Lucky1's Hoops week#18

TakingVegasMoney · 03-06-14, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by AlCar G.

Hey G, quick question. Would you consider nova -3 a trap? Xavier is missing two key people and Nova playing for seed. That line is saying that this game would be a pick on a neutral court???

I Took nova giving the 3

Matty Mo · 03-06-14, 04:19 PM

Big factor it's -3 and not more is X just beat Creighton at home. Nova has a lot to play for and like you said, X is missing some key people.

This is similar to SDST last night. Only laid 2.5 to UNLV who was missing a player. I won't look too deep into this. Nova should roll early and often as they have been. I hope it doesn't move anymore past -3

Lucky1g · 03-06-14, 04:49 PM

Lean in that game is Xavier. Will not be wagering on it though. Good luck with your action whomever you take

Lucky1g · 03-06-14, 04:50 PM

Loyola Marymount+4

Lucky1g · 03-06-14, 04:59 PM

Northwestern & Penn State UNDER 125

Iowa+5

final for this evening. 5 strong plays IMO. I think all the pups have a good chance to win outright let alone cover. Will be looking for at least 3 of them to cash for me. Let's see what happens.

Stepping away for awhile. I'll be around later tonight. Bol with your action.

thecutter · 03-06-14, 05:03 PM

Another guy I tail is on Cincy. But I trust this man above me. Coupled with the fact cincys been disappointing lately, Memphis is getting a little disrespected. Gl guys

AlCar G. · 03-06-14, 05:56 PM

Lucky, Vegas, Matty; Thanks guys. This is what a great thread is we're all here to help eachother out. Good luck to us all.

Lucky; it was a learning question for me. Win or lose I'm strictly committed to sticking to your plays until I'm comfortable enough. Right now I'm making picks before looking at your thread and keping my record, but I'm on wagering on your plays. And my record isn't good enough yet.

Thanks as always my friend!!!

iloseagain · 03-06-14, 09:47 PM

good call on penn st under.. didnt have to sweat that one at all

iloseagain · 03-06-14, 11:19 PM

f*cking bulshit i got richmond at +5.5 what a f*cking joke

alamo · 03-06-14, 11:26 PM

Horrendous beat in Richmond. I locked in at +5.5 too and that ending on top of the debacle the other night hurt to put it mildly.

Lucky1g · 03-06-14, 11:27 PM

This week: 6-4-1

OVERALL***UPDATED*** YEAR TO DATE RECORD
All Selections: 158-123-9-56.2% (DIME players are now up $22,700)
Sides: 118-101-6 54%
Totals: 40-22-3 65%

Regular Selections: 146-115-8 55.9%
side plays: 107-93-6 54%
totals plays: 39-22-2 64%

**UPDATED-COMBINED TOP RATED PLAYS SINCE 2011**
OVERALL: 49-24 67.1%

**TOP RATED**this season now: 12-8-1 60%
side plays: 11-8 58%
totals plays: 1-0-1 100%

dwatersalec · 03-06-14, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

f*cking bulshit i got richmond at +5.5 what a f*cking joke

I got it at 5.5 as well. Richmond guard fumbled the ball out of bounds with 2.5 seconds left driving for a layup down 4. I knew what was coming next. Nice win, Lucky. Good call - Spiders led for 35 minutes of the game.

Lucky1g · 03-06-14, 11:35 PM

3-2 tonight. Richmond blew it big time in second half. I'm glad I jumped the play at 3:30est this afternoon. I posted about 20 minutes after that and 6.5 was available most everywhere. I think i saw it move to 5.5 around 5:30est. A bunch of people probably won with Youngstown state the other night getting 4.5 while I pushed cause the number I bet was 4...tough beats happen. Back tmrw

Lucky1g · 03-07-14, 07:43 AM

ucf-2

Tacklin Fuel · 03-07-14, 07:57 AM

Early play today, line movement going to happen on this game? Thanks for posting Richmond play when you did, I was able to get 6.5 with you and I thnk it dropped 5 minutes later!

