Since we have to wait a whole week, figured we could just BS about the lines.
Michigan State +4
UConn -4
Total: 135
Villanova +8
UNC -8
Total: 160
EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#2
Guess I'll start with my first glance ...
I think UConn is a solid choice. I've understimated State in this tournament and perhaps they get me again here, but UConn doesn't look like a good match for them. UConn's bigs are far more productive as a unit and should be able to work them in the half court set, something Louisville's did not do well at all. Giving Calhoun a week to figure out how to slow up Suton will help. I'm guessing Adrien or Robinson gets him so that Thabeet isn't caught on the perimeter with him or at least they alternate the trio on him.
I would love to take Villanova and the points because they've made me some nice cash this tourney, but I gotta really dig in on that one before I have a firm choice in mind.
Totals - no opinion right now. I lean slightly to the over MSU-UConn. Other one could go either way.
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Renojaguar
SBR Wise Guy
03-29-09
921
#3
UCONN vs. Villanova
bank it
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xyzky
SBR MVP
08-23-07
1577
#4
Eagles,
Both Unders look very nice again!! I will also probably take both dogs...
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PsychoQ
SBR MVP
12-13-08
1130
#5
i wouldnt say bank it that uconn and nova will play but its a possibility.
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dwest718
SBR Sharp
12-06-07
443
#6
Michigan St. vs. UNC
Bank it
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Vonnegut
SBR MVP
01-08-09
1499
#7
I like UNC and UConn to win but I really like Villanova to cover. Like the under on Huskies/Spartans.
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#8
State-UConn total is already down 1.5 from opening. Nova down a point as well. Big early moves on the UNDER and 'Nova. Expecting the Nova one to ride back and forth between 7-8 all week. Can't really see it going to much further in each direction.
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NardVa
SBR Hall of Famer
10-02-07
8325
#9
Mich St straight up over Uconn. This is basically a home game. No way they let their fans down. Mich St will seize the moment and at least make it to the finals.
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GatorFan
SBR MVP
04-19-07
2969
#10
Nova +8 seems to be a solid bet to me
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darkside99
SBR Hustler
12-21-07
54
#11
I like Uconn to cover and the OVER in the NC/Villanova game
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dbldown
SBR MVP
12-09-08
1055
#12
Michigan St has great defense and they are playing at home, it looks like the books have already accounted for that. If UConn plays a quick game (they should dictate the tempo) the over may be a good bet.
If it goes over, UConn wins the game. If they play into MSU's hands like Louisville did, it is game over.
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dbldown
SBR MVP
12-09-08
1055
#13
Nova doesn't have the talent to hang with UNC, I'd say the books are right. Locked in UNC -7.
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WOODCHIP
Restricted User
03-21-09
82
#14
well supposedly louisville had the talent and they lost to mich. st. Talent alone doesn't always win..
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#15
Originally posted by dbldown
Nova doesn't have the talent to hang with UNC, I'd say the books are right. Locked in UNC -7.
I disagree with that. Villanova has been a very under-rated unit all tourney. They have the perimeter guys to match up pretty well with UNC. The only place UNC has a better advantage is with their depth in the front court. I think it's going to be a lot closer than most think. If Villanova is hitting outside shots and getting into the lane with penetration, an upset is a real possibility to me.
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Axis
SBR MVP
01-08-09
1255
#16
Just to point out...I know this is a different time of year, but MSU has lost at Ford Field already this year...
No betting for me on that game...just gonna sit back, and hopefully watch my Spartans win
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ASH0479
SBR Sharp
02-24-09
491
#17
....
Yeah the Spartys have played two games at Ford Field in the last two years, neither have been pretty for MSU....something to think about
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dwest718
SBR Sharp
12-06-07
443
#18
I've made a ton of money betting Villanova because nobody knew that they were actually the 3rd best team in the Big East this season and really were better than their ranking all year (even though they were in the Top 15 all season).
Villanova is a better version of LSU that's not quite as athletic but better at creating scoring. UNC has shown they can play defense. Early money was >80% on Villanova. ML is still >65%. Public has gone from not even thinking twice about Nova to thinking they're giant killers. Duke sucks and Nova beat Pitt during the regular season.
Just some food for thought
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Masterbettor
SBR High Roller
12-18-08
121
#19
Suton didn't play against North Carolina.
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dwest718
SBR Sharp
12-06-07
443
#20
Originally posted by Masterbettor
Suton didn't play against North Carolina.
I fail to see any relevance to this statement... you know UNC is playing Villanova in the Final 4 right?
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Masterbettor
SBR High Roller
12-18-08
121
#21
Originally posted by dwest718
I fail to see any relevance to this statement... you know UNC is playing Villanova in the Final 4 right?
lol Obviously, just stating that MSU were missing Suton when getting blown out by NC at Ford Field.
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Shortstop
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-02-09
27281
#22
Connecticut vs. Villanova in the Final
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schaapattack
Restricted User
12-23-08
1007
#23
Uconn and NC will win fairily easily, trust me. Doesnt matter they are playing in Ford Field, Uconn is the superior team and Villanova's lucky run is over.
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#24
there has been nothing "lucky" about novas run. They beat the shit out of duke then played pitt tough the whole game and finished strong.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
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louisvillekid
SBR Hall of Famer
08-14-07
9263
#25
UConn over MSU , UNC n Nova over , UConn over UNC in Champ.
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EaglesPhan36
SBR Aristocracy
12-06-06
71662
#26
I don't feel good about a side or total in the first one. I think I am going to play a prop in the State-UConn game. Looking for the over in the 2nd as I think 'Nova will score on Carolina and vice versa with the game into the 160s. Still deliberating.
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mann2chc
SBR Wise Guy
03-04-09
685
#27
UCONN/MICH ST UNDER 133.5
UNC/NOVA OVER 159
...thoughts anyone???
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Todd2122
SBR Sharp
12-23-08
403
#28
Ford Field is not a home court advantage. Don't let that sway you. Take UCONN big!
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pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37140
#29
I have a funny feeling neither big east team will win
NC VS MS believe
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caseyking2
SBR MVP
11-13-06
1261
#30
Mich St vs North Carolina
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whoatommy
SBR Wise Guy
09-29-08
863
#31
UConn is 16-1 on the road for those that think Michigan State will have some kind of edge playing at Ford Field.
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seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#32
Nova vs Mich State is the unlikeliest matchup. I like it though.
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hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#33
UNDER TOM IZZO,
EVERY SINGLE PLAYER WHO HAS BEEN AT MICHIGAN STATE FOR 4 YEARS HAS GONE TO THE FINAL FOUR.
Uconn mediocre from FT line... the rumbling floors of the MSU crowd certainly will not help.
27,000 michigan state fans attended practice.. and stayed whole time.
Crowd will be loud and wearing green.
their mediocre bench could be a problem, but we'll see.
no, im not an msu fan.
i'm from the beantown. sports capital of the world right now.
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hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#34
Originally posted by whoatommy
UConn is 16-1 on the road for those that think Michigan State will have some kind of edge playing at Ford Field.
home court in regular season is not = to home court in national championship semi-final
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hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#35
Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
I disagree with that. Villanova has been a very under-rated unit all tourney. They have the perimeter guys to match up pretty well with UNC. The only place UNC has a better advantage is with their depth in the front court. I think it's going to be a lot closer than most think. If Villanova is hitting outside shots and getting into the lane with penetration, an upset is a real possibility to me.