Strong plays

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  • EDDIE MONEY LINE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-24-10
    • 6298

    #1
    Strong plays
    I'm not confident with any plays tonight. Anyone have a play they are really confident with tonight or something for tomorrow. My week ends tomorrow night and I need a strong play. Any help appreciated.
  • EDDIE MONEY LINE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-24-10
    • 6298

    #2
    My leans are Washington and indiana
    Comment
    • EDDIE MONEY LINE
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-24-10
      • 6298

      #3
      I'm with Washington big. Gonna need this one here
      Comment
      • DOM_Toretto
        Restricted User
        • 01-28-13
        • 9035

        #4
        I really wanna take Indiana but kinda stuck on the fence with it. Sunday night game should bring an exciting and loud crowd at assembly hall.

        Minnesota only lost by 5+ once in the big ten (@ Maryland). But I don't see them winning back to back road games, let alone 4 consecutive wins. Minny has the size advantage down low but we will see if IU big man Hanner Mosquera-Perea looks back in good condition today.

        Minny will likely have to abandon their zone D once IU's shooters start draining their 3s like they do so well, especially at home. Blackmon & Ferrell are great ball handlers that should be able to handle the press, better now that they're experienced, plus they've already experienced Pitino Sr's press earlier in the year.

        I think I just talked myself into backing the Hoosiers. My book has -3.5 right now but if I can grab -3 I will take it.
        Comment
        • GoBlue77
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-20-11
          • 9166

          #5
          indiana is a HUGE public pounder and the line remains solid. i think thats a trap game.
          Comment
          • DOM_Toretto
            Restricted User
            • 01-28-13
            • 9035

            #6
            Originally posted by GoBlue77
            indiana is a HUGE public pounder and the line remains solid. i think thats a trap game.
            Hmmm... I can only get -4 now.
            Comment
            • EDDIE MONEY LINE
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-24-10
              • 6298

              #7
              I saw in service plays all the docs sports guys are on IU. I don't think that's a good thing
              Comment
              • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-24-10
                • 6298

                #8
                I really need this wash game to hit
                Comment
                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-24-10
                  • 6298

                  #9
                  Well lost wash and hammered Indiana.

                  I'm in the red -310 right now. I've got tonight to reduce or eliminate that debt before the week ends. Whose got any good plays???
                  Comment
                  • PhilTheTHRILL
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-07-13
                    • 1169

                    #10
                    Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                    Well lost wash and hammered Indiana.

                    I'm in the red -310 right now. I've got tonight to reduce or eliminate that debt before the week ends. Whose got any good plays???
                    I really like Butler and Pitt today. Just my insight.
                    Comment
                    • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-24-10
                      • 6298

                      #11
                      I like butler as well and think Kansas should beat WV. I wish I had a strong read on a game but I don't
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        i thought for sure id be on butler when i 1st saw it but ended up not liking them as much as i thought i would..dont like chrabascz being out, they kinda thin at the 4 spot w/o him. that and when i went back and looked at 1st gm there no doubt butler will prob shoot better but i felt they wouldnt get as many extra opportunities off turnovers and offensive boards as they did the 1st meeting, they also enjoyed a sizable adv in trips to the foul line, dont really expect that on the road either. when we talking about the gm @ butler not being decided until the final minute i really needed to find a lot more points they left on the table, dont think the shooting difference will outweigh what they could potentially lose in extra possessions and fts..

                        i still think butler pulls it out, at least to the point i never even considered creighton, ultimately it a game where i can live with passing and watching butler win more so than i can playing them and losing when i felt i should hold off.. if you play them i hope you cash bro, think there will be better opportunities for you to get out of the hole later in the week tho.

                        only thing i really like tonight a total and my totals have been erratic at best this year so i wont even suggest it to ya,, over ku/wvu, lol..gl whatever you go with,, just dont force it if you got all week to get it back..
                        Comment
                        • grease lightnin
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-01-12
                          • 16015

                          #13
                          Showing 81% on Butler, line moved 1 point the other way.
                          Comment
                          • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-24-10
                            • 6298

                            #14
                            Creighton gotta be the pick here
                            Comment
                            • DOM_Toretto
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-28-13
                              • 9035

                              #15
                              Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                              Creighton gotta be the pick here
                              Why's that? Both are playing without a key player so let's not judge butler without their Forward yet.

                              Butler 3pt d has been good and the jays rely on that. Previous game butler shot an outlier low % game and still won. Shouldn't they TCOB here?
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                Why's that? Both are playing without a key player so let's not judge butler without their Forward yet.

                                Butler 3pt d has been good and the jays rely on that. Previous game butler shot an outlier low % game and still won. Shouldn't they TCOB here?
                                they did shoot very poorly, but they also won the turnover, offensive rebounding battle, and shot quite a few more fts than the jays did. not saying they cant win those categories again but i dont see the turnover margin or ft discrepancy being that lopsided again. even the rebounds while i expect butler to hold the edge there i doubt it by as many on the offensive end unless they shoot poorly again.. basically i think what butler gains in shooting percentage will most likely be negated by the fact the possessions and fts will be closer @ creighton. the 1st gm wasnt decided till the last minute, i mean if butler repeats the turnover margin and ft margin they will win easy but i just dont see that happening.. pass for me..
                                Comment
                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-24-10
                                  • 6298

                                  #17
                                  Creighton has their 7 footer this game as well when they didn't the first game
                                  Comment
                                  • DOM_Toretto
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-28-13
                                    • 9035

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                    Creighton has their 7 footer this game as well when they didn't the first game
                                    Groselle didn't play that game against butler but Artino did and he didn't really have a major impact... I get that they will have a few inches on Woods, just don't know if that will change the outcome. Butler beat St Johns and the Hall twice each and I can confidently say Obekpa and Delgado are both better than Artino & Groselle combined. And they just kept Ochefu silent @ Nova.