mikmik · 03-07-14, 08:40 AM

Thanks again lucky

Lucky1g · 03-07-14, 12:19 PM

UCF now -3 almost everywhere. As for Richmond yesterday, the line was +6.5 at that time I posted. The pointspread dropped to +6 at 4:03 pm, and then some sportsbooks moved to +5.5 at 4:40 pm. Others maintained the line at +6. Bettors could have won, pushed or lost with Richmond...fortunately I won. Should have been a clean wire to wire cover but the last minute Richmond melted down. That last turnover and the ensuing foul would've made me sick if I had +5.5

Lucky1g · 03-07-14, 12:21 PM

Columbia-9
Western Michigan -4.5
Yale & Harvard UNDER 126

that'll do it for today. Happy Friday everyone.

mikmik · 03-07-14, 12:33 PM

G I just played ucf ml-135. I trust your plays. I'd rather not deal with spread lol

Matty Mo · 03-07-14, 12:40 PM

No lean on Harvard -6.5 to revenge loss to Yale? Neutral court and Harvard wants to win it all. I'll lay the 6.5 tonight

R.P. McMurphy · 03-07-14, 12:42 PM

Did same thing mikmik I would rather lay a little extra juice on these small faves than deal with some of the b.s. we've had past few weeks. Amount of 1 pt beats , getting hooked , or pushes is just sickening. Especially when some of the endings have been shady/retarded to say the least.

Matty Mo · 03-07-14, 12:45 PM

I'm also going against the Shockers today. They accomplished the 31-0 feat, could be a spot for a little let down. 17.5 points is a ton and now on neutral court. I see them winning but not covering that huge number vs Evansville who has all to gain and nothing to lose.

I've bet on Shockers for like 5 straight covers but it comes to an end today!

vickngriff23 · 03-07-14, 12:53 PM

How does anyone feel about Morehead st +6.5 over belmlnt. Maybe even a ml play +230

carolinacapper · 03-07-14, 02:10 PM

RLM on Columbia...cause for concern? Still like Columbia though. Any thoughts?

Matty Mo · 03-07-14, 03:06 PM

Man, I think the Shockers look for their cover number and try to cover along with winning. Team is on a hell of a ATS streak.

iloseagain · 03-07-14, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by Matty Mo

Man, I think the Shockers look for their cover number and try to cover along with winning. Team is on a hell of a ATS streak.

Yea i took bradley against them a few games back and they got stomped on

TakingVegasMoney · 03-07-14, 05:27 PM

Wichita is gret ATS

gambleForLife · 03-07-14, 09:04 PM

So far so good!

mikmik · 03-07-14, 09:15 PM

You are the man.

iloseagain · 03-07-14, 09:32 PM

not a big fan of Yale fouling down 11 with 1:30 left

great picks on the rest though!

alamo · 03-07-14, 09:38 PM

No class from Yale. Down 12 39secs left and they are still fouling just to add to the 50 Free throw count in the 2h.

Thanks for all the great picks Lucky.

SilverTongueFox · 03-07-14, 09:40 PM

That Yale game had way to many fouls to have a chance on such a low total. 20+ missed FTs and still going over. Still a good night Luckyg

iloseagain · 03-07-14, 09:43 PM

There were 14 free throws shot in the last 1:43 of the half.. insane.. still only lose by 2.. the under was definitely the right pick thought regardless of the outcome..

R.P. McMurphy · 03-07-14, 09:44 PM

Future scumbags of America (lawyers, politicians) cost us a perfect night but 3-1 will do and I had Grizz in nba as well.

SilverTongueFox · 03-07-14, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

There were 14 free throws shot in the last 1:43 of the half.. insane.. still only lose by 2.. the under was definitely the right pick thought regardless of the outcome..

Yale 0-14 from 3; there were 23 missed FTs and under still lost. Really lucky the under had a chance. Not so sure under was the right side at least in tonight's game. Good news Luckyg is right more often than he's wrong. Take 3-1 all day. Nice work as usual Luckyg