
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-22-10
                  • 92

                  #9
                  I like this spot for SYR as well although thought it would be priced more at 6.5 or 7. Goes to show how well these numbers are by this time of the year along with such a low total leading more towards 5 or 5.5
                  Comment
                  • Evolved137
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-24-13
                    • 346

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    1 CBB Play Monday

                    Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)


                    YTD: 196-177-4, +12.90
                    Nice YTD. Mind sharing how many units you have on this game? I've been watching 5d as well and have a look on this game but can't put a lock on it yet, but my trigger fingers getting shaky! Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • RavensFan2k3
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-12
                      • 17378

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Evolved137
                      Nice YTD. Mind sharing how many units you have on this game? I've been watching 5d as well and have a look on this game but can't put a lock on it yet, but my trigger fingers getting shaky! Good luck!
                      He bets the same amount for every game, which I believe is 2.5% of bank roll
                      Comment
                      • drfunkmaster
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-29-08
                        • 11162

                        #12
                        vt wins by a few ....
                        Comment
                        • Evolved137
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-24-13
                          • 346

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                          He bets the same amount for every game, which I believe is 2.5% of bank roll
                          TY. I figured, smart money.

                          I'm staying away from Cuse tonight though. Good luck man
                          Comment
                          • PorkChop
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 8193

                            #14
                            LT Makes great point by saying this is Syracuse's' tournament game. Its their season it's their SuperBowl. Season wouldn't be write-off if closing out season at home by beating a top 3 team in nation (and potential final-four team).

                            Saying all that, Virginia is just flat out the better team, and too dominant on D for me
                            Comment
                            • HeeluvaGuy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-15-14
                              • 3449

                              #15
                              Cuse can also get to 20 wins if they win these last two. Plus UVa clinched the ACC regular season last year against Syracuse at Jonh Paul Jones (and then cut down the nets). I suspect the Orange would like to avoid a repeat. Also Rakeem Christmas' Senior Night.

                              I'm sure here are an equal number of counterpoints for the Hoos...
                              Comment
                              • DOM_Toretto
                                Restricted User
                                • 01-28-13
                                • 9035

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PorkChop
                                LT Makes great point by saying this is Syracuse's' tournament game. Its their season it's their SuperBowl. Season wouldn't be write-off if closing out season at home by beating a top 3 team in nation (and potential final-four team).

                                Saying all that, Virginia is just flat out the better team, and too dominant on D for me
                                Idk, I don't think so. I've played sports and once I knew my team wasn't playoff bound I never got excited to beat the 1st place team or anything, just kinda lost motivation. Better example would be Uconn two years ago, played Villanova down the stretch at home and lost by 9.

                                It would be cool for Syracuse to beat Virginia at home, but really wouldn't matter. Yes UVa earned the target on their back but they weren't born with it. Rakeem Christmas and Trevor Cooney didn't grow up dreaming about beating Virginia. Now if the Cavs had Duke or Kentucky on their jerseys, might be a different story.
                                Comment
                                • BeanTownClown88
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-08-13
                                  • 1961

                                  #17
                                  LT Stop the bleeding!!
                                  Comment
                                  • bobtoma
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-14-14
                                    • 177

                                    #18
                                    Hope you have a good night
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Another CBB Addition

                                      3 CBB Plays Monday

                                      Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
                                      Texas -3.5 -110 (Heritage)
                                      Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)
                                      Comment
                                      • PorkChop
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-18-08
                                        • 8193

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        3 CBB Plays Monday

                                        Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
                                        Texas -3.5 -110 (Heritage)
                                        Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)
                                        Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.
                                        Comment
                                        • mrlif1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-15-13
                                          • 1462

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PorkChop
                                          Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.
                                          seriously? damn.
                                          Comment
                                          • BetThenSweat
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-24-14
                                            • 2978

                                            #22
                                            LT, You said UVA is the third slowest offense in the nation. Who is one and two?
                                            Comment
                                            • mrlif1
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-15-13
                                              • 1462

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BetThenSweat
                                              LT, You said UVA is the third slowest offense in the nation. Who is one and two?
                                              american, denver. im not lt but those are the answers.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by PorkChop
                                                Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.
                                                If Texas loses this game they are out of the tourney (barring a miracle run in Big 12 Tourney). I think that motivation trumps the motivation for better seeding. I get that even a win does not guarantee Texas is in, but it puts them in better position.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by mrlif1
                                                  american, denver. im not lt but those are the answers.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • davidg123
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-13-15
                                                    • 261

                                                    #26
                                                    Disagree about Texas but good luck to you.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mcdonae101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-02-14
                                                      • 3646

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      If Texas loses this game they are out of the tourney (barring a miracle run in Big 12 Tourney). I think that motivation trumps the motivation for better seeding. I get that even a win does not guarantee Texas is in, but it puts them in better position.
                                                      texas has no shot of getting in unless they win the tourney which is impossible anyway
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bhoor
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-17-12
                                                        • 2257

                                                        #28
                                                        LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DOM_Toretto
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-28-13
                                                          • 9035

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by bhoor
                                                          LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)
                                                          He was completely dominant from November through January. He had a terrible February. Cmon LT shake it off and have a better March!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Isaiah
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-06-12
                                                            • 1013

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by bhoor
                                                            LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)
                                                            If statistical based methodologies worked in sports handicapping every mathematics professor at M.I.T., Stanford, Princeton and Harvard would be a millionaire.

                                                            So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dfish
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-17-10
                                                              • 2730

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Isaiah
                                                              If statistical based methodologies worked in sports handicapping every mathematics professor at M.I.T., Stanford, Princeton and Harvard would be a millionaire.

                                                              So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.

                                                              Find a math guy who adds match ups to the equation =sharp
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jayvegas420
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 03-09-11
                                                                • 28213

                                                                #32
                                                                I thought Virginia was an obvious play here. I had them at -5.5 and I also had it - 6.
                                                                Also I might have been a little pissed that my buddy took his woman to the game instead of me.

                                                                either way, it was a really easy pic for me.



                                                                Kids can't play when they aren't ambitious or motivated.
                                                                Everyone knows that.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GoBlue77
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-20-11
                                                                  • 9166

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                                  He was completely dominant from November through January. He had a terrible February. Cmon LT shake it off and have a better March!
                                                                  thats why he is LT NO profits.

                                                                  LT when you were up 36 units i told you to get out of the game then, knew you would give it back.

                                                                  you have to know when to WALK AWAY WHEN UP. smh
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by bhoor
                                                                    LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)
                                                                    But still +11.78 units. Units are more important than winning %, remember I have hit some Money Line dogs and almost never lay -110.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Isaiah
                                                                      So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.
                                                                      Totally false. A lot of pro bettors play big volume on small edges and are content at 54% or so in ATS sports.

                                                                      Not talking about me of course but actual pros that do it for a living and are really good at finding those little edges.
                                                                      Comment
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