                                    So now that we've eliminated the size advantage, it comes down to butler guards outplaying creighton's.... Sign me up. I'm about to switch screens n take butler -3. Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-24-10
                                      • 6298

                                      #19
                                      Good luck. I want to make a play so bad tonight but I'm not. confident.

                                      I liked seton hall butler and Kansas to start the day and now I'm thinking the opposite on all three. Haha
                                      Comment
                                      • JosephPavs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-29-10
                                        • 1660

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                        Well lost wash and hammered Indiana.

                                        I'm in the red -310 right now. I've got tonight to reduce or eliminate that debt before the week ends. Whose got any good plays???
                                        On Seaton Hall +10 1H and Butler -1.5 1H if Seaton pulls it out and off then I will put that on Kansas -.5 1H
                                        Comment
                                        • DOM_Toretto
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-28-13
                                          • 9035

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JosephPavs
                                          On Seaton Hall +10 1H and Butler -1.5 1H if Seaton pulls it out and off then I will put that on Kansas -.5 1H
                                          FYI, I'm on west va, but if I HAD to chose Kansas for a half it wouldn't be 1H... They have a tendency to fall behind or start slow. Just my 2 cents.
                                          Comment
                                          • JosephPavs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-29-10
                                            • 1660

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                            FYI, I'm on west va, but if I HAD to chose Kansas for a half it wouldn't be 1H... They have a tendency to fall behind or start slow. Just my 2 cents.

                                            Could have used that info about 30 min ago if they are up by one then I will go 2H as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • DOM_Toretto
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-28-13
                                              • 9035

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by JosephPavs
                                              Could have used that info about 30 min ago if they are up by one then I will go 2H as well.
                                              Keep your eye on the score if you don't watch the whole game. Bovada has live betting on this game and I plan to try to find a middle sometime throughout the game. Both teams capable of going on big runs - KU can light it up with a rainstorm of 3s, WVU can rack up a lot of points in a short time from forced turnovers. Im sure KU will be getting points at some point.
                                              Comment
                                              • LakeShow
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-20-10
                                                • 472

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                FYI, I'm on west va, but if I HAD to chose Kansas for a half it wouldn't be 1H... They have a tendency to fall behind or start slow. Just my 2 cents.

                                                on west va too..lets get em
                                                Comment
                                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-24-10
                                                  • 6298

                                                  #25
                                                  I put in last minute desperation bets on nova and g tech(bc I saw some touts including lang on Clemson) and small parlayed them with one another. What a relief. I am out of the hole and probably not gonna play these late games. WoW!!!

                                                  Good luck everyone
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-24-10
                                                    • 6298

                                                    #26
                                                    No capping, all on a hunch. Damn it feels good. Shot myself out of the small slump.

                                                    I do think WV is the play. Maybe a small play on my end.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-24-10
                                                      • 6298

                                                      #27
                                                      Good start. Small play WV +2. Hope this cashes and I'll be fully out my hole.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DOM_Toretto
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-28-13
                                                        • 9035

                                                        #28
                                                        I middled for one unit KU +4.5, while still have 2u on WVU +3.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-24-10
                                                          • 6298

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck Dom. I stayed away from butler game due to your insight. Good luck on that one as well
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                            I put in last minute desperation bets on nova and g tech(bc I saw some touts including lang on Clemson) and small parlayed them with one another. What a relief. I am out of the hole and probably not gonna play these late games. WoW!!!

                                                            Good luck everyone
                                                            that awesome buddy, congrats..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                              Good luck Dom. I stayed away from butler game due to your insight. Good luck on that one as well
                                                              i thought i kept you off butler?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-24-10
                                                                • 6298

                                                                #32
                                                                Ya bank u did. Dom liked butler. I respect both your opinions probably more than anyone else on this site.

                                                                Not entirely confident with WV here. They are terrible offensively. The refs letting these teams play. Gonna be a good second half. WV so good defensively. They would be such a stud team if they had any clue offensively. Hope they generate enough O to get it done. Their incompetency from the stripe might be their ultimate downfall if this game comes down to final possessions.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                  Ya bank u did. Dom liked butler. I respect both your opinions probably more than anyone else on this site.

                                                                  Not entirely confident with WV here. They are terrible offensively. The refs letting these teams play. Gonna be a good second half. WV so good defensively. They would be such a stud team if they had any clue offensively. Hope they generate enough O to get it done. Their incompetency from the stripe might be their ultimate downfall if this game comes down to final possessions.
                                                                  yea it really screwing my over that they have both only shot 12 fts combined. that not normal for a wvu gm.. ku only 1-4 from behind the arc would def scare me, wvu's fg% defense not very good, think ku gonna score a lot still.. on the same token wvu really didnt convert those ku turnovers into points like they typically do, i think that will change as well.. plus wvu all over the offensive glass, if they can manage to actually make their fts in the 2nd i think they will hang on..

                                                                  yea dom knows his stuff for sure. like i said i thought i was gonna be on butler but i didnt think them shooting better would make up for the huge rebounding/turnover/ft edge they had in the gm @ butler.. when im capping rematches the 1st thing i do is go back to the 1st game and try and find points teams wouldnt normally have gotten and points they left on the table by not hitting their averages. usually can come up with a pretty good idea and this one felt like it was coming right down to the wire like the 1st meeting.. i hope i passed on a winner and Dom cashes, i dont mind passing when i dont feel the play is solid enough and dont change my mind regardless of result..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-24-10
                                                                    • 6298

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Wow. Had myself a day. What a Monday. Don't hafta pay the man
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                      Wow. Had myself a day. What a Monday. Don't hafta pay the man
                                                                      nice job man..
                                                                      Comment
